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SIMPLE & FREE LEARNING FOR U ALL FRIENDS

important off PDL/H

by a group friend

A simple #swingtrading strategy
1. Whenever you see a stock in strong uptrend it will tend to take support on its 21 ema.
2. Always look whether the stock has taken support previously.
@kuttrapali @rohanshah619 @chartmojo @chartworldat
#adaniports #balajiamine #jswsteel

3. 21 ema will act as dynamic support in a trending market
4. Risk: Reward is favourable in such setups
5. 50 ema can also act as support which can be kept as stoploss for swing trading
6. Volume should be less during pullbacks .
#nifty50 #stockmarket #CHARTS

Though you may have lot of indicators on selecting stock for intraday.

Just add below for selection

1- stock is moving n sectors also moving. Buy stock which is leading sector

2- stock which you are buying intraday also breaking 2/50 days high give preference first.

3- whole market is down and if stock making life high must buy first

4- Try To have watch list of high beta stock which usually after signal have capacity to move 2% or more.

5- Stock which is outperforming index i.e when index fall it going up or when index up it move faster.

Is HDFC undervalued ?

Market capitalisation of HDFC is 3,10,478 Crores. But HDFC houses listed holdings worth 2,19,437 Crores and several unlisted businesses.

FY20 profit was 21,435 Crores. Setting aside the holdings, HDFC is trading at a PE of 3-4.

Let's dig deeper. A thread.

About HDFC

They are the leaders in housing finance.

AUM: 5,16,773 Crores
Secured Lending: 97%
CAR: 17.6%
NIM: 3.4%
Average Individual Loan: 27 Lakhs
Deposit Agents: 24000
Employees: 3095
Assets Per Employee: 163 Crores
Profit Per Employee: 3 Crores
Auditor Fees: 5.28 Crores

HDFC Bank

HDFC owns 21.24% of HDFC Bank. The stake is worth 1,22,812 Crores. In FY20 HDFC Bank paid a dividend of 864 Crores to HDFC.

HDFC sources 26% of the loans through HDFC Bank. HDFC Bank has the right to buy 70% of the loans sourced.

Performance of HDFC Bank:

HDFC Life

HDFC owns 51.44 of HDFC Life. The stake is worth 61,779 Crores. HDFC Life didn't pay a dividend last year adhering to the suggestions from IRDAI.

RBI has directed HDFC to bring its shareholding in HDFC Life to 50% by 16th December 2020.

Performance of HDFC Life:

HDFC AMC

HDFC owns 52.7% of HDFC AMC. The stake is worth 27,230 Crores. Last year HDFC AMC paid a dividend of 135 Crores to HDFC.

AUM: 3.7 Lakh Crores

Performance of HDFC AMC:

A simple thread to understand relationship between US Dollar and Emerging Markets.

The relationship between the performance of Emerging Market stocks and the US Dollar is one of the tightest macro relationships that exists in investing.

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The weekly return correlation between US Dollar and MSCI Emerging Market Index is -0.70 over last 10 years. Which means when US Dollar weakens, Emerging Market stocks rally and vice versa.

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As seen in this chart, the MSCI EM Index and the MSCI World Index ratio and the US Dollar Index are negatively-correlated.

When US Dollar weakens, EM index outperform World Index and when US Dollar strengthens EM index underperform World index.

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From 1995 to 2000, the USD appreciated over 30%, while the MSCI EM Index underperformed the MSCI World Index by over 15% annualised.

Then from 2001 to 2010, the U.S. dollar depreciated over 18% while the MSCI EM Index outperformed the MSCI World Index by 14% annualised.

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Then from 2011 to 2020, the U.S. dollar appreciated over 30%, while the MSCI EM Index underperformed the MSCI World Index by 7% annualized.

Overall, from 1995 to 2020, this relationship has a correlation of -0.35.

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