Many friends have asked me about OI data Analysis. This is very helpful in Nifty Trading.

I am retweeting my Beginners Pathway Thread No, 3 on Open Interest Data Analysis for benefit of all. https://t.co/cwYtbYK6JP

Want to tango with the Darvas Box System ?

Looking for a scanner ? Waltz here https://t.co/GmvFBznal4

HDFC Bank - A Friend recently asked about HDFC Bank, I had posted this chart then. Can't find that old tweet now, updated one is here...

In a potential V shape recovery, Breakout is considered confirmed at 38.2% re-tracement from bottom.. #ProfGyan

My Basic Trend Following system :

EMA-9> EMA>21>EMA> 63> EMA> 200.

RSI > 55

Weekly bases - Minimum 4 weeks.

Volume up by 200% .

Some others point to note :

Institutional sponsorship must.
Leading group
Annual Growth > 15 %
Quarterly growth > 15%
PEG <2.5

#RSI is a common indicator which most of us use in the stock market.

This learning thread would be on
"𝙐𝙨𝙚𝙨 𝙤𝙛 𝙍𝙎𝙄"

Like👍 & Retweet🔄 for wider reach and for more such learning thread in the future.

Also, an investment strategy is shared using RSI in the end.

1/16

Setup 1:

RSI- commonly used to show whether price is overbought or oversold.

General rule:
𝐑𝐒𝐈 > 𝟕𝟎 -- 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐠𝐡𝐭
𝐑𝐒𝐈 < 𝟑𝟎 -- 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐨𝐥𝐝

One becomes cautious once price becomes overbought and optimistic when price becomes oversold.

2/16

Let's understand this with an example of Laurus Labs:

1. It was in overbought zone and after a few days when a small dip was seen from 693 to 588 (15% downside)

2. It was in oversold zone and after a few days when a small rally was seen from 59 to 107 (82% upside)

3/16

Well, this looks very easy, but it is not.

When a price is in overbought zone and is in momentum, then it can move up without taking a dip and exiting or shorting stock would prove wrong.

When IRCTC was in overbought zone, price went up from 2718 to 6396 (135% rally).

4/16

Similarly, for oversold stock.

When a price is in oversold zone and is crashing, then it can move down without taking an upmove and buying stock would prove wrong.

When DHFL was in oversold zone, price went down from 126 to 11 (91% crash).

5/16

Triggers and Sequence of Events that will propel #Nifty to new
"All Time High" 👉🏻 18,604.50

Small 🧵👇🏻

- Russia - Ukraine War comes an end shortly.

- Will result in immediate fall of Crude oil,
major Reason for Inflation.

- Fed Turns Dovish as inflation Cools off.

- Lower Inflation = Better earnings declared by companies.

- Better Earnings mean Higher EPS and PE Contraction.

- Lower Inflation = Dovish Fed

- Dovish Fed Will result in Major Correction Dollar.

- Bearish Dollar will lead to Bullish trend Emerging Market.

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#Inflation in #Eurozone remains high , uncomfortable for #ECB & #FED also has to take notice
Should strengthen #Euro & weaken #USD on immediate reaction, pushing commodity prices higher
#CrudeOil #Metals #OOTT