ЁЯз╡on the Toronto area SGTF (S-Gene Target Failure) study to detect B117 (UK variant). It looked at 11,485 positive tests over Dec 16 to Feb 3 and found 448 had SGTF* (3.9%). These charts show the growth.
https://t.co/5L8tF0MwDv

2. Note: Not every SGTF is B117 but almost all were confirmed with WGS (whole genomic sequencing). Rt for the SGTF was 1.17, non-SGTF were .82 meaning SGTF had an Rt 44% higher. This means that B117 is growing quickly (80% per week in recent weeks) and is projected to overtake
3. the old variants around Feb 20th in the Toronto area. Because the Rt (reproduction number) was only .82 without B117, we know the lockdown was working well in Toronto. It's only because the variant was a small share that infections and cases fell. If it had reached 100%,
4. then every infection would have infected 1.17 more infections and we would have had exponential growth EVEN IN LOCKDOWN where we have seen cases plummet.
5. This data is for the Toronto area. The projections have uncertainty - Feb 20 is approximate but once B117 becomes increasingly dominant over the next 6 weeks, current lockdown efforts would be hard-pressed to stop R from moving above 1, meaning an exponential growth in cases.
6. That's why many experts and public health professionals are sounding the alarm now, knowing that every relaxation of lockdown restrictions today increases the chances that B117 sends R well above 1 and creates a significant new wave.
7. This is just one of many reasons why I believe that we should be heading in the opposite direction: increasing restrictions instead of reopening to a framework that allows indoor gatherings and higher Rt.
8. This isn't a choice between public health and business health. Businesses are suffering now. But if we do this wrong now, the impact on businesses will be much more severe longer term than if we do it right. And the impact on the population at risk of dying (mostly 60+) will
9. be much greater now than later after millions of more vaccines arrive over coming months. There really is no other option. We need to build our defenses asap starting with a reappraisal of pending reopening plans in Ontario's regions.
10. There is room for respectful scientific and public debate on the restrictions but the goal is simple: reduce Rt now and unite as a province.
https://t.co/cT0tuXxVgB
11. Some find reassurance in the current low rate of cases in some regions and hope that B117 won't impact them, that they are safe. We have seen from Roberta Place, North Bay and most recently eastern Newfoundland, that B117 can change complacency overnight.
12. So as much as this study was about the Toronto area, it applies to everywhere. We need to base our decisions based on 1) likely future risks, not the past and 2) the #precautionaryprinciple
/end

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So, as the #MegaMillions jackpot reaches a record $1.6B and #Powerball reaches $620M, here's my advice about how to spend the money in a way that will truly set you, your children and their kids up for life.

Ready?

Create a private foundation and give it all away. 1/

Let's stipulate first that lottery winners often have a hard time. Being publicly identified makes you a target for "friends" and "family" who want your money, as well as for non-family grifters and con men. 2/

The stress can be damaging, even deadly, and Uncle Sam takes his huge cut. Plus, having a big pool of disposable income can be irresistible to people not accustomed to managing wealth.
https://t.co/fiHsuJyZwz 3/

Meanwhile, the private foundation is as close as we come to Downton Abbey and the landed aristocracy in this country. It's a largely untaxed pot of money that grows significantly over time, and those who control them tend to entrench their own privileges and those of their kin. 4

Here's how it works for a big lotto winner:

1. Win the prize.
2. Announce that you are donating it to the YOUR NAME HERE Family Foundation.
3. Receive massive plaudits in the press. You will be a folk hero for this decision.
4. Appoint only trusted friends/family to board. 5/
This is a piece I've been thinking about for a long time. One of the most dominant policy ideas in Washington is that policy should, always and everywhere, move parents into paid labor. But what if that's wrong?

My reporting here convinced me that there's no large effect in either direction on labor force participation from child allowances. Canada has a bigger one than either Romney or Biden are considering, and more labor force participation among women.

But what if that wasn't true?

Forcing parents into low-wage, often exploitative, jobs by threatening them and their children with poverty may be counted as a success by some policymakers, but itтАЩs a sign of a society that doesnтАЩt value the most essential forms of labor.

The problem is in the very language we use. If I left my job as a New York Times columnist to care for my 2-year-old son, IтАЩd be described as leaving the labor force. But as much as I adore him, there is no doubt IтАЩd be working harder. I wouldn't have stopped working!

I tried to render conservative objections here fairly. I appreciate that @swinshi talked with me, and I'm sorry I couldn't include everything he said. I'll say I believe I used his strongest arguments, not more speculative ones, in the piece.

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I think a plausible explanation is that whatever Corbyn says or does, his critics will denounce - no matter how much hypocrisy it necessitates.


Corbyn opposes the exploitation of foreign sweatshop-workers - Labour MPs complain he's like Nigel

He speaks up in defence of migrants - Labour MPs whinge that he's not listening to the public's very real concerns about immigration:

He's wrong to prioritise Labour Party members over the public:

He's wrong to prioritise the public over Labour Party
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рдФрд░ рдЙрдиреНрд╣реЛрдиреЗрдВ рдмреНрд░рд╣реНрдорд╡рд┐рджреНрдпрд╛ рдХрд╛ рдЬреНрдЮрд╛рди рдЕрд╢реНрд╡рд┐рдирд┐ рдХреБрдорд╛рд░реЛрдВ рдХреЛ рджреЗ рджрд┐рдпрд╛ред рдЧреБрдкреНрддрдЪрд░реЛрдВ рдХреЗ рдорд╛рдзреНрдпрдо рд╕реЗ рдЬрдм рдЦрдмрд░ рдЗрдиреНрджреНрд░рджреЗрд╡ рддрдХ рдкрд╣реБрдВрдЪреА рддреЛ рд╡реЗ рдХреНрд░реЛрдз рдореЗрдВ рдЦрдбрд╝рдЧ рд▓реЗ рдХрд░ рдЧрдП рдФрд░ рдорд╣рд░реНрд╖рд┐ рджрдзреАрдЪрд┐ рдХрд╛ рд╕рд░ рдзрдбрд╝ рд╕реЗ рдЕрд▓рдЧ рдХрд░ рджрд┐рдпрд╛редрдордЧрд░ рдЕрд╢реНрд╡рд┐рдиреА рдХреБрдорд╛рд░ рднреА рдХрд╣рд╛рдВ рдЪреБрдк рдмреИрдардиреЗ рд╡рд╛рд▓реЗ рдереЗредрдЙрдиреНрд╣реЛрдиреЗ рддреБрд░рдВрдд рдПрдХ рдЕрд╢реНрд╡ рдХрд╛ рд╕рд┐рд░ рдорд╣рд░реНрд╖рд┐ рдХреЗ рдзрдбрд╝ рдкреЗ...


...рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпрд╛рд░реЛрдкрд┐рдд рдХрд░ рдЙрдиреНрд╣реЗрдВ рдЬреАрд╡рд┐рдд рд░рдЦ рд▓рд┐рдпрд╛редрдЙрд╕ рджрд┐рди рдХреЗ рдкрд╢реНрдЪрд╛рдд рдорд╣рд░реНрд╖рд┐ рджрдзреАрдЪрд┐ рдЕрд╢реНрд╡рд╢рд┐рд░рд╛ рднреА рдХрд╣рд▓рд╛рдП рдЬрд╛рдиреЗ рд▓рдЧреЗредрдЕрдм рдЖрдЧреЗ рд╕реБрдирд┐рдпреЗ рдХреА рдХрд┐рд╕ рдкреНрд░рдХрд╛рд░ рдорд╣рд░реНрд╖рд┐ рджрдзреАрдЪрд┐ рдХрд╛ рд╕рд░ рдХрд╛рдЯрдиреЗ рд╡рд╛рд▓реЗ рдЗрдиреНрджреНрд░ рдХреИрд╕реЗ рдЕрдкрдиреА рд░рдХреНрд╖рд╛ рд╣реЗрддреБ рдЙрдирдХреЗ рдЖрдЧреЗ рдЧрд┐рдбрд╝рдЧрд┐рдбрд╝рд╛рдП ред

рдПрдХ рдмрд╛рд░ рджреЗрд╡рд░рд╛рдЬ рдЗрдиреНрджреНрд░ рдЕрдкрдиреА рд╕рднрд╛ рдореЗрдВ рдмреИрдареЗ рдереЗ, рддреЛ рдЙрдиреНрд╣реЗ рдЦреБрдж рдкрд░ рдЕрднрд┐рдорд╛рди рд╣реЛ рдЖрдпрд╛ред


рд╡реЗ рд╕реЛрдЪрдиреЗ рд▓рдЧреЗ рдХрд┐ рд╣рдо рддреАрдиреЛрдВ рд▓реЛрдХреЛрдВ рдХреЗ рд╕реНрд╡рд╛рдореА рд╣реИрдВред рдмреНрд░рд╛рд╣реНрдордг рд╣рдореЗрдВ рдпрдЬреНрдЮ рдореЗрдВ рдЖрд╣реБрддрд┐ рджреЗрддреЗ рд╣реИрдВ рдФрд░ рд╣рдорд╛рд░реА рдЙрдкрд╛рд╕рдирд╛ рдХрд░рддреЗ рд╣реИрдВред рдлрд┐рд░ рд╣рдо рд╕рд╛рдорд╛рдиреНрдп рдмреНрд░рд╛рд╣реНрдордг рдмреГрд╣рд╕реНрдкрддрд┐ рд╕реЗ рдХреНрдпреЛрдВ рдбрд░рддреЗ рд╣реИрдВ ?рдЙрдирдХреЗ рдЖрдиреЗ рдкрд░ рдХреНрдпреЛрдВ рдЦрдбрд╝реЗ рд╣реЛ рдЬрд╛рддреЗ рд╣реИрдВ?рд╡реЗ рддреЛ рд╣рдорд╛рд░реА рдЬреАрд╡рд┐рдХрд╛ рд╕реЗ рдкрд▓рддреЗ рд╣реИрдВред рджреЗрд╡рд░реНрд╖рд┐ рдмреГрд╣рд╕реНрдкрддрд┐ рджреЗрд╡рддрд╛рдУрдВ рдХреЗ рдЧреБрд░реБ рдереЗред

рдЕрднрд┐рдорд╛рди рдХреЗ рдХрд╛рд░рдг рдЛрд╖рд┐ рдмреГрд╣рд╕реНрдкрддрд┐ рдХреЗ рдкрдзрд╛рд░рдиреЗ рдкрд░ рди рддреЛ рдЗрдиреНрджреНрд░ рд╣реА рдЦрдбрд╝реЗ рд╣реБрдП рдФрд░ рди рд╣реА рдЕрдиреНрдп рджреЗрд╡реЛрдВ рдХреЛ рдЦрдбрд╝реЗ рд╣реЛрдиреЗ рджрд┐рдпрд╛редрджреЗрд╡рдЧреБрд░реБ рдмреГрд╣рд╕реНрдкрддрд┐ рдЗрдиреНрджреНрд░ рдХрд╛ рдпреЗ рдХрдареЛрд░ рджреБрд░реНрд╡реНрдпрд╡рд╣рд╛рд░ рджреЗрдЦ рдХрд░ рдЪреБрдк рдЪрд╛рдк рд╡рд╣рд╛рдВ рд╕реЗ рд▓реМрдЯ рдЧрдПредрдХреБрдЫ рджреЗрд░ рдкрд╢реНрдЪрд╛рдд рдЬрдм рджреЗрд╡рд░рд╛рдЬ рдХрд╛ рдордж рдЙрддрд░рд╛ рддреЛ рдЙрдиреНрд╣реЗ рдЕрдкрдиреА рдЧрд▓рддреА рдХрд╛ рдПрд╣рд╕рд╛рд╕ рд╣реБрдЖред
Funny, before the election I recall lefties muttering the caravan must have been a Trump setup because it made the open borders crowd look so bad. Why would the pro-migrant crowd engineer a crisis that played into Trump's hands? THIS is why. THESE are the "optics" they wanted.


This media manipulation effort was inspired by the success of the "kids in cages" freakout, a 100% Stalinist propaganda drive that required people to forget about Obama putting migrant children in cells. It worked, so now they want pics of Trump "gassing children on the border."

There's a heavy air of Pallywood around the whole thing as well. If the Palestinians can stage huge theatrical performances of victimhood with the willing cooperation of Western media, why shouldn't the migrant caravan organizers expect the same?

It's business as usual for Anarchy, Inc. - the worldwide shredding of national sovereignty to increase the power of transnational organizations and left-wing ideology. Many in the media are true believers. Others just cannot resist the narrative of "change" and "social justice."

The product sold by Anarchy, Inc. is victimhood. It always boils down to the same formula: once the existing order can be painted as oppressors and children as their victims, chaos wins and order loses. Look at the lefties shrieking in unison about "Trump gassing children" today.