Time I retweeted this 😃

IV - A thread

In financial mathematics, implied volatility of an option contract is
that value of the volatility of the underlying instrument which, when
input in an option pricing model ) will return a theoretical value equal to the current market price of the option (1/n)
— Subhadip Nandy (@SubhadipNandy16) September 20, 2018

More from Subhadip Nandy

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

Perhaps you have the idea that calling me " 1 lot Nandy" is somehow derogatory and a easy poke at me. Allow me to explain why I look at this moniker as a badge of honour

Sir itseems people call you as "one lot Nandy".. Is it true?
— Bittu (@nanoobittu) July 16, 2021

I have traded 1 lot continuously twice in my life. The first in 2003 after I blew up on my INFY trade. I traded 1 lot ACC fut consistently and made 50k in a month

The 2nd time in 2013. When I suffered continuous losses for 5-6 months due to a variety of psychological issues. Then I traded 1 lot Nifty options consistently for 3 months. After that 2 lots for next 1 month and slowly increased

I have shared these two incidents on my various interveiws and regularly share this in detail with my handholding students when I talk about trading psychology.

This logic of trading 1 lot to iron out trading issues I learnt from the interview of Anthony Saliba, who traded 1 lot in options for 6 months. BTW, Saliba was the only options trader to have been profiled on the original Market Wizards ( I read his interview and used his logic)

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy

In technical analysis, majority of the patterns were first observed visually and then the rules made. Observing this interesting phenomenon on BNF over the past one month.
Any strong up day on BNF is immediately followed by a gap down open from the previous closing

So any upmove /upday is almost never having any follow-up buying the next day. Unless this pattern gets broken by 1-3 days of upmove after a strong closing, BNF looks extremely bearish. The logic of BNF seems to be " will kick your ass if you take bullish positions overnight" 😀

Jokes apart, if you want to understand the logical basis of patterns, this book is still the best :
Technical analysis of stock trends by Edwards and

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

Since 99% of my own trades are in options, the calls I give are also on options. I am of the firm belief, that a basic knowledge of option greeks is necessary for any trader aspiring to trade options. For this, there are numerous books and even more resources on the net/youtube

However, a trader trying to learn Greeks face the problem of information overload. The problems are mainly 3
1. Either the text is too mathematical
2. Or the explanation is too simple just skimming the surface
3. In some cases, outright wrong info ( specially on youtube)

I have decided to make a video on options greeks in which I will try to explain simply ( without the maths 😀) but will go a bit more in-depth so that the info is usable by traders doing actual trades

Spent the major part of today designing the ppt ( 40 slides), hope to upload the video in the next few days. I will also provide the names of other resources which I have referred in making the video so that viewers can refer those texts for a more comprehensive understanding.

The video will be from the view of a trader/practitioner and not just a theoretical discussion.

I sincerely hope starters will be benefitted from my effort 🙏

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

This question might have rose in your mind too, that why VIX was lower than yesterday despite the huge selloff today.
This is what I think happens . A thread.

Market is highly volatile but vix is down by 4%
— Jegathesan Durairaj (Jegan) (@itjegan) May 13, 2022

What is VIX ?
https://t.co/VOkAwGRsHL

What is IV ( implied volatility ) ?

Now my explanations. IV is simply demand and supply. IV is back calculated from option prices and not given by the BSM model. When demand for options ( by buyers) are high, IVs will be high. When supply of options ( by sellers) are high, IV will be low.

Now look at this chart. Nifty fut and VIX are plotted together ( red line is the VIX). Yesterday's massive breakdown forced traders to hedge their positions by buying puts ( could be cash holdings, could be future longs, could be sold puts). This excess demand spiked up IVs /VIX

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

Trend Ratio suggests major long positions has been built into Nifty and BNF over the weekend. If tomorrow we trade above the upper levels, stay bullish. Break of the Balance levels will mean these longs are trapped and can lead to fast downsides

Will not be in markets tomorrow due to some personal work, hence posted this today.

Nifty short covering on Friday given the strong move in Nifty fut is obvious. But what's interesting is the huge short covering on BNF with only 0.5% upmove in price. Morning should be bullish, then watch out how the OI behaves

Lastly, all the calculations for Upper/Lower/Balance/Trend Ratio are my own development and I won't share the formula or process. So request stop asking me about those. Thanks.

Working on two quantitative logic to analyze intraday trend and volatility. Nifty fut and BN fut charts attached.
Intraday Trend :: Blue = Uptrend , Red = Downtrend , Yellow = No Trend

Intraday Volatility :: Red = Volatile , Yellow = Normal , Gray =Quiet

BAU has many departments, which all have separate accounts. Nowhere among them did I find @BAUDEGS
@BAUOrganization @ApplyBAU @adayBAU @BAUAlumniCenter @bahcesehirfbe @baufens @CyprusBau @bauiisbf @bauglobal @bahcesehirebe @BAUintBatumi @BAUiletisim @BAUSaglik @bauebf @TIPBAU

Nowhere among them was @BAUDEGS to find

Brian Cates
@drawandstrike

Trump is gonna let the Mueller investigation end all on it's own. It's obvious. All the hysteria of the past 2 weeks about his supposed impending firing of Mueller was a distraction. He was never going to fire Mueller and he's not going to

BREAKING: President Donald Trump has submitted his answers to questions from special counsel Robert Mueller
— Ryan Saavedra (@RealSaavedra) November 20, 2018

Mueller's officially end his investigation all on his own and he's gonna say he found no evidence of Trump campaign/Russian collusion during the 2016 election.

Democrats & DNC Media are going to LITERALLY have nothing coherent to say in response to that.

Mueller's team was 100% partisan.

That's why it's brilliant. NOBODY will be able to claim this team of partisan Democrats didn't go the EXTRA 20 MILES looking for ANY evidence they could find of Trump campaign/Russian collusion during the 2016 election

They looked high.

They looked low.

They looked underneath every rock, behind every tree, into every bush.

And they found...NOTHING.

Those saying Mueller will file obstruction charges against Trump: laughable.

What documents did Trump tell the Mueller team it couldn't have? What witnesses were withheld and never interviewed?

THERE WEREN'T ANY.

Mueller got full 100% cooperation as the record will show.