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The anatomy of a scenario...
A 𝘁𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱 on how mitigation works, why we probably need some level of carbon capture & storage (CCS) & carbon dioxide removal (CDR) - just not as much as in scenarios.
Based on my presentation ↦ https://t.co/j5uLxUi0xF
2. We start with a baseline or reference scenario, that assumes no or limited mitigation. If we want to stay "well below 2°C" we need to get rid of the dark grey & be net-zero!
We can argue about the baseline, but for the purposes here, it doesn't matter https://t.co/C0dAdj65tl
3. The heavy lifting is done by conventional mitigation: behavioural change, energy efficiency, fuel switching (fossils to non-fossils), changed transport, dematerialisation, etc, etc...
But, scenarios suggest this is not enough to get rid of all greenhouse gases.
4. In some sectors, particularly some industrial sectors, perhaps the cheapest or only way to mitigate is with carbon capture & storage (CCS), eg, cement, steel, chemicals, etc
This is one reason we need CCS...
5. We can't forget about non-CO₂ emissions. We can probably get most non-CO₂ out of industry, but what about agriculture? Even if we change diet, reduce food waste, etc, we may not be able to eliminate CH₄ or N₂O from agriculture.
Some CO₂ & non-CO₂ remains (dark grey)...
A 𝘁𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱 on how mitigation works, why we probably need some level of carbon capture & storage (CCS) & carbon dioxide removal (CDR) - just not as much as in scenarios.
Based on my presentation ↦ https://t.co/j5uLxUi0xF
2. We start with a baseline or reference scenario, that assumes no or limited mitigation. If we want to stay "well below 2°C" we need to get rid of the dark grey & be net-zero!
We can argue about the baseline, but for the purposes here, it doesn't matter https://t.co/C0dAdj65tl
3. The heavy lifting is done by conventional mitigation: behavioural change, energy efficiency, fuel switching (fossils to non-fossils), changed transport, dematerialisation, etc, etc...
But, scenarios suggest this is not enough to get rid of all greenhouse gases.
4. In some sectors, particularly some industrial sectors, perhaps the cheapest or only way to mitigate is with carbon capture & storage (CCS), eg, cement, steel, chemicals, etc
This is one reason we need CCS...
5. We can't forget about non-CO₂ emissions. We can probably get most non-CO₂ out of industry, but what about agriculture? Even if we change diet, reduce food waste, etc, we may not be able to eliminate CH₄ or N₂O from agriculture.
Some CO₂ & non-CO₂ remains (dark grey)...
The solution to this problem is to figure out credible reasons to justify the number of indian military personnel, and the expenses of maintaining this relationship. Once you do that, reveal the details, and they lose leverage to push through this issue. /1
And that means owning up to why Indian military assistance is needed. This requires large national conversation about the threat of Islamic extremists in the Maldives, explain the dangers and the opportunity cost of an attack etc. /2
People will except we'll reasoned decision making. And the public already has a frame of reference to indian military assistance from November 3rd 1988. So none of this is new or a surprise. /3
What is being weaponised is this imagined spectre of loss of autonomy for the country by collaborating with indian military on national security issues. This is an easy problem to solve. /4
The solution is merely laying out how national autonomy is maintained in such a national security collaboration. It's not like the Maldives can defend itself from any foreign military invasion anyways. /5
\u0787\u07a8\u0782\u07b0\u0791\u07a8\u0787\u07a7 \u0790\u07a8\u078a\u07a6\u0787\u07a8\u0782\u07b0\u078e\u07ac \u0787\u07a6\u078b\u07a6\u078b\u07aa \u0780\u07a7\u0789\u07a6\u0782\u07aa\u0786\u07aa\u0783\u07a8 \u0789\u07a6\u0787\u07b0\u0790\u07a6\u078d\u07a6 \u0780\u07a6\u0787\u07a8 \u0786\u07af\u0793\u07aa\u0782\u07b0 \u0784\u07a6\u078d\u07a6\u0787\u07a8\u078e\u07ac\u0782\u07b0\u078a\u07a8 https://t.co/qIYqo1RCo0
— Mihaaru (@Mihaarunews) December 8, 2020
And that means owning up to why Indian military assistance is needed. This requires large national conversation about the threat of Islamic extremists in the Maldives, explain the dangers and the opportunity cost of an attack etc. /2
People will except we'll reasoned decision making. And the public already has a frame of reference to indian military assistance from November 3rd 1988. So none of this is new or a surprise. /3
What is being weaponised is this imagined spectre of loss of autonomy for the country by collaborating with indian military on national security issues. This is an easy problem to solve. /4
The solution is merely laying out how national autonomy is maintained in such a national security collaboration. It's not like the Maldives can defend itself from any foreign military invasion anyways. /5
Webinar on tools for assessing national #climate pledges (NDCs) by @WRIClimate. @davidwaskow reminds: #ParisAgreement is meant to work thru an iterative process of increasing ambition (faster emission reductions), leading to #netzero emissions by 2050. (Thread 1/n)
The world is currently WAY over our #carbonbudget for where we need to be to align with #ParisAgreement. Orange= countries will do under any event; red = conditional (e.g., will do if they get needed finance). We have LOTSA emissions to reduce fast @davidwaskow @WRIClimate (2/n)
Of 21 indicators assessed for #ParisAgreement:
2 are on track (e.g., crop yields)
13 right direction but too slow (e.g., need electric vehicle sales to be 22x faster than now)
2 in wrong direction: forests, ag emissions
@davidwaskow from @climateactiontr, @WRIClimate et al 3/n
Current state of play: 12 Dec 2021= 5 year #ParisAgreement anniversary. Look for more announcements of national climate pledges. Some new pledges already released, but many govt's focused on #COVID19 recovery- important to link with climate-compatible recovery. @davidwaskow 4/n
What is https://t.co/kymb46d9yv?
100s of credible datasets,
100,000s of data points
to assess #climate trends, targets, bring transparency to inform + drive #ClimateAction.
For govts, biz, researchers, NGOs
Run by @JohannesFried.
(See also other forest, energy, ... tools) 5/n
The world is currently WAY over our #carbonbudget for where we need to be to align with #ParisAgreement. Orange= countries will do under any event; red = conditional (e.g., will do if they get needed finance). We have LOTSA emissions to reduce fast @davidwaskow @WRIClimate (2/n)
Of 21 indicators assessed for #ParisAgreement:
2 are on track (e.g., crop yields)
13 right direction but too slow (e.g., need electric vehicle sales to be 22x faster than now)
2 in wrong direction: forests, ag emissions
@davidwaskow from @climateactiontr, @WRIClimate et al 3/n
Current state of play: 12 Dec 2021= 5 year #ParisAgreement anniversary. Look for more announcements of national climate pledges. Some new pledges already released, but many govt's focused on #COVID19 recovery- important to link with climate-compatible recovery. @davidwaskow 4/n
What is https://t.co/kymb46d9yv?
100s of credible datasets,
100,000s of data points
to assess #climate trends, targets, bring transparency to inform + drive #ClimateAction.
For govts, biz, researchers, NGOs
Run by @JohannesFried.
(See also other forest, energy, ... tools) 5/n
Sir @LLinWood
You opened a portal
I went through a journey and this is what I found
I started looking for Italian luxury fashion industries
Connect with the way of Silk?
Story always repeated itself https://t.co/op65Y1OMtz
China slowly buying everything
Industries and part of banks power
With politicians signing agreements
And powerful industries in main sectors too
You opened a portal
I went through a journey and this is what I found
I started looking for Italian luxury fashion industries
Connect with the way of Silk?
Story always repeated itself https://t.co/op65Y1OMtz
Did you know that Chinese Communist Party owns THE Panama Canal?
— Lin Wood (@LLinWood) December 13, 2020
Did you know that CCP built its own Suez Canal next to one built by America?
Do you know how much land CCP has purchased in Africa, South America & United States?
Wake up America.#FightBack
China slowly buying everything
Industries and part of banks power
With politicians signing agreements
And powerful industries in main sectors too