To those who thought FMCG goes only one way, investing is super easy. buy quality FMCG at any valuations, do check history, though, its one of best sectors, it does test lot of patience

Some company's concalls are addictive. You go through one n learn so much about industry that u keep going. Name some of such companies. Let me start - Heritage concalls on Dairy Industry

Your list?
If it's better than 10 year multi bagger stock list, then, like n forward 😄

Prediction is an addition in financial world many suffer from

Sorry, addiction

A thread of strength in the market.

An analysis which I did during Covid crash with @MashraniVivek on which sectors and stocks were strong, and we did pick pharma, chemical early cycle. Though we do not know where market is heading, doing such exercise always helps to find

strength when market bottoms. Of course, it requires much more reading and conviction building and hence should be taken only as a starting point. Here is how this list has been generated
1. Pick top 500 companies
2. Find list of companies which have fallen < 10% in last 3 months

Totally 61 out of 500 stocks.
This is how the sectors come up.
✍️Auto and Capital Goods stand out
✍️Do not ignore defence for sheer count as there are few companies in sector
✍️Next pocket looks like few beaten down sectors/stocks where may be value is emerging - FMCG, Pharma

List of stocks - Auto tops the list followed by capital goods, bank and financial, pharma and defense. Disc: I am biased towards auto n financials (keeping FII selling risk aside). Also, this is still a watchlist activity and I am not acting on it except being

invested in few auto n banking names. Please do your own due diligence. I am not a registered investment advisor and this is not a recommendation. Follow @ScientificInve6 and our Youtube channel for more such

#HDFC What big seller pressure can do to value in shorter term (long term matlab 1 saal nahi 2-4 saal 😁) or holdco discount increasing?

1/n I have not seen a single 2 - 3 day position trading system which is as simple as this. Experts will say RSi not applicable in 15 min time frame, I say first understand the the calculation of RSI :-). no need of scanner.
just discipline and risk mgmnt
#RSI #divergence

2/n: System as explained before:
4 step process
1. Identify stock from EOD chart
2. Look for RSI Divergence in 15 minutes
3. Wait for Consolidation and range break.
Trade in the direction of break.
4. Trail for at least 1:3 RR or SL.

3/n: Had posted last week about weak EOD chart of MnM. See what happened this week despite the fact that the overall market was bullish.
It is a zero loss trade now.
Invest in yourself. No guru can make you a successful trader. #hardwork #discipline

4/n: there are many more examples of this if you see my timeline. it works across markets even in bitcoin lol!
Keep it simple. Trick is always in the risk reward and position sizing.
Must only take trades which have minimum 1:3 RR.
Do not use excessive #leverage.

5/5: Charlie Munger: “If you’re smart you don’t need leverage; if you’re dumb, it will ruin you.”
Cant put it better as I have been on both sides :-)

Tamasoma Jyotirgamayah!
#weekend #learn #trade #success

---THREAD ON F&O BAN---

📛 What’s F&O Ban?
Stock goes into ban when combined Open Interest (OI) of both Future & Options contracts across series & across exchanges exceeds 95% of Market Wide Position Limit (MWPL)

Reason for stock going in ban is to curb EXCESSIVE SPECULATION

📛 What happens when stock goes into ‘FNO ban’?
-One CANNOT take Fresh positions
-But CAN square off existing position

📛 Can you trade?

Yes, you can take ‘INTRA-DAY’ position ONLY if your broker allows

But If intraday position ‘NOT CLOSED ‘

Then exchange levies PENALTY of 1% of value of increased position subject to minimum penalty of 5k & max of 1 lakh

📛 When stock is in ban can you reverse an existing position in a stock that is in FNO ban?

'YES'

Example

-If you are long on 2000 Call strike of RIL
-Can reverse with opposite position by selling 2000 Call strike

📛 When does the stock come out of ban?

-When OI falls below 80% of MWPL

Note: Exchange releases MWPL data for all F&O stocks monthly

It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. What is index investing?
2. Why S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and DIJA are different?
3. How to create your own indexes?

Let's dive right in.

You may have noticed at the start of every book, there is a page which lists out various chapters and the page number for each chapter.

This is called the index of contents of the book.

It helps you understand what is where and give you a general idea how to read the book.

Similarly in the world of finance, we have financial indexes that are used to indicate where the overall market is trading.

Is it high or is it low?
Is it cheap or is it expensive?

These questions can be answered by looking at the index.

Fun Fact: The first ever financial index created was the Dow Jones Industrial Average in year 1896

The world created a financial index before cars, airplanes and electricity were the norm!

Stocks in 1896 used to look like this, an index was helpful to understand economy levels

If you want to read more about the history of stock market, you can go through this

In a recent interview with Udayan Mukherjee, the big bull Rakesh Jhunjhunwala made an interesting bold statement - "I think nobody has read the Electricity (Amendment) Bill. Once it passes, it will be bigger than 1991 reforms."

A thread🧵dissecting the ongoing Power reforms 👇

2/17
In summary, the Amendment Bill 2021 says:
⚡️ Delicensing of state monopoly- open to competition
⚡️ Consumers can choose discoms (like telcos)
⚡️ Smart meters to plug leakages
⚡️ Easy resolution of disputes
⚡️ Right to 24x7 electricity
⚡️ Rewarding consumers shifting to solar

3/17
We'll discuss these in detail. But first, some context.

India's is the 3rd largest consumer of electricity. But also one of the most inefficient (measured via AT&C losses - electricity that is generated but does not reach intended customers)
AT&C: 22% vs 8% global. Chart 👇

4/17
Currently, only 9% Indians are served by private discoms (Mumbai, Ahmedabad, Delhi).

AT&C loss for Delhi has declined from 55% in 2002 to 9% in 2020 after power distribution was taken over by three private licensees. Makes a strong case for broader delicensing of discoms.

5/17
What are discoms?

The Power value chain:
Raw material (Coal, Fuel) --> Generation --> Transmission --> Distribution --> Consumption

In this chain, Distribution companies (or discoms) have been the weakest link for last 3 decades.