It's out! The @EU_Commission winter economic forecast for 2021 ๐Ÿ“Š
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ +5.6% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท +5.5% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท +5.6% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ +4.7% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น +4.5% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น +4.1% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ +4.0% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ +4.0% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช +3.9% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด +3.8% GDP
๐Ÿ’ถ +3.8% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ +3.7% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท +3.5% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป +3.5% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช +3.4% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น +3.2% GDP

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช +3.2% GDP
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ +3.2% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ +3.2% GDP
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ +3.2% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ +3.1% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ +2.9% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ +2.8% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ +2.7% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช +2.7% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช +2.6% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น +2.2% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น +2.0% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ +1.8% GDP
Vs๐Ÿ“ˆ 2020:

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ -11.0% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท -10.0% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น - 9.0% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท - 8.9% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - 8.8% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท - 8.3% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น - 7.6% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น - 7.4% GDP
๐Ÿ’ถ - 6.8% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ - 6.3% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช - 6.2% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ - 6.2% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ - 5.9% GDP
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ - 5.8% GDP
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ - 5.7% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ - 5.3% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช - 5.0% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด - 5.0% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ - 4.9% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - 4.1% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป - 3.5% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ - 3.5% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ - 3.1% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ - 3.1% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช - 3.0% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช - 2.9% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช - 2.9% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ - 2.8% GDP
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น - 0.9% GDP
Commissioner @PaoloGentiloni says the forecast is based on the assumption that restrictive measures to contain the #coronavirus will be eased in the second quarter of 2021.
๐Ÿ‘€By the way, this is the first time the Commission economic forecast does not include data for the ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งUK after the effective end of the transition period on December 31.
Commissioner says the forecast does not take into consideration the potential positive impact of the #EUrecovery fund because the Commission has no way yet to measure it just yet.
Commissioner @PaoloGentiloni warns on the long-term impact on employment and growing inequalities as a result of the crisis -especially gender inequalities.
EVP @VDombrovskis message on the economic forecast: "While we can be cautiously optimistic, uncertainty remains."
๐Ÿ‘‰Commission calculates around -0.5% GDP #Brexit impact for the๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บEU's growth, up to -2.2% GDP for the ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งUK until the end of 2022.
** Correction:

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ชIreland's GDP in 2020 was actually +3.0%.

Sorry about that!

More from Economy

1/ To add a little texture to @NickHanauer's thread, it's important to recognize that there's a good reason why orthodox economists (& economic cosplayers) so vehemently oppose a $15 min wage:

The min wage is a wedge that threatens to undermine all of orthodox economic theory.


2/ Orthodox economics is grounded in two fundamental models: a systems model that describes the market as a closed equilibrium system, and a behavioral model that describes humans as rational, self-interested utility-maximizers. The modern min wage debate undermines both models.

3/ The assertion that a min wage kills jobs is so central to orthodox economics that it is often used as the textbook example of the Supply/Demand curve. Raise the cost of labor and businesses will buy less of it. It's literally Econ 101!


4/ Econ 101 insists that markets automatically set an efficient "equilibrium price" for labor & everything else. Mess with this price and bad things happen. Yet decades of empirical research has persuaded a majority of economists that this just isn't

5/ How can this be? Well, either the market is not a closed equilibrium system in which if you raise the price of labor employers automatically purchase less of it... OR the market is not automatically setting an efficient and fair equilibrium wage. Or maybe both. #FAIL

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**Thread on Bravery of Sikhs**
(I am forced to do this due to continuous hounding of Sikh Extremists since yesterday)

Rani Jindan Kaur, wife of Maharaja Ranjit Singh had illegitimate relations with Lal Singh (PM of Ranjit Singh). Along with Lal Singh, she attacked Jammu, burnt - https://t.co/EfjAq59AyI


Hindu villages of Jasrota, caused rebellion in Jammu, attacked Kishtwar.

Ancestors of Raja Ranjit Singh, The Sansi Tribe used to give daughters as concubines to Jahangir.


The Ludhiana Political Agency (Later NW Fronties Prov) was formed by less than 4000 British soldiers who advanced from Delhi and reached Ludhiana, receiving submissions of all sikh chiefs along the way. The submission of the troops of Raja of Lahore (Ranjit Singh) at Ambala.

Dabistan a contemporary book on Sikh History tells us that Guru Hargobind broke Naina devi Idol Same source describes Guru Hargobind serving a eunuch
YarKhan. (ref was proudly shared by a sikh on twitter)
Gobind Singh followed Bahadur Shah to Deccan to fight for him.


In Zafarnama, Guru Gobind Singh states that the reason he was in conflict with the Hill Rajas was that while they were worshiping idols, while he was an idol-breaker.

And idiot Hindus place him along Maharana, Prithviraj and Shivaji as saviours of Dharma.