well... it's time for my ELECTION FORECAST.
First, some notes about my thoughts, and statistics, etc...
If you want to see the forecasts, just scroll on past the next few tweets to get to that... BUT these notes are important.
1/
My feeling is that the polls are getting this wrong, and in a BIG WAY. There are so many factors that are the cause... I'll run through them.
First, the media and pollsters are GREATLY underestimating the extreme anger rising up in the American population against trump...
2/
It's hard to overstate this. This is an election like no other in modern history. We have a president and an administration who are actively killing people during an election cycle, and seem to have no qualms about doing so... and the public is ACUTELY AWARE of this.
3/
Next, the youth vote. We're seeing a 600% increase in the youth vote, just in early voting, down here in Texas... and similar huge increases across the country. Pollsters aren't reaching these people... at all.
4/
Next, first time voters. This factor is massive. We're seeing huge numbers of first time voters across the country. Pollsters will never reach these people, as they don't fall into the categories of "active" or "likely" voters.
5/