Despite DII selling since Sept 2020, markets have continued to move up due to continued FII participation.

Demand recovery is still uncertain and uneven. Complete opening up of economy leads to the risk of a second wave.

COVID- A disguise in blessing. COVID has taught many businesses how to curtail expenses and improve margins.

"China +1" Theme can be a good opportunity for India

Capex Cycle Recovering

Dealing with Losses.

Perfectionists are often motivated by avoidance. The need to avoid unpleasant emotional experiences. Traders who seek the perfect system are also likely to be motivated by the need to avoid unpleasant experiences.

With trading losses, the only pain that you will suffer is the emotional reaction to a loss. If you concentrate on avoiding losses rather than on maximizing your overall gain, you are unlikely to succeed at trading.

Traders may all incur the same loss but suffer vastly different emotional responses. A lot depends on their past experiences not only while trading but in the broader arena of life.

More competitive u are, More uncomfortable u are about taking loss. From an early age, we programmed to compete, to win, to accomplish, to be top of the class, to always be right & to succeed at whatever we set out to do. Losses are equated with losing to be avoided at all costs.

Newcomers to trading often start off with a string of positive experiences. Unfamiliar with the basics of money management, they are often over-confident and prepared to bet large amounts of their capital in the expectation of further gains.

A story of Mafia Integrity

You've heard bits of this
Funds offshore
Don't invest in the UK
Companies and factories moved out
Henry viii powers used to vanish Tax evasion and money laundering law

But the mafia at the heart of the Conservative party just got started.

Brexit deals may be closing, but the "brains" behind it,
whose gift is decades of damage,
who moved assets to profit from that damage
Is tightening its grip.

These are not the people to trust to decide our future or trade.

Unless you want it stolen

The examples
Tax evasion
Offshore funds
Currency speculation.

They're all a little distant.

So what about some examples closer to you or me?

Your word is your bond. Your promise is your reputation.

How do they build that reputation for our country?

1. China bought us Jan-March with heavy #Covid19 containment measures and clampdowns.

We wasted it.
Then worsened it, leaving airports open

Mafia called our response perfect and demanded reparations for the "China Virus"

2. Roles just reversed. Now WE have a new homegrown highly transmissible variant of #Covid19.

So where are the mafia? Shouldn't they be calling this the "English Virus?"

And screaming Blue Murder that Priti has again failed on airport checks, outbound this time?

Silence.

THREAD: STOP UNDERVALUE THE PRIVATE INVESTORS

The misunderstanding of private investors - primarily known as amateur investors when talked about - done by media and professionals is too much.

Are you ready? Hope you will enjoy this one and bring your voice into the debate👇👇

1/x

Are private investors just a bunch of happy gamblers who should let the “real deal” aka professionals invest for them instead? Idk, maybe, maybe not. Peoples own choice, right? But I have an opinion about how media undervalue private investors.

2/

There are many smart persons out there, which have a great skill to hold the same (or more ) knowledge and understanding than professionals.

Why? Because the world has developed so much and the information-level have changed💨

3/

Earlier on you would not get access to accounting; it could be sent by Bloomberg terminal, send by post and even cost money. Now every accounting for every public company is available for free right after disclosure.

4/

Professionals had exclusive access to the board, and even the founders, the professionals had access to industry experts and could connect the dots faster.

Now every interview with the company, blog post by an industry leader or a Q&A with founders is available realtime.

@IndianEnergyXch
Transformation drivers
1) Decarbonization - use of solar & wind ,RE (renewable energy)
2) Decentralisation - RE a threat to centralized energy productn
3) Digitization
4) Democratization- peer 2 peer energy trading

Changing energy mix
2020/ 2022 /2030 % of contribution
Thermal 62 /53 /35
Wind 10 /12 /17
Solar 9 / 20/ 36
Hydro 12 / 10 /8

Electricity value chain 4 parts
Generation - Transmission - Distribution - Consumption

Power sector construct
Long term 90%
Short term 10%

Power markets in developed countries are in range 30 - 80% of total power demand ,India 5%

Share of exchange in total generation
2016 - 2.9 %
2021 - 5.2%
Share of ST market in total generation
2016 - 9.9%
2021 - 10.3%
Exchange mkt & ST MKT as % of total gen
2016 29.9
2021 50.2

Electricity consumption to increase
Per capita consumption India 1/3rd global avg,to double over 5 yrs
- Core sector growth ,industrializationrapid urbanization to drive demand
Last mile connectivity- Saubhagya ,power for all 24/7
Demand
2017 - 1236 BU
2020 - 1381 BU

#stocks

Per capita electricity consumptn (KWh)
US 12994
Brazil 2601
China 3927
Global avg 3127
India 1181

IEX India leading power Xchange platform,mkt share 95%
Avg daily trade 6000+ MW
Record day vol 308 MUs

Customer
Industries 4000+
Discoms 55+
ES Cert 100+
Generators 500+
REs 1500+

1/ What Happens with More Funds than Stocks? (Madhavan, Sobczyk, Ang)

"Funds differ meaningfully in terms of individual stock holdings, and we examine the factor exposures of the typical fund and the cross section of holdings of different funds."

https://t.co/d6vU4Fgszg

2/ * Data on fund holdings are from Morningstar
* Sample: Jan. 1, 2007 to Dec. 31, 2018
* Only funds with at least 80% of holdings from the Russell 3000 universe are considered
* Mean AUM-weighted expense ratio for mutual funds (ETFs) is 70 bps (14.2 bps) as of Q4 2018

3/ "The holdings of ETFs and active mutual funds across U.S. stocks can be efficiently summarized by approximately 10 canonical funds.

"There is more commonality explained by the first few canonical funds for active mutual funds than for ETFs."

4/ "Commonality among equity mutual funds has remained approximately constant, but there has been increased dispersion in ETF offerings.

"We see no apparent rise in concentration or crowding for mutual funds over the period from January 2007 to December 2018."

5/ "We examine commonality in active mutual funds in Morningstar style box categories. While Value and Blend commonality has remained roughly constant over the period 2007-2018, Growth funds have exhibited a marked increase in crowded positions."

1/#VeFam, I see a lot of heated discussions regarding $VTHO and it’s speculative value. I thought I’d write a thread to clear out some misconceptions.

First up, VTHO is NOT yield from an investment ( $VET).The whole argument that VET has to give xx% returns via VTHO is pointless

2/Why? Because VTHO is a utility token required for network participation. While it is good that we ordinary holders can trade it, its primary purpose is to enable entities to use the network. VTHO is not a dividend, it is not yield, it’s simply a network participation enabler

3/is it undervalued? depends on if you’re talking about value arising from utility or speculation. Regarding the former, as long as the daily burn rate is lower than daily generation rate (~37m), value appreciation from utility is not a factor. But this will change.

4/regarding the latter,it’s anyone’s guess. It can go 1000x overnight,like anything in crypto.But remember,this is not a good thing for an enterprise focused utility token
Why?
Bcoz value appreciation from utility is organic. @vechainofficial and their customers can plan for this

5/value appreciation from speculation is not organic. It can disrupt budgets and planning. This is the reason there are several levers in place to cushion the speculation around VTHO. Read this article to understand what they

$LMND – Lemonade insurance, MEGA THREAD! 🥳

One of the longer ones, but we will come around the company, numbers, bull/bear-case, 2021 expectations, products, etc.

Always apricate a comment, retweet, and dialogue about these threads🥰

Hope you are ready🚀

1/x What they do

”Lemonade Insurance Company is transforming the very business model of insurance… Unlike any other insurance company, we gain nothing by delaying or denying claims (we take a flat fee!), so we handle and pay as many claims instantly as possible.”

2/x The company

👉4 years old
👉Hyper-scaleup
👉Not profitable
👉Using AI is their biggest advantage
👉+1M customers
👉They have 0 debt
👉+300 employees
👉+50 job openings atm
👉90 seconds to sign up
👉down to 3 seconds to get paid for a claim (avg. 1 day)

How they do:

3/x Funding💰

Lemonade Inc. is backed by investors including:

- Aleph
- General Catalyst
- GV (formerly Google Ventures)
- Sequoia Capital
- Thrive Capital
- SoftBank (biggest investor today, 21,18%)

The total money raised by the company to $480 million before IPO🤑🤑

4/x Data

- 87% of their customers are first-time policyholders
- 75% are younger than 34 years of age
- Biggest age group are 25-34 years with 63%
- 23,5% female / 76,5% male
- Customers Per human are outstanding
- Their prices are on average 68% cheaper than their competitors

As promised, a thread on one of my largest holdings going into the new year...

Allow me to introduce Smart Eye, "the king of DMS"

A little background first

Driver monitoring systems (DMS) are a soon-to-be-introduced safety feature in cars.

As the name suggests, they monitor drivers to ensure they are not tired or distracted while driving and gives them a nudge if they are.

This is going to be legally required to be in all new cars in Europe and North America by the middle of the decade.

As auto OEMs sell on a global basis, what happens in developed markets usually ends up in emerging markets as well.

As a result of this legislation, there is a pretty clear path for increased penetration of DMS in the auto industry.

The slide below shows industry forecasts of around 60% penetration in new cars sold globally by 2025.

As a small aside, Volvo did a great ad for DMS last year. Just priming consumers for what's to

THE ONE WHO STAYED BEHIND

Dimitar Berbatov & Christiano Ronaldo played for Manchester United in the 2008/2009 football session.
That was the only season both players were on the books of Manchester United at the same time...

Berbatov said of Ronaldo; “I was lucky to play alongside Ronaldo for a season. He was 100% professional, on the training pitch & off it.
I don't remember him ever being late for training...

He was always preparing in the gym, after training he would stay & do extra work like working on his shooting, then he would go swimming & go to the gym again…”
The club had strict training sessions. The players had to fit into the training schedules to stay fit & competitive...

They all wanted to excel.
They stuck religiously to these training schedules.
Their lifestyles- their training, eating, drinking, sleeping- everything was under scrutiny.
They were professional athletes, their physical fitness was very key to their success...

So they aligned themselves to these rigid training schedules.
when the training sessions were over, the players would leave for home.
BUT RONALDO WOULD STAY BEHIND!
He would train more.
He would practice more.
He would go swimming to tone his muscles more...

Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) has become very popular globally, especially in USA. SPACs are known as blank cheque companies, because its a shell company with cash. What is it? How does it work? This is a thread.

(1) A group of people, known as the promoters / founders will list a company (SPAC) on the stock exchange. They are the key management who are also shareholders of the SPAC.

(2) SPAC is a listed company, but has no assets, no business, nothing. It only has cash raised from IPO. Shell company with lots of money.

(3) Once listed, the SPAC will use this money to acquire another company and merge it into the SPAC. Once merged, the company is no longer a SPAC, as it now has assets & a core business and operates like any listed company.

(4) The money raised from IPO will be kept in a trust, until an acquisition is identified, closed & approved by regulators & shareholders. The operating expense of the SPAC is borned by promoters until the SPAC turns into company.

1. Some initial thoughts on the U.K.-EU trade deal, in advance of seeing the text, which is reported to be 2,000 pages plus...A THREAD (1/10)

2. As has been said repeatedly, this is what was described at the start of the process as a hard Brexit: the U.K. will be outside the Single Market and the Customs Union. There will be no tariffs or quotas but customs checks etc will erect substantial trade barriers in EU trade

3.There will be nothing for services except in areas where the EU will unilaterally grant equivalence. The EU will play hardball on this eg at end Nov EU made it clear that European derivatives trading will be limited to platforms inside the EU or third countries with equivalence

4. There will be areas where some products will be excluded from the trade deal. Seed potatoes has been mentioned - there may be other surprises yet.

5. Who moved? It seems as if the U.K. moved substantially on fish and the EU moved on its initial position on the LPF and the arbitration mechanism: it wanted something which involved automatic ratcheting - it feels more like a standard FTA between EU and non-European countries.

1. You will read today many ignorant assertions, of this ilk ...

https://t.co/5d5jgqVDqI

... to the effect that the EU has introduced "significant barriers to free trade e.g. customs and regulatory checks".

But the EU has introduced no new barriers.

2. Simply, the UK has redefined itself as a "third country" and positioned itself outside the EU's existing regulatory

3. As a third country, it will now have to deal with all the pre-existing regulatory barriers that have been erected over time, which apply (to a greater or lesser extent) to other third countries.

4. The degree to which this trade deal is effective can be measured by the extent to which these entry is handicapped by these pre-existing barriers, and what steps have been agreed to mitigate the effects.

5. However, as long as the UK is a third country, outside the Single Market, traders will have to deal with significant entry barriers when sending goods to the EU. These are an unavoidable consequence of leaving the Single Market.

Good evening and welcome to this week’s edition of 11 Wall Street.

This is a weekly thread where i look at happenings in the US equity space in the outgone week.

Please retweet from the very first tweet, so those on your timeline do not miss out.

If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to share.

It was a red week across board. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (commonly known as the Dow) fell by 0.91%.

The S&P 500 index fell by 1.48% and the NASDAQ composite index dipped by 1.54%.

Last week marked the commencement of the earnings season, with a number of banks releasing their earnings.

JP Morgan released its Q4 2020 numbers. It made $31.6 billion in revenue and an earnings per share of $3.79

Citigroup made $16.5 billion in revenue, and an earnings per share of $2.08.

Wells Fargo made$17.9 billion in revenue and an earnings per share of $0.64

1/

This whole thing is SO shady for so many reasons.

GameStop shares continue their rapid fall back toward earth, along with AMC Entertainment and Express

2/

A Reddit forum has played a big part in this.

Let's start there.

How r/WallStreetBets gamed the stock of GameStop

3/

🇨🇳
February 2019

"Chinese tech giant Tencent now plans to lead a new Series D funding round for Reddit, the social news forum plagued by controversy over the past decade."

Tencent Buys Stake In Another U.S. Social Network -- Reddit

4/

🇨🇳
Tencent, the world's largest video game vendor, invested in a company, Reddit, which is *banned in China*?

Weird.🤔

Reddit, Banned in China, Is Reportedly Set to Land $150 Million Investment From a Chinese Censorship Powerhouse

5/

These guys that are under investigation.

🇨🇳
U.S. government reportedly looking into 'League of Legends' owner Tencent's gaming stakes

Educational Thread :

#trading

1/1
Section 1 — Supply and Demand

Basic Trading Principles
Demand = Buyers
Buyers = Support

Supply = Sellers
Sellers = Resistance

Support will be the level at which demand will outweigh supply, causing the price to rise/increase.

1/2

Resistance will be the level at which supply will outweigh demand, causing the price to fall/decrease.
Supply and demand zones in trading are usually liquidity pools.
When an asset illustrates a sharp rise or decline large institutional players (whales in the case of crypto)

1/3
sometimes miss the entry or exit because of the size of the orders. When this happens they leave pending orders to buy or sell at the base of the liquidity zones, with the expectation that the price will return there to fill the remaining orders.

1/4
A high price rise zone is the demand zone (support) and the zone where price has made a sharp decline is the supply zone (resistance).
Demand Zone (Buyers Present)
Technical Analysis Term = Support