A nobody cares thread.

Nobody cares about the things that matter - getting investors in, helping new distributors advisors, making things (Slightly) easier for investors, honest mis-selling etc.

Lot of startups who are yet to make profits are filing for IPOs globally. I'm reading the filings and the language is terrible. A few tips on how to do it right.

Here are the right terms to use instead of the current antiquated language.

We are making losses.

"We've been consistently making negative profits and growing year on year."

We don't yet have a business model.

"We're innovation leaders in several fast growing market segments"

Losses will increase for the foreseeable future.

"Blockchain"

EBITDA is negative

"Our future adjusted EBITDA margin is consistently positive"

We Work got it right with their Community adjusted EBITDA

Holy shit. 8000 crores raised IN NFOs in a month. Look at the schemes, all pointless garbage!

https://t.co/jZoancOqqa

If you look closely, 4 out of the 6 top NFOs in terms of money raised are from bank owned NFOs. These AMCs are notoriously skilled at selling garbage funds through their banking channels. They've turned mis-selling into an art. They're are Picasso's of mis-selling

One would be excused for thinking these are intent based allocations by investors which isn't the case. These funds would've been sold mis-sold by any way possible. Bank RMs are incentivized to do so.

Otherwise, in a country where people don't understand a simple mutual funds, expecting people to understand a worthless and pointless ESG fund a d then allocating 1500 crores is a mega stretch. ICICI Pru too had raised 1000+cr for its ESG fund.

The fact that these new funds are raising so much money to me is a negative. In a time like this, where will retail investors find fresh money to allocate? Which means they must doing stupid things like selling other funds.

@TraderIndian

Has anyone seen "you are getting mutual fund units at discount" and "India growth story" tweets?

This is a bit worrying.

It's a beautiful Saturday on this Corona riddled planet. It's a good day to do the following:

1. Open your account statement and find out how much commissions you are paying. You'd be paying anywhere between 0.7% to 1.3% extra over direct plans.

1.5 You can download your statement on CAMS, KARVY, NSDL etc.

2. If you are one of those Robinhood Traders and you started mistakenly investing in mutual funds instead of trading mutual funds, commissions can kill you! A simple 1% difference in commissions can add over 10-15 years. This comparison has been done to death but once more.

3. Figure of if whoever sold you these things, be if your advisor or distributor are providing value equal those commissions or not. This is an incredibly hard thing to figure. You need to do deep research, understand money yourself and then ask your advisor/distributors

3.5 This is an incredibly hard thing to figure. You need to do deep research, understand money yourself and then ask your advisor/distributors the right questions. Beware these guys are prone to bullshitting. So, interrogate them as a cop would a criminal.

“In search of the holy grail”

A thread-

Holy grail- A strategy Which can make money all the time.

After going through two phases of a traders journey, the initial success phase, and Only why do i get loss phase, Traders enter the third phase -

THE SEARCH FOR THE HOLY GRAIL PHASE.

This phase has no limits, It can end in 1 month and it may not end till lifetime.

What exactly is this phase?

When a trader covers all the basics, they know how to lower their losses, they know the power of risk management.

And few of them may even develop their edges and systems over time.

But after some time, they feel that they are doing something wrong and there is more to trading than what they know.

THEN COMES THE HOLY GRAIL PART-

Few of them start to Read more books about trading,finding articles about “How to win 100% of the time” and listening to Youtube videos of few big traders who make big in trading.

Indian Investing Conclave Day 1 @IIC_2020

:Route Mobile
:Philip Carbon Black
:Borosil Ltd
:Arvind Ltd
:Hawkins Cooker
:Repco Homes
:Shaily Engineering Plastics

Route Mobile @ravidharamshi77

Investment Hypothesis in CPaaS companies

:Crossed the technology adoption chasm
:Huge addressable opportunity - Industry growth estimates 30-50%
:Profitable Unit Economics, Cash Generating, Incremental Cost Low

CPaaS growing at 40%

Route Mobile

:Applications served by route mobile - Facebook, Instagram, Whatsapp, Google Pay to name a few
:Route mobile platform used for : 2 factor authentication, Notification for customer engagement across portfolio of apps

Route Mobile Key points

:Scaled upto 1200cr of revenue from internal accruals
:Huge runway for growth
:Multi geography and Omni-Channel presence
:Cash available for M&A
:Scope of margin improvement
:Demonstrated ability to move up the value scale

Philips Carbon Black @sarkaraniruddha

:Indias largest carbon black manufacturer
:Where is carbon black used, Tyre Rubber(73%), Non Tyre Rubber (20%), Non Rubber Speciality Carbon (7%)

Industry Size & Capacity Addition
1.3 Million Tonnes capacity and PCB has 43% market share

Knowledge sharing initiative Book 1 : "Mastering the market cycle" by @HowardMarksBook

This incredible book focuses on understanding why periods of recessions & growth occur frequently wearing lenses of all mkt participants-the economists, the investors & the regulators.

(1/n)

The book tries to explain the human tendency of extrapolating the recent past and the imbalance in defining risk at the time of bear & bull markets. It is this tendency that drives booms & busts.

Here are the Important learnings from the book: 👇

(2/n)

1. Every Asset class goes through a cycle - Up & Down this book teaches why such Up & down occur how to spot them & how investors can improve their returns.

(3/n)

2. Its extremely difficult to forecast Macroeconomic variables like interest rate, inflation, GDP etc there's a reason even Central bankers & Presidents of the country fail consistently at the same

(4/n)

3. In down cycle as prices fall odds are in favor of investors & hence we should invest more & Vice Versa
4. Experienced investors–like everyone else–don’t know exactly what the future holds but they do have an above-average understanding of future tendencies & probabilities(5/n)

A small thread on momentum investing and how I practice it.

I use the Nifty 500 universe for selecting my momentum stocks. Nifty 500, as the name suggests, has 500 companies in it. WRONG !!!! It actually has 501 companies. Yes, I double-checked 🙂 So, these 501 companies is

my talent pool (if you will) from which I select the 50 best candidates that I want to bet my money on.

Ok. So, exactly, did I go about doing that.

Step 1: Start with Nifty 500 universe (501 companies)

Step 2: Eliminate all those companies which have a listing history of

less than 1 year. This eliminated 25 companies (see table).

Step 3: For the remaining 476 companies, I computed their last 12-month rolling price returns (meaning, comparison of their price as on March 31, 2022 as compared to that as on March 31, 2021, and then computing the %

gain that each of those stocks have earned. I found out the following:

a) Average return of all the 476 companies was 43.27% (meaning if their average price as on March 31, 2021 was 100, then their average price as on March 31, 2022 was 143.27)

b) Out of these 476 companies

140 companies, gave a negative return.

c) Out of the balance 336 companies, 46 companies gave single-digit returns

d) Out of the balance 290 companies, 101 companies gave a return between 10-30%

e) Out of the balance 189 companies, 55 gave returns between 30-50%