Something big just happened over the North Sea... I DONT KNOW WHAT THOUGH.

I’ll post the air traffic screenshots below in this thread.

It’s certainly NOT what the media reported at 2:42PM as the jets were still on mission at 4:25PM.

Aircraft one NATO
Aircraft two RAF
Aircraft three RAF
Aircraft four RAF
Jet One RAF
Jet Two RAF
Jet Three RAF
Theses were also supported by four privet jets that seem to be scanning the area of the incident. All took off and landed from Newcastle Area at the same time.
Whatever happened was also supported by a number of Helicopters flying into and out of the same area.
All these flights are inconsistent with today’s Press Release on the “Sonic-Booms” heard over southern UK.

I tracked these planes after I heard and felt the Boom directly overhead. They went north to intercept what ever happened in the North Sea.

THEY DID NOT LAND AT STANSTEAD.
Their was also a USAF Aircraft involved as well which returned from the incident Zone at 5:05PM
The Press Release was posted as the Jets Departed towards the North Sea.

While they were clearly still in the sky. https://t.co/zCI3yBZX6V

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I've seen many news articles cite that "the UK variant could be the dominant strain by March". This is emphasized by @CDCDirector.

While this will likely to be the case, this should not be an automatic cause for concern. Cases could still remain contained.

Here's how: 🧵

One of @CDCgov's own models has tracked the true decline in cases quite accurately thus far.

Their projection shows that the B.1.1.7 variant will become the dominant variant in March. But interestingly... there's no fourth wave. Cases simply level out:

https://t.co/tDce0MwO61


Just because a variant becomes the dominant strain does not automatically mean we will see a repeat of Fall 2020.

Let's look at UK and South Africa, where cases have been falling for the past month, in unison with the US (albeit with tougher restrictions):


Furthermore, the claim that the "variant is doubling every 10 days" is false. It's the *proportion of the variant* that is doubling every 10 days.

If overall prevalence drops during the studied time period, the true doubling time of the variant is actually much longer 10 days.

Simple example:

Day 0: 10 variant / 100 cases -> 10% variant
Day 10: 15 variant / 75 cases -> 20% variant
Day 20: 20 variant / 50 cases -> 40% variant

1) Proportion of variant doubles every 10 days
2) Doubling time of variant is actually 20 days
3) Total cases still drop by 50%

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I'm going to do two history threads on Ethiopia, one on its ancient history, one on its modern story (1800 to today). 🇪🇹

I'll begin with the ancient history ... and it goes way back. Because modern humans - and before that, the ancestors of humans - almost certainly originated in Ethiopia. 🇪🇹 (sub-thread):


The first likely historical reference to Ethiopia is ancient Egyptian records of trade expeditions to the "Land of Punt" in search of gold, ebony, ivory, incense, and wild animals, starting in c 2500 BC 🇪🇹


Ethiopians themselves believe that the Queen of Sheba, who visited Israel's King Solomon in the Bible (c 950 BC), came from Ethiopia (not Yemen, as others believe). Here she is meeting Solomon in a stain-glassed window in Addis Ababa's Holy Trinity Church. 🇪🇹


References to the Queen of Sheba are everywhere in Ethiopia. The national airline's frequent flier miles are even called "ShebaMiles". 🇪🇹
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I will keep sharing such learning thread 🧵 for you 🙏💞🙏

Keep learning / keep sharing 🙏
@AdityaTodmal