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Saved by @CodyyyGardner

FINDING EDGE IN OPTIONS

24/08/15: Nifty gap down 250 points & another 250 after that. Previous few months return gone, but since I'm quick to take my losses, was saved from ruin. Before that my only edge in option selling was adjustments & my forever edge of following PA. (1/n)

 I soon realised that theta decay with sound adjustments is not an edge, which i earlier thought was & which gave me good returns over the years. After that i went deeper in understanding volatility behaviour, how/where it manifests & all the discrepancies in option chain. (2/n)
With finding edge in logistics i mean how to keep the greeks in check, SL in place & optimum ways of adjustments with minimum slippages. So the main aim here is to write theta without following vol behaviour & having any actual knowledge of what's going on in the markets. (3/n)
A dedicated trader can learn all this in few years & it is something which is 'obvious' to become successful. But majority can't reach this level, as this also requires consistent hustle in live markets. All the seminar/webinar business teaches you till this level only.(4/n)
If you get passed this level though, the real work starts, when you have to find your real edge. This can't be taught in a webinar. It needs serious introspection of your trading skills, psychology & strategies in use, which ultimately allow you to book excellent profits. (5/n)
So you need to know when to use which strategy & use adjustments to fully extract it's potential or if view goes wrong then minimize damage or even come out profitable. If later happens back to drawing board, because you've been proven wrong in the crutial first step. (6/n)
Do this everyday, year after year & you have something. Putting all efforts in backtesting a strategy where maximum crowd is (like a straddle) & finding perfect entry/exits with a click of a button will not give an edge. In this process we miss on the bigger picture. (7/n)
Markets change so quickly that even if some strategy was doing well 2 years ago, most likely it will stop acting soon. If a trader is making consistent money in the same strategy year after year, his edge lies somewhere else not in the strategy itself. (8/n)
New option traders don't even know that there is more required other than knowing strategies & adjustments. Webinars are sold promising of giving an advantage, but majority of those selling can't really profit from it. Their real edge lies in finding those who seek an edge. (9/n)

More from Sarang Sood

Sarang Sood
Sarang Sood
@SarangSood
10 mistakes in my 14 years of trading as an option seller 🧵

1. Staying neutral all the time. Majority of the years i have been a neutral option seller. I now realise that having a little sense of direction would have given me an added advantage with better utilisation of capital & also leverage (till the time it was available).

2. Too much importance on adjustments. Initially like most of the new option sellers, i had this notion that i can perfect my adjustment skills for any market conditions. Ofcourse i was wrong. Market is supreme & we need to respect it at times.

3. Not giving importance to greeks. For initial 6 years i didn't even know the existence of greeks. Since i started using them, option selling has become rather less complicated on the contrary of what most people believe.

4. Having too much confidence on the certainty of theta decay. Enough is said about it already. Theta decay is not an edge.
OPTIONSLEARNINGS , ALL
Sarang Sood
Sarang Sood
@SarangSood
A THREAD

Topic: Why triple straddle has no real benefit.

A triple straddle is essentially an ATM Straddle & one or two step away straddle on either side. The position is almost neutral strategy just like any other neutral straddle or strangle.

1/

We can also view the position as an ATM straddle, a strangle & inverted strangle.

For example

Nifty: 14700

Triple straddle: 14600,14700,14800

Another view:

14700 straddle
14800-14600: strangle
14600-14800: Inverted strangle

2/

So the real question is what is the advantage of an inverted strangle over it's otm counterpart?

The answer is none.

They both have same premiums/theta. Only that slippages will be high in inverted strangle when we do the required adjustments plus liquidity issue.

3/

So isn't it better that instead of a triple straddle, we can just do ATM Straddle & 2* OTM strangle.

So in the above eg. the position will be

14700 ATM straddle
2* 14800-14600 otm strangle.

Same premium received, similar range just that there's no nuisance of ITM options.

4/

The question arises:

Why trade in an ATM straddle & 2* OTM Strangles? Why over-complicate?

Options are in itself a complicated instrument. Wouldn't it be better to stick to one straddle or a strangle & adjust accordingly?

Lesser the strikes, more there will be clarity.

5/
ALL , SARANGS OPTIONS TEACHING
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Sarang Sood
Sarang Sood
@SarangSood
Hello! Welcome to my profile.

This is Master thread of all the useful tweets (imo) that i have shared in the past. Going through them may provide some knowledge on options, volatility, greeks & trading psychology. Will keep updating in the future.

Thanks for following 🙏

👇👇

https://t.co/PKoiCFSrXJ


https://t.co/Qd3VpXcBlN


https://t.co/5AtqFPYFgA


https://t.co/imMobLg7fv
OPTION MASTER THREAD , ALL
Sarang Sood
Sarang Sood
@SarangSood
Understanding HIGH & LOW VIX

VIX at 16: If you check today's IV behaviour, they were not spiking much even with decent delta move in BNF. The movement was subtle, giving some time to adjust. So someone having good adjustment mechanism can stay in the game longer.

1/

VIX at 20: The same delta move will be more fierce, coupled with rise in premiums. When premiums rise with movement, then the adjustment cost increases exponentially. The premiums can fall back at EOD, but the damage is done if caught in the spike.

2/

After talking to few traders, their backtest result was in favor of high VIX of 2020, rather than 2017-19. The key flaw in the backtest were the adjustments which are not easy to calculate. Combination of high theta & fixed SL during high VIX, the IV crush is cashed at EOD.

3/

Neutral option sellers who don't adjust & have fixed SL on a static straddle will not be able to benefit highly in low VIX. The straddle which moves away from ATM will increase no matter what. But if we keep on rolling our strikes, then we get good realisation of theta.

4/

I have made majority of my profits in option selling when VIX was at 13-15, mostly just relying on my adjustments. Since 2020 with high VIX, adjustments stopped working because of increase in the frequency of delta + IV spike combos & so had to shift to directional trading.

5/
STOCKSLEARNINGS , ALL , LOW VIX
Sarang Sood
Sarang Sood
@SarangSood
My previous b'day which fell on expiry day was in 2010. On that day Nifty straddle opened at 45. Day range of nifty was around 30pts :)

(High 5415, Low 5380)

At that time:

•Didn't know the word Straddle though i used to trade them regularly
•Greeks existence wasn't known

•Adjustments felt like a superpower
•Everyday theta decay was a birth right
•Any strategy thought off felt like a personal invention
•Listening to people warning about unlimited loss in option selling was normal
•Making unlimited gain in long straddle seemed a possibility

•Volumes & Oi were closely tracked
•Overnight positions without hedge was a normal routine

All the above points have been changed over the years. But the underlying market psychology & following the price action still remains the same.

Thank you all for the warm wishes 🙏
ALL

More from Trading

Anarchist \U0001f4a3Federation \u2764\U0001f5a4
Anarchist 💣Federation ...
@AnarchistFed
While watching the GameStop stuff has been mildly hilarious (I mean who doesn't like watching the financial elite squirm?) it's pretty clear that a whole bunch of folk have convinced themselves this is ACTUALLY some kind of revolutionary activity. It isn't. 1/


Sure, it's highlighted yet another way in which the bastards profiteer but that's about it, stick it on the pile with the fifty other pro tips to keep the poor, well poor... It's todays banter and tho a few folks might have egg on their faces, literally nothing will happen. 2/


GameStop's three largest shareholders have earned £1.5bn+ during this. They sit at the top of some 200 institutions which are rolling. Meanwhile the ersatz rebels are now watching the bubble, realising there is profit to be made and having a wibble. 3/


No doubt some TRULY believe they are taking part in some kind of revolution but frankly it's utterly absurd and the vast majority are in it for the lulz and to cash in quick.

I'm sorry to tell you this, but you don't own GameStop.

4/


The reality is, the scale of the economic disparity and corruption is simply vast. Billionaires loosing a few millions means nothing. They buy one less yacht and you continue to live meal to meal.

The "Free Market" changes a few systems and the abuse continues. 5/
TRADING
Sarang Sood
Sarang Sood
@SarangSood
THREAD ON DELTA (The most important GREEK)

Many traders don't indulge in understanding GREEKS because they think they are very complicated.

There are 4 primary greeks:

Delta
Gamma
Theta
Vega

In my experience, understanding DELTA is enough to take benefit of greeks.(1/n)

Delta measures the rate of change of options price based on the directional movement of the underlying.

So this means we can know in advance (theoretically) how much an option will move with the underlying & so we can prepare our strategies accordingly. (2/n)

Value of delta varies between 0 & 1 for calls and -1 & 0 for puts. This figure tells how much an option price will change, when the underlying moves 1 point. So example a delta of .2 of call indicates that for every 1 point change in the underlying, the price will move .2 (3/n)

For option writers who want to trade in neutral strategies like straddle, strangle, ratios, calendar etc, delta can be very helpful. So be it any complex strategy, knowing the NET DELTA can give you an idea of how your strategy will perform in different scenarios. (4/n)

Net delta is just the sum of the deltas of all the bull options (call+ & put-) minus the bear options (call- & put+).

So if we can track this, we will always be in the know of how much exposed our position is. It makes it easier then to adjust our position. (5/n)
TRADING
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JayneshKasliwal
JayneshKasliwal
@JayneshKasliwal
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TraderLion
TraderLion
@TraderLion_
20 lessons from trading legend Stan Weinstein:

Volume is a gauge of how powerful the buyers are... Never trust a breakout that isn't accompanied by a significant increase in volume.

1/20
TRADING
Sohaib Albadawee
Sohaib Albadawee
@albadawee
Everyone should own a digital asset that earns $2,000 per month.

Here are 10 dead-simple ways you can make your First $1 online (from people who actually did it):

🐦 Analyze viral Tweets

1. Get Twemex (free chrome extension)
2. Find influencers with viral tweets
3. Identify why they went viral
4. Put your analysis on a document.
5. Upload it to Gumroad
6. Sell it

H/t @BrianFOConnor

🔢 Extract data from yellow pages into excel

1. Find a B2B/B2C niche that needs offline data
2. Choose a digital platform (Excel, Airtable ..)
3. Move the data to the digital platform
4. Hire someone on Fiverr to do it
4. Sell it on gumroad

H/t @SachinRamje

🎨 Design flyers and graphics

If you are good at designs:

1. Find a niche (ex: Vegan resturants)
2. Create a profile on Upwork
3. Upload a portfolio
4. Start with a low charge per hour/design
5. Steadly increase your charge

H/t @abdussalampopsy

🏋️ Become a coach

1. Decide on a target persona
2. List down your achievements
3. Update your social profiles
4. Create a calendar account
5. Create content with CTA to book a call

H/t @OllieEmberson
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THE LESSER KNOWN MAHARANA OF MEWAR:RANA KUMBHA
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