Jacobtldr Categories Politics
Trump’s campaign has used the exact same strategy it used in 2016: smear his opponent; attempt to demotivate their base; and actively attempt to prevent or obstruct them from voting.
It is a push-down strategy.
1/
Striking finding from NYT/Siena: Biden has big leads among those who didn't vote in 2016. And they make up non-trivial portions of the electorate.
— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) November 1, 2020
Here are Biden's leads, followed by their vote share:
WI +19 (11%)
FL +17 (18%)
PA +12 (18%)
AZ +7 (22%)
It's a new electorate.
In 2016, didn’t win because he made a winning case to a big enough population.
He won because his opponent’s turnout was pushed down by a full-court press that tapped everything from misogyny to poll tampering.
2/
He is trying to run the exact same playbook against Biden.
But it isn’t working because:
1) We now understand it
2) Many who were effectively suppressed last time have had four years to see what that cost
3) Biden isn’t susceptible to the same illegitimate biases
3/
And 4) Many people who first engaged with politics because of Bernie are now well past the “...or Bust” vibe of 2016 and are now solidly active progressive voters
The media, pundits and analysts never fully reckoned with the extent to which Hillary’s vote was just suppressed.
4/
Instead, they overestimated Trump’s strength.
Trump only won by smothering just enough of his opponent’s support.
Some of the voters who that succeeded with in 2016 are vehemently un-smotherable this time.
5/
Don’t know if it’s significant, but it appears that Trump enthusiasm is high
P.S.-don’t block roads
Arizona
96 Miles....Yes, you read that correctly, 96 Miles in AZ! pic.twitter.com/QnePbLPgkG
— Red Viper 2.0 2020 (@redwins3_first) November 1, 2020
California
The Trump train here went on for miles and miles and miles on the 5. pic.twitter.com/2eqbYDpJJu
— Justin Hart (@justin_hart) November 1, 2020
Pennsylvania
Incredible. The one public appearance Joe Biden does this weekend is a speech in Pennsylvania that immediately turns into a massive Trump rally/car parade/GOTV event. pic.twitter.com/g2DwkxlYWt
— Joe Shikhman (@JoeShikhman) October 24, 2020
Israel?
Spotted in Jerusalem, the capital of Israel:
— Trump War Room - Text TRUMP to 88022 (@TrumpWarRoom) October 31, 2020
Massive motorcycle parade for President Trump!pic.twitter.com/Jp2PFtwJ3m
Virginia
#ElectionDay Heading to @CBSNews shoot + traffic #NorthernVirginia + caravan heading to 495 + participants said organized through FaceBook, emails. #Democracy2020 pic.twitter.com/KJOjEVuMIk
— Catherine Herridge (@CBS_Herridge) November 1, 2020
Just a thought.

Biden's extraordinary polling strength, which by the way predates the coronavirus outbreak, is as much a repudiation of the political elite's collective wisdom as Trump's victory was. We should be talking more about why the elites keeping getting the electorate completely wrong.
What if Biden is actually good at this and Twitter, whose cognoscenti insisted for the entire primary that he wasn't, is actually bad at this?
— (((Yair Rosenberg))) (@Yair_Rosenberg) October 12, 2020
Just a thought. pic.twitter.com/xCJgkuEES2
Here's one obvious reason this keeps happening: A constant overemphasis on the votes and issues of the young, who don't typically vote, and an disinterest in the votes of seniors, who are most likely to vote. Trump won them in 2016. Biden is winning them in 2020. Take note!
Biden's extraordinary polling strength, which by the way predates the coronavirus outbreak, is as much a repudiation of the political elite's collective wisdom as Trump's victory was. We should be talking more about why the elites keeping getting the electorate completely wrong. https://t.co/PyWSIaAo53
— (((Yair Rosenberg))) (@Yair_Rosenberg) October 12, 2020
Old folks are not on Twitter. They don't drive the social media conversation. Most campaign reporters are young, and naturally gravitate towards the issues of their generation. But this leads to reporting that doesn't align with the driving concerns of much of the electorate.
Here's one obvious reason this keeps happening: A constant overemphasis on the votes and issues of the young, who don't typically vote, and an disinterest in the votes of seniors, who are most likely to vote. Trump won them in 2016. Biden is winning them in 2020. Take note! https://t.co/NRDymLybOi
— (((Yair Rosenberg))) (@Yair_Rosenberg) October 12, 2020
This is convenient, but wrong. Biden has been polling this well against Trump since late 2019. Other Democratic candidates like Warren and even Bernie (who polled pretty well) did not. This difference requires explanation if we are being honest and not projecting our preferences.
Alternative:
— tetrakis[3,5-bis(trifluoromethyl)phenyl]borate (@betaturn) October 12, 2020
Biden is not that good at this, Trump is just deeply unpopular right now
We may be why he delayed this testimony until after the election...
Former FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe testifies on FBI Russia Investigation before @senjudiciary @JudiciaryDems - LIVE on C-SPAN3 https://t.co/unQUiEWLw7 pic.twitter.com/51jVADoaXA
— CSPAN (@cspan) November 10, 2020
#InnocenceProject Corrupt too? Like ACLU, RedCross,SEIU,BLM,CIA,FBI,DOJ,IRS,USPTO,FCC,SEC, under RenegadeObama?EXCLUSIVE: Valerie Jarrett Joins Board of Directors for the Innocence Project ;via=Snip Daily
2/Is #ShadowGovt doing Education Infiltration too?Former Obama adviser Valerie Jarrett joins Ariel Investment https://t.co/qYKxDHi3T3 founder&chairmanJohnW.RogersJr. a longtime friend of Obama's. Former ObamaSec'y of Education Arne Duncan also was appointed toAriel board
3/Is #ShadowGovt trying to wreck UBER in favor of corrupting LYFT?Lyft appoints former Obama adviser to board | https://t.co/X07u3OfxxN... Ride-hailing company Lyft Inc said on Monday it appointed Valerie Jarrett, an adviser to former President Barack Obama, to its board.
Facebook? #ShadowGovt Is this how DARPA gets in, hmm?
Facebook Goes Into Overdrive - Appoints Former Top Obama Advisor to Board of Directors
4/This list can go on..and on..an ON. It's not just aSWAMP, it's a deliberate &structured Parallel Construct by the prior Regime to OVERTHROW Our American Government from within: Beginning with CORRUPTING the Transition of Power, & ending w/ STEALING A PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION.. If

See...this is why I don't believe the Left really believes in science either...just their narrative.
Siegel does work for Fox, but is a Professor at NYU, FACP, etc.
But liberals are going to dismiss him...why?
Fox News Dr. Marc Siegel Will Interview Trump, Conduct 'Medical Evaluation' On-Camera Friday Night https://t.co/iqOWU7ra4b
— Mediaite (@Mediaite) October 9, 2020
If your first response is to dismiss someone because of their political or media affiliation...maybe consider that it is YOU that is the biased one.
Just saying.
Siegel may do a good job, or bad job (like Sanjay Gupta, who has done a good job in the past, but been awful of late). But he is a good physician. Just dismissing him without evidence is exactly the kind of thing Trump would do.
If we were consistent, we'd demand Biden perform tests on air too.
Of course, Dems don't want to do that. So there is a ton of hypocrisy here.