Saturday thoughts on funding: Where it helps. Where it doesn't. And how it affects team, success, and PM fit.

This is just my $0.02 after looking reviewing 30k+ early stage startups personally and having led 350+ investments across 2 VC firms & as an angel.

Let's begin! >>

1) Money is great to have in building a startup (for the least dilution and pain possible) That's true and always will be true. 😆

But just like how money can't buy you happiness, it also can't buy you PM fit.
2) PM fit is the holy grail for software startups. (we're not talking biotech - if you have a cure to cancer, I guarantee you everyone wants it).

But for software startups, it's unclear if ppl want your product at your price pt.
3) If you don't find PM fit, in this day and age, you will be able to get some sales. Maybe even say $1m in sales (or more!) per year, and you can still make a living.

But having sales does not mean that you have a repeatable customer acquisition process that can be sustainable
4) As an aside, that is why we invest at pre-seed & don't care about startup traction, because I don't believe traction at the earliest stages suggest PM fit. Traction only shows that a founder can execute (& that's impt too) but there are other ways to assess execution earlier.
5) So going back to the crux of software startups.

Frankly speaking, finding PM fit is a LOT of luck. This explains why a lot of serial entrepreneurs who were successful on 1 venture have a hard time repeating that.

It's not a lack of capabilities.
6) That being said, experience from seeing a lot and doing a lot in startups helps you take a better guess at where there may be opportunities to find PM fit. And, serial founders can often execute more quickly on certain things they've done before.
7) But at the end of the day, there's still a lot of LUCK.

This is why SV VCs will often back "failed founders" again, because that failure isn't (always) an indicator of the founder -- there's also that big LUCK component of finding (or not finding) PM fit.
8) So then the q is how do you increase your luck?

I mentioned 1 way -- experience in seeing and doing a lot. (and learning)

Another way: focusing on only things that matter (mostly derisking sales) & ignoring all else to utilize time and resources efficiently and quickly
9) This speed and focus should not be taken likely. Every time you say no to something, you get time back A) by not spending time + mental capacity time on what you said no to and B) by also using that time to pour more focus into advancing PM fit experiments.
10) E.g. If I say "no" to doing a talk. 1 hr of talk time + 30 min of prep call / slides time + mental capacity time = ~10 cust calls to gather insights into their day-in-a-life to work towards PM fit.

But doing just 1 talk feels like nothing but it adds up.
11) So relentless focus and time is impt that most entrepreneurs disregard. Focus and limited are also things that ALL entrepreneurs have limited supply of. We all get 24 hours in a day. So making the most of this is impt.

Now where does money come into this?
12) The obvious one - everyone has a livelihood that requires money. Everyone has a diff cost on this.

And that affects runway. Runway affects # of PM fit experiments.
13) I have seen well-networked teams (both in my own portfolio & friends' cos) clearly not have PM fit after burning through lots of $$ and still be able to raise a LOT more $$ to keep trying.

Then, by extension of their runway, they find strong PM fit and the rest is history.
14) I would argue in both (near) unicorn cases that I'm thinking about, both teams are exceptionally strong. And these particular cos are not examples of VCs throwing $$ down the toilet.

However, I'm very aware that MOST founders don't get 2nd or 3rd chances like this.
15) This also happens in cases where the founders are well-networked AND also not strong and they are able to raise large amounts of money and end up fizzling out because they never get to PM fit and it's a disaster.
16) Money doesn't guarantee PM fit by any means. It does give ppl more shots on goal.

Should ppl get more shots on goal? That's a philosophical q above my paygrade. But the way we operate @HustleFundVC is that we just assume that each of our cos will only get 1 shot on goal.
17) As another aside, what ppl also don't talk about is how much you get diluted down as an early inv even if a co finds PM fit after raising so much more $$.

3 addl rounds -> your ROI is cut in half & that may not even return the fund even if the co "wins".
18) Raising $$ can help in other ways -- recruiting. Many would-be employees like to see some semblance of security & the big rounds help w/ that.

The flip side is if you don't have PM fit, having more ppl on the team makes getting to PM fit HARDER not easier in many cases.
19) So the tl;dr is

a) Money is great to extend your PM fit experiment runway. But only if you use it efficiently and stay lean until you find it.

b) Often ppl who raise big $$ w/ out PM fit end up blowing it / spending it unwisely & hiring too many ppl and never find it.
20) (cont)

c) PM fit is hard to find w/ or without money. This is why the IDEA matters so much. and market pull >> founders.

Good founders + great idea >> Great founders + good idea

Combined with money goes far.

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There are a *lot* of software shops in the world that would far rather have one more technical dependency than they'd like to pay for one of their 20 engineers to become the company's SPOF expert on the joys of e.g. HTTP file uploads, CSV parsing bugs, PDF generation, etc.


Every year at MicroConf I get surprised-not-surprised by the number of people I meet who are running "Does one thing reasonably well, ranks well for it, pulls down a full-time dev salary" out of a fun side project which obviates a frequent 1~5 engineer-day sprint horizontally.

"Who is the prototypical client here?"

A consulting shop delivering a $X00k engagement for an internal system, a SaaS company doing something custom for a large client or internally facing or deeply non-core to their business, etc.

(I feel like many of these businesses are good answers to the "how would you monetize OSS to make it sustainable?" fashion, since they often wrap a core OSS offering in the assorted infrastructure which makes it easily consumable.)

"But don't the customers get subscription fatigue?"

I think subscription fatigue is far more reported by people who are embarrassed to charge money for software than it is experienced by for-profit businesses, who don't seem to have gotten pay-biweekly-for-services fatigue.
Random, but it seems that @DanCrenshawTX is a member of a group founded by Klaus Schwab, who is the architect of the "Great Reset" initiative. https://t.co/4FcAwqw7PQ


Other members include Pete Buttigieg, Tulsi Gabbard, and a whole slew of other politicians.


You've also got Alexander Soros, David Rothschild, Mark Zuckerberg, and Alicia Garza, among many many others.


Some of their ambitions include something resembling the Green New Deal.


And working with the UN to find entrepreneurial opportunities for refugees in other countries.
I shipped all these apps in 2020. Most of them generated $0.

🎬 https://t.co/JAhXqsuu6h $0
🌍 https://t.co/BrNUAhfiIT $0
💡 https://t.co/ZWcLfOH4aI $0
🐞 https://t.co/aghOxYEcPI $1.99
👍 https://t.co/2JhJLe27pW $3,025 in 10 days.

But that's ok, just keep shipping! My stories👇

🎬
https://t.co/wuiBp1XsYD is the first thing I created. It's a community for indie makers. The different thing is we post updates in videos. I created it for fun as I think the world doesn't need one more text-based forum, so I make a video one. No monetization plan so far.

🌍 https://t.co/fiwjgCWho5 is a social app. The idea is from Linktree, an app to share your social links. I thought it would be cool to add more visuals to it, and meanwhile we can explore others around. I also have no monetization plan for it. Make it for fun too.

💡 https://t.co/fZfL45uvVX is a platform to connect influencers with their fans. People says it's like @superpeer. But the only difference is it's all sync. Influencers don't need to commit their time to fixed slot. Fans pay to ask questions, influencers can answer at anytime.

Continuing Influenswer... I think the product has its potential. But for now maybe I didn't find the right niche to serve. Will re-evaluate it in future.

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