This is how I see polling. Your results may vary.

1. For 90% of the time the pollsters can just make shit up within reason
2. They have to at least be in the realm of reality to be believed.
3. Sometimes their desire to push a particular point even outweighs this and

3. (cont) they push really fake polls that all the media report as God's honest truth like 90% of Americans believe in masks 🙄🙄 or that Biden is up by +14pts nationally while He is still fighting in PA🙄🙄.
4. But for the most part they stay within the realm of reality
5. The only "check" on pollsters is an election, where reality is actually measured not polled.

6. It is then extremely important that the pollsters get those last couple of polls before an election as close to reality as possible.

7. They need to get those final polls right.
8. Once the election is held and those final polls are compared to reality, the pollsters will loudly proclaim "See, the polls are right all the time because we got the election right"

9. Then the day after the election they can go back to fudging reality.
10. Many people fall for it, every time. Then it's simply a matter of rinse and repeat as the pollsters are paid to form public opinion not measure it until the next election.

11. Granted there are some pollsters that don't do this and strive to get it "right" every time.
12. And the ability of most pollsters to get it "mostly right" (within the Margin of error at least) before the election tells you that polls can be "accurate" if they want them to be. So, it's an easy tool to use to shape public opinion when you need it.
13. Due to all of this ability of the pollsters to make shit up and not be called on it, I've found that polls are pretty useless as a way to measure anything for the vast majority of time.

14. Sure they are fun to use when they "confirm" your opinion or belief but that doesn't
14. (Cont) mean the poll is "true". Polls, at the best of times, should, IMO, be viewed as suspect because there is absolutely no why to check that they are correct accept for that one day when all the people that want to vote actually vote and are actually measured.
15. Even on election day, polls can be used negatively as they give an opportunity for voter fraud as people counting the votes can use fraud to bring reality inline with the polls.

16. However, polls tend to pick up trends because they use the same procedures over and over.
17. So, there is some value to them even if the final result/number is complete bullshit. As long as you view polls with all of this in mind, they can be a week tool in your toolbox, but you should not allow polls to become your only tool or even your main tool.

More from Politics

THREAD:
Good afternoon, followers of frivolous election litigation. There's a last-minute entry in the competition for dumbest pre-inauguration lawsuit - a totally loony effort to apparently leave the entire USA without a government.

We'll start with the complaint in a minute.

But first, I want to give you a quick explanation for why I'm going to keep talking about these cases even after the inauguration.

They're part of an ongoing effort - one that's not well-coordinated but is widespread - to discredit our fundamental system of government.

It's a direct descendent, in more ways than one, of birtherism. And here's the thing about birtherism. It might have been a joke to a lot of people, but it was extremely pernicious. It obviously validated the racist "not good enough to be President" crowd. But that wasn't all.

Don't get me wrong, that was bad enough. Validating racism helped put the kind of shitbird who would tweet this from an official government account into power. But it didn't stop


(Also, if you agree with Pompeo about multiculturalism - the legendary melting pot - not being what this country is all about, you need to stop following me now. And maybe go somewhere and think about your life choices and what made you such a tool.)

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राम-रावण युद्ध समाप्त हो चुका था। जगत को त्रास देने वाला रावण अपने कुटुम्ब सहित नष्ट हो चुका था।श्रीराम का राज्याभिषेक हुआ और अयोध्या नरेश श्री राम के नेतृत्व में चारों दिशाओं में शन्ति थी।
अंगद को विदा करते समय राम रो पड़े थे ।हनुमान को विदा करने की शक्ति तो राम में थी ही नहीं ।


माता सीता भी हनुमान को पुत्रवत मानती थी। अत: हनुमान अयोध्या में ही रह गए ।राम दिनभर दरबार में, शासन व्यवस्था में व्यस्त रहते थे। संध्या को जब शासकीय कार्यों में छूट मिलती तो गुरु और माताओं का कुशल-मंगल पूछ अपने कक्ष में जाते थे। परंतु हनुमान जी हमेशा उनके पीछे-पीछे ही रहते थे ।


उनकी उपस्थिति में ही सारा परिवार बहुत देर तक जी भर बातें करता ।फिर भरत को ध्यान आया कि भैया-भाभी को भी एकांत मिलना चाहिए ।उर्मिला को देख भी उनके मन में हूक उठती थी कि इस पतिव्रता को भी अपने पति का सानिध्य चाहिए ।

एक दिन भरत ने हनुमान जी से कहा,"हे पवनपुत्र! सीता भाभी को राम भैया के साथ एकांत में रहने का भी अधिकार प्राप्त है ।क्या आपको उनके माथे पर सिन्दूर नहीं दिखता?इसलिए संध्या पश्चात आप राम भैया को कृप्या अकेला छोड़ दिया करें "।
ये सुनकर हनुमान आश्चर्यचकित रह गए और सीता माता के पास गए ।


माता से हनुमान ने पूछा,"माता आप अपने माथे पर सिन्दूर क्यों लगाती हैं।" यह सुनकर सीता माता बोलीं,"स्त्री अपने माथे पर सिन्दूर लगाती है तो उसके पति की आयु में वृद्धि होती है और वह स्वस्थ रहते हैं "। फिर हनुमान जी प्रभु राम के पास गए ।