Reading a Reddit AMA with a former Q believer and he had a really insightful thing to say: “Conspiracy theory thinking hooks the brain because it feels like critical thinking.”

That seems very true from what I’ve observed. The thread is here if you’re interested:

I also thought it was interesting what shook him out of it: a post from Q containing obviously false information about the field he worked in, computers. He realized the technobabble made no sense, so what else was wrong?

As for what got him in in the first place? He grew up a fundamentalist Christian and so was primed with stories about how only they knew THE TRUTH about things like evolution, the end times, etc, and the rest of the culture was just full of powerful lies. Perfect breeding ground

If you want to see a really good in-depth exploration of how someone falls down an internet rabbit hole into extremism (not Q, but related to it in that it’s about white supremacy and far right politics), I’d recommend the podcast Rabbit Hole, from Kevin Roose at the NYT

You know what?

I *will* without a doubt regret this.

But I'm going to watch Mike Pence read out the last returns before I go to sleep.

Also.

FUCK YEAH, AMERICA!!!!

That was not sarcasm. Hell, I've got Lee damn Greenwood running through my head right now.

We had a no-kidding attempted coup today. One of the two guys who would have benefitted from that coup is standing in the chamber of the House - which was occupied by seditionists hours ago - signing off on his electoral defeat.

I never, in a thousand years, thought I would say this.

But I say thee ye, Michael Pence.

There is a highly instructive symposium on "Veil of Ignorance" #ProcessTracing in the new @APSAtweets QMMR publication https://t.co/nxqEQ9HaRz There is lots to say ab it. For now, I want to focus on whether (causal) qualitative research has a problem w/ confirmation bias that 1/

needs to be addressed.
In short, Veil of Ignorance process tracing aims to blindfold the data collectors and analysts to the hypotheses to reduce risk of confirmation bias.
Proposal receives a lot of criticism by all respondents, partly for valid reasons, partly not, IMO 2/

If there was no bigger issue with confirmation bias, there would not be much benefit in talking about blinding in qualitative research.
As Beach notes, the intro to the symposium does not present evidence that bias is a problem. This is correct, but there is also no evidence 3/

that confirmation bias is not a problem. It's an absence of evidence situation with regard to comprehensive, direct evidence, i.e. from verification studies of qualitative research (for studies that are built on an epistemology for which the idea of verification makes sense). 4/

However, I'd say there is circumstantial evidence that confirmation bias is a problem.
1) Evidence for confirmation bias in quantitative research: The developments around #OpenScience and transparency in quantitative research in different disciplines present diverse evidence 5/

A lot of women get in touch to ask me about #coercivecontrol and come to the conclusion that their partner is controlling, but not abusive enough that they want to leave.

So when is the right time to leave?

A THREAD

Is it when he calls you an ugly bitch the first time?
Or do you wait for him to call you it again?
Or do you wait until he has so completely undermined your sense of self worth that you don’t think you can leave?

Is it when he says that no one will love you like he does?

Or do you wait until he says that no one else COULD love you.

Or that you are unloveable?

Do you leave when he says he likes women to be women?

Or do you wait until he says you are fat and unless you lose weight, he will divorce you?

Do you leave when he pushes you into the wall and then claims he lost control because you made him so jealous?

Or do you wait until you no longer go anywhere, for fear of making him jealous?

Was Sent this = Long Winded
Warning: We have received this info yet we ask all of you to discern and take it to the Lord. There is a lot of disinfo right now. We do have faith in the folks who have shared this with us.

The Kikuyu reached a point they hated anybody who talked about corruption. They boycotted reading DN for David Ndiis column that chronicled Jubilee plunder. Seventh thread on Railaphobia – LONG THREAD, YOU CAN DISCARD

If Raila was that bad for giving Uhuru competition, you would imagine that hatred would be over once he decided to support Uhuru. This was the first contradiction. A common accusation again was that he is very selfish; he must be up to something

The Kikuyu accuse Raila of killing democracy in Luoland, yet they hated SK Macharia for supporting Raila in 2013. They even boycotted advertising with Inooro and citizen radio. They hated Tabitha of Keroche and boycotted summit beer – Saying Raila was shareholder

They would say how Luos are slaves of Raila but reserve the severest insults for Kikuyus who don’t support Uhuru. They were happy when Raila was barred from patronizing a Karatina hotel and when NASA was barred from holding a rally in Thika.

The same things done to them by Moi government, they never cared about happening to other people. They never even wanted to hear about corruption. Some Kikuyus openly confessed boycotting Nation newspaper because of David Ndii’s column – it talked too much about corruption.

1. From convo on @Morning_Joe today about @DrIbram's new article which asks that progressive policy not be blamed for D losses/underperformance.

One of my main concerns is intraparty factionalism/fighting. Everything a "moderate" & "progressive"

2. D fights- a R gets a vote. Certainly radical (and yes, defunding police departments IS radical) policy proposals that fall on the outside bands of the distribution are less attractive to this idealized "swing" voter who is, in our minds eye" always a high info, high reasoning.

3. I guess you'd call them a "fine dining" type voter. But we KNOW that actually, most swing voters are NOT like this. Don't believe me- check out @axios Swing Voter Project, which ran focus groups with Obama to Trump voters through the whole cycle.

4. Indeed, what @richthau learned about America's "deciders" is likely to haunt his sleep for ever as it personified a sticker I keep in my office which is a quote from George Carlin: "Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups." (K.I.M. when we talk "stupid"

5. on my threads about people, we're not talking IQ, or overall stupid. We're talking civics. We're talking about political literacy. Very smart, successful people can't name their senators or their governor & are thus, civically stupid. And I'm sorry, not sorry for labeling them

...are the children actually cancelling Sesshomaru now? Seriously? You all don't have better things to worry about?

This kind of vicious attack on fan media is often so misplaced, misrepresents real issues to justify simply disliking something, and encourages a creepy gatekeeping culture that drowns out genuine problems.

Being a fandom anti is like being an Evangelical Christian, it really is.

And the reason is because being an anti is a culture that's based on negativity, not positivity. You have to be mean and aggressive about any perceived issue AND you have to be all-in about it. You can't express any feelings that oppose the mob or you're out.

This is not the same thing as simply not liking something. Sometimes people just don't like something and sometimes they can explain why, other times they can't. Sometimes they find other people that don't like something. But that's usually not the foundation of their group.

Jyothy Labs conducted their earnings con-call today at 3:00 PM

Here are the key highlights 😀👇

@drprashantmish6 @unseenvalue @proxy_investor @deepakshenoy

#concall

Sector Trend:
• Strong demand in Homecare and healthcare
• Institutional business has gradual comeback and now near to pre-covid level
• New launches: Exo All Surface Cleaner launched in South of India
• Media spent increased for more growth
• Market share has been improved

Business: Updates:
• A&P spend increased with growth in business segment.
• Segmental performance in image.
• Due to lower other expenses the EBIDA margins have seen growth insipte of increase in adv. cost.

Business segment:
• Mainwash segment has started doing better.
• Postwash segment is still constrain as school and office are closed. However there is gradual growth.
• Dishwash segment remain robust and company continuous to see good growth over diswash.

Sales Growth:
• Higher utlization has been helping in decreasing the cost.
• Sales force with higher utlization reduces per cost, hence increase in margin.
• Increase in price has very little part.
• Company has current guidance of same margins of around 14-15%.

They were at a vigil when the issue came to light
The pastor of the church heard the testimony of one of the men of the church earlier that week and decided to allow him to share with the brethren
The man took the microphone and explained how he had

survived for two years without a job!
As soon as he said "Without a job" the congregation gasped!
It was impossible to even contemplate that the man was out of job for a second
He always dressed corporately and drove a good car
Everybody saw him as one of the gainfully employed

members of the church
The man explained further that a week after he lost his job in a stock brokering firm, his wife found him crying and promised him she would ensure his shame was covered
The man said at the end of every month, his wife would hand over her ATM card to him and

they would both go shopping for the family and for themselves
She knew he would eventually catch a break but she was determined not to let him suffer simply because times were hard
The man talked on and on about his wife's support
and love
While the talk was going on, the

assistant pastor watched the man with awe
When the man was done, a lady raised up her hand in the congregation
She said she wanted to ask a question
She was the assistant pastor's wife
When she was given the microphone, she said she didn't see any wisdom in what the man's wife

@RabbiArielSton1 can you help me. i was concerned about the safety and well being of a person, who was alleged to have right leaning tendencies. in my concern, i reached out. his patterns escalated, and now i am constantly bullied with swastika imagery from antifa.

i have been a long term campaigner against nazi-ism in portland---and young antifa, refuse to research my work. due to my interest in de-radicalising someone, i am bullied by people like @realfrostylady who seek to punish me with brutal swastika imagery.

every time, careless antifa, blast my account with this horrifying image of swastikas, i feel persecuted, and they do not respect the way that it traumatic to me, to do this work, and have no respect. i have tried to educate on holocaust. worked at museum, read huge amounts.

my Jewish ancestry is less provable than many, and i have sincerely believed i have little bits of Jewish due to stories, and names. but does it matter? if i feel in my heart, connected to that pain, why must they brutally inflict more trauma on me. my loved ones from israel...

my loved ones from israel, are separated from me, and it was perhaps an original hate crime against me, that antifa seek to abuse me with further. perhaps it was to punish my many jewish friends, or past lovers. can you ask them to stop. the people involved with torturing me

THREAD: On the full-fledged process of responding to a Revise-And-Resubmit (R&R).

I have written pieces of the process, but I hadn't actually written a thread or a blog post showcasing how all my blog posts fit with one another. I teach this process when I give workshops.

So here's what I do (now), and let me share a lesson from my past lives:

DO NOT SIT ON R&Rs.

I know, they're painful and scary and sometimes we don't know if our paper will get rejected in the end.

But remember, an R&R means an OPPORTUNITY to get your paper published.

Sitting on R&Rs, leaving them for later, and not prioritizing them has gotten me fewer publications. I know this for a fact. I am not ashamed of admitting that I have sometimes felt that I will not be capable of responding to multiple (often conflicting) comments.

HOWEVER...

Sustained, frequent advice from professors who are senior to me (though I am senior myself now too) is always the same and on-point:

The goal is the R&R.

You're not getting a desk rejection.

You are getting your work read, reviewed carefully, thought about, responded to.

What do I do now (and have been doing for the past few years, with success)

When I get the R&R (the "decision letter"), I make sure to calm down, because I am always afraid I'm going to get nasty comments. These have been (luckily) very rarely present in my latest submissions.

1/ The reality is that when Boehner and McConnell joined the Democrats in 2010, to thwart the impact of the tea party, they broke trust with the base.