Conviction | Patience

Asian Paints is the TCS of 'Home Improvement' space

Think in terms of ::

- Sustainability of Leadership over decades
- Sustainability of Consumption Megatrend
- Sustainability of CFO and Governance
- Quality of Balance Sheet

Rather than absolute MCap

S1 : Majority NBE/NCE R&D projects fail. CDMO partner to that innovator "makes money in all failed" cases.

S2 : CDMO "may make larger money" in those lucky, successful (thin minority) cases, if the same #CDMO is retained as the manufacturing partner.

Extract from 2018 tweet 👇

If I have the luxury of not looking at my portfolio for five years and build it today, I will go and buy CDMOs assisting innovators on ::

Animal Healthcare
Biotechnology (including fermentation)
Peptides
Oligonucleotides
High Potency Drugs in Oncology

Keywords :: five years

When a stock is trading around 15-20x sales - ask why would an accident not happen? What could be the valuations damage in that case?

@punitbansal14 Every single CDMO/API I’ve spoken about has still many many unseen angles. Below is a small example. Last added @LaurusLabs near 330 last year and immediately disclosed that I’ve added. Nothing sold since. Waiting for correction to add more 🙏🏻

Keywords: Many many unseen angles

Syngene is delighted to share that we are part of Fortune India’s Top 100 Wealth Creators list for 2021.
The criteria involved being a listed company with a 5-year CAGR of 7.5% plus in terms of market cap, revenue &profit (2017-21).
#FortuneIndia #Syngene #FortuneList #CDMO
1/5

Those incurring a net loss in any of the 5 fiscals (2016-20) were filtered out. The final 100 were based on firms having revenues of Rs 300 crores or more in FY20.
2/5

Key to our success has been our growing clientele who regard us more as a strategic partner with flexibility to work across a spectrum of clients -MNCs to start-ups. We also have a consistent client retention rate of 90%.

#strategicpartnership #clientele #USA #Europe #Japan
3/5

On the range of #scientific work being done at Syngene, our CEO, #Jonathan_Hunt is quoted as saying: “The minute you come into our campus, you can travel the world, scientifically – we do that degree of knowledge-intensive work here”.
#Biopharma #CRO #CDMO #CMO #CRDMO
4/5

Our winning formula? Capability to offer integrated services across the #DrugDiscovery, Development, Mfg continuum under one roof; Lean Sigma way of operations; Quality of our work. All this built on the foundation of world-class talent.
#DrugDevelopment #Scientists
5/5

Domestic pharma's Acute was disrupted in FY21 due to Covid and most businesses are sitting on a low FY21 base. They can grow handsomely not only this fiscal, but also medium to long term. If a debt-free businesses can do 20-25% ROCE despite Covid, what can be the FY23e EV/Sales?

Fun Insights from my Portfolio

Deepak Nitrite generates more Cash from Operations than Laurus Labs.

Deepak Nitrite: 999cr
Laurus Labs: 733cr

Deepak grew its CFO by ~30% YoY while Laurus grew its CFO by more than~100% YoY

@VineetGala @cvocain 100% agree with your bearish view on those #APIs. I won't tell the names, so hopefully ppl will get motivated to watch the whole webinar (and learn something in the process). Good stuff @VineetGala 👌

I did share this interview back in January. Reiterate my high conviction on #CDMO #APIs despite negative chatter and several obituaries 🥱

Exactly the reason we (including @punitbansal14) were bearish on players with heavy dependency on formulations