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Saved by @vsamk

#NIFTY

Bearish engulfing on monthly or bullish harami on Weekly , which one will play out?

Outlook for the week Jan 2 - 6, 2022.

THREAD: Deconstructing NIFTY on 5 different TF's.

 #NIFTY

1. Monthly TF:

• Although the structure in monthly TF is of HH-HL, December monthly candle is a more of a bearish engulfing.

• However it is exactly at the support

• 17800-18000 looks like a strong support.
#NIFTY

2. Weekly TF:

• 17800- 1800 used to be a resistance in April & August 2022.

• However post BO of those levels, they might act as an immediate support.

• Current weekly candle is closer to the support (erstwhile resistance)
#NIFTY

3. Daily TF:

• After a sharp vertical fall, we expected a buying momentum

• Also Nifty filled the Gap.

• Strong support at 17800
#NIFTY

4. Hourly TF:

Moving within the rising channel, albiet the channel is quite steep.
#NIFTY

5. 15 min TF:

• S/R mentioned on the chart.
#NIFTY

Conclusion:

• Expecting market to respect 17975-18000 levels.

• Once it closes and sustains > 18250 then uptrend will resume.
I regularly share weekly outlook on indices (NIFTY & BANKNIFTY) and many more threads on trading & finance.

If you enjoyed this, then do check out the outlook for #BANKNIFTY by clicking here:

https://t.co/P4KGdPmKZk

More from Nikita Poojary

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Few weeks ago @Ronak_Unadkat Sir conducted an exclusive session for me & @adityatodmal to explain how he trades.

He was kind enough to share all his trade strategies and was patient enough to answer our doubts.

Thought of making a 🧵for the benefit of the larger audience here.

Sir's Option Selling Logic 🧵:
• Reversals in Intraday Option selling
• Strike Selection & SL
• Hedging for any Black Swan Event
• Positional Option selling
• Ratio Spreads
• How to manage the positions
• Capital mgmt

In collaboration with @AdityaTodmal


How to play reversals
• Always look at the chart as a starting point
• Spot the Swing low
• Sell Strikes 300-400 points below that swing low
• Buy a proper hedge


• Example on how to play reversals on Intraday
• Instead of the selling the support strike sell a bit far


• As the strike is far from the support you get enough cushion

• As soon as the SL is hit, you can exit the positions

• without your strike coming into ITM
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Nikita Poojary
Nikita Poojary
@niki_poojary
The most valuable aspect in trading you aren't using:

POSITION SIZING

Sizing is the key, you'll make big money only if you own a significant size without compromising on risk.

Here are 10 of them, and they are for free: 🧵

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ For a faster growth, one needs to have a bigger size:

• What difference would it make if a stock moves by 300%?

• But then, what if you had only 1% capital allocation?

• Despite the stock performing spectacularly, your account won't reflect the same, due to small sizing.

2/ Three types of position sizing:

1. Fixed absolute Rupee amount that one is willing to risk.
2. % risk of the total capital.
3. Basis the edge.

Risk tolerance should be taken into consideration while determining appropriate position sizing.

3/ Fixed absolute Rupee Amount:

• Eg: Total capital is Rs. 10 lacs and the max risk per trade is Rs. 7500

• Lets say a stock is trading at 1200 and your SL is 1120 (i.e. your risk per unit us Rs. 1200-1120 =Rs. 80)

• Optimum qty: 7500/80 = 94 units

4/ Percentage risk of total capital:

• Lets say you want to risk 1% of the total capital on each trade.

• Considering the total capital of Rs. 10 lacs, you shall risk Rs. 10,000 i.e. 1% of 10lacs on each trade.

• Quantity to be traded/invested calculation remains the same.
ALL
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Nikita Poojary
Nikita Poojary
@niki_poojary
Time for a Thread🧵On yesterday’s “F&O Pe Charcha - Diary Of An Option Seller” with @Mitesh_Engr by @Paytm Money

Why Gain/loss ratio is important that the batting average
• More than the Win Loss ratio check the total Gain /loss ratio
• If your avg loss is 1% and avg gain is +5% then even if you are losing in 7 positions and winning in 3 out of 10 still you will be net profitable

Treat Trading as a business:
• Stick to a single strategy. Eg: A restaurateur usually wouldn’t be changing his recipe on a daily basis
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• Any trader should atleast experience 3 scenarios i.e. bull, bear & consolidation
• Target 4% per month i.e. 48% p.a.
• Option buying requires skill, everyday there wont be huge momentum, so buying options won’t yield good results, but high chances of falling into a bad habit

Stock Selection:
• In F&O segment there are ~150 stocks
• Not everyday all stocks will move
• Only 5-7 stocks move upside or downside
• Focus only these momentum stocks
• Check which one is moving
• Range BO/BD never disappoints. BO/BD from a rectangle (consolidation)
MPLEARNINGS , ALL , OPTION SELLING
Nikita Poojary
Nikita Poojary
@niki_poojary
Thread: Free Options Trading Course for Beginners with small capital.

Reference: Option trading marathon series, part 1 from Mr. Subasish Pani ft. @PushkarRThakur

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ Trading journey of Mr. Pani

• He has an experience of 7 years.

• He has made a profit of Rs. 20 cr. over these years with a capital of Rs. 2 cr.

• However, it's not easy to make such profits.

• More difficult, is to retain those profits and build more on it.

2/ How he ventured to options selling

• He started with futures and option buying however after a certain point when his capital grew, he faced scalability issues and hence he resorted to options selling.

3/ Investing becomes imp once the capital grows:

• Since his trading profits have grown well, he has started investing (investing is always for LT).

• For folks who dnt have much info regarding investing can simply buy Nifty 50 stocks & keep rebalancing as Nifty 50 does.

4/ Covered calls strategy for the portfolio:

• Pledge the portfolio and receive margin ~80% which he would then use to sell OTM CEs of the stocks which are in his portfolio.

• This helps in generating fixed income from the portfolio.
TRADING
Nikita Poojary
Nikita Poojary
@niki_poojary
How to make 1% consistently via Option Selling?

• Analyzing the trend
• Selling OTM's
• Making adjustments
• Capturing trending move
• Without big drawdowns
• Right Position Sizing
• Risk Management

Here are the 11 aspects to focus on:

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1. Analyze the trend:

To begin with, determine whether Bank Nifty is trending, consolidating, or stuck in a range.

Why?

Cause we can predict what it will do then.

2. How many points to capture?

The margin required for selling one lot is around Rs. 1.5 lakh for a strangle.

If we earn around Rs. 1500 on one lot, we would make 1% return on our capital.

1500/25 = 60 points

Either sell directional 60 and make it zero.

Or 30-30 both sides.

3. How do we begin in the weekly expiry?

Can tend to skip Friday's as there are two days holiday.

In those 2 days market has ample time to come out with news, react to SGX and so forth.

So from a R:R perspective it is not great to carry from Friday.

Even the decay isn't huge if you see unless there's a big gap and you are on the correct size of it.

The Weekly candle also is from Monday to Friday.

So at Friday EOD we know how the weekly candle looks as well.
OPTION SELLING

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Edwin Hayward \U0001f984 \U0001f5e1
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡...
@uk_domain_names
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Abhishek Kar
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FREE MINI STOCK MBA
If you wish to learn abt trading,psychology,options,business etc
You can go through this thread.
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RT will be appreciated

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Trendline is basically use for majoring trend 📈 of any stock.

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And that all three points must tested equally.

example 👇 #sis


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⚡Downtrend - #bluedart


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Option Trading is very difficult to master as there are so many things to understand.

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A complete course worth Rs 50K for free.

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महाभारत की कहानी कौन नहीं जानता।लेकिन क्या आपको पता है कि महाभारत के ज्यादातर पात्र किसी न किसी श्राप में फंसे थे।अगर ये श्राप न होते तो कदाचित महाभारत की कहानी कुछ और होती।हिन्दु पौराणिक ग्रंथों में विभिन्न श्रापों का वर्णन मिलता है व हर श्राप के पीछे कोई कहानी अवश्य होती है।


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जब राजा ने उन्हें देखा तो बहुत दुखी हुए कि ये मुझसे क्या पाप हो गया।बहुत क्षमा याचना के बाद भी किन्दम ऋषि ने पाण्डु को श्राप दे दिया कि जब भी वो किसी स्त्री को काम भावना से स्पर्श करेंगे उसी क्षण उनकी मृत्यु हो जाएगी।पश्चाताप करने, वे सिंहासन पे अन्धे राजा धृतराष्ट्र को बैठाकर...


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@Sevakofmata
Sharing one incident... After Modi's Trichy youth conference, the very next morning when police were clearing up their mini-control room, they found 5 strange boys who were roaming there with bags. When police enquired them "Sir, we are from Subramaniapuram in Trichy.

Whatever political meeting or conference is held in this ground, we come here on the same night or morning hours to collect the Liquor bottles to sell in the scrap shop for 50 paisa to 1 rupee per bottle and we used to earn Rs 200 to Rs 400 on each such event.

Even in the last DMK meeting the very next day we collected around 1500 bottles. But for Modi's BJP meeting, we could not find even a single bottle in the whole ground. We are coming around and around and not a single bottle in any corner of the G Corner ground in Trichy,

we are much disappointed, sir!". Police seem were stunned and pleasantly surprised. This is what Modi magic does in this nation. Modi is the one who can lead our nation and make everyone prosper with hardwork in right direction and proper approach.

This funny but interesting anecdote was published by a statewide local daily Dinamalar. I have just translated and posting it here for rest of the nation;
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Fake chats claiming to be from the Irish African community are being disseminated by the far right in order to suggest that violence is imminent from #BLM supporters. This is straight out of the QAnon and Proud Boys playbook. Spread the word. Protest safely. #georgenkencho


There is co-ordination across the far right in Ireland now to stir both left and right in the hopes of creating a race war. Think critically! Fascists see the tragic killing of #georgenkencho, the grief of his community and pending investigation as a flashpoint for action.


Across Telegram, Twitter and Facebook disinformation is being peddled on the back of these tragic events. From false photographs to the tactics ofwhite supremacy, the far right is clumsily trying to drive hate against minority groups and figureheads.


Declan Ganley’s Burkean group and the incel wing of National Party (Gearóid Murphy, Mick O’Keeffe & Co.) as well as all the usuals are concerted in their efforts to demonstrate their white supremacist cred. The quiet parts are today being said out loud.


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Vibhu Vashisth
Vibhu Vashisth
@VIBHU_Tweet
Do you know?

The Golden Shine on the artificial jewellery of modern times is a gift by Nagarjuna.

Now,u might be wondering,who is Nagarjuna?

Nagarjuna was the name of an ancient Indian scholar&scientist whose name is associated with the fields of Alchemy,Chemistry& Metallurgy.


He conducted a number of alchemic and Metallurgical experiments directed towards transforming base elements into Gold.
According to Eduard Sachau's Alberuni's India, Nagarjuna was termed as a Metallurgist who was born 100 yrs before Alberuni's time, who was born in 973 CE.


According to some records Nagarjuna was born in 9th century CE near Somnath,Gujarat and according to some Tibetan & Chinese sources he was born in Vidarbha,Maharashtra from where he later migrated to Deccan region.


Edward Schau quotes in his book,'They have a science similar to Alchemy and Nagarjuna is famous for this science which they call as 'Rasayana'.

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Savitri Mumukshu - \u0938\u093e\u0935\u093f\u0924\u094d\u0930\u0940 \u092e\u0941\u092e\u0941\u0915\u094d\u0937\u0941
Savitri Mumukshu - साव...
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The kingdom of Sindh was ruled by its last Hindu king Raja Dahir during the 8th century. When Muhammad-bin-Qasim invaded Sindh, he decimated Sindh in his savage bloodlust. The chronicles of his advent are described in the Chachnama.


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