Excellent article on Investor psychology & Market cycles based on Howard Marks' "Mastering the Market Cycle".

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid

"Poor Charlie’s Almanack" about Charlie Munger is a phenomenal book that should be read by all investors at least once. Excellent summary of that book by @allenxcheng👏

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid

Thread below with my fav

Topics in the article ⬇️

Key points ⬇️

Mental Models suggested ⬇️

On Constant learning ⬇️

Excellent list of "Investing Lessons". Very relevant and useful stuff for individual investors. h/t @FMUndercover

The List 👇

"4 Simple Rules To Protect Your Portfolio From Yourself" h/t @EconomyApp 👏👏

Excellent article for the current environment (with big drawdowns in many high growth including some quality Co.'s)

My fav parts from the article in the thread below.

"The real threat to your portfolio is not volatility. It's your ability to cope with it. As a result, your portfolio doesn't need to be protected from volatility. It needs to be protected from yourself." 👏

"Volatility refers to how dramatically the price of an investment may change. On the other hand, risk refers to the probability that an investment will underperform the market or result in a permanent loss of capital."

"In short, a stock that sees very large swings in its price over time may be a less risky investment than one that barely moves. The true risk over a long timeframe depends on the underlying business more than the sheer volatility of its share price."

"How much volatility can I tolerate?"

That's the key question that we all need to answer, but it might be the wrong way to tackle the question of temperament.

Sharing the latest holdings and some random thoughts.

@FromValue @dhaval_kotecha @SeifelCapital @saxena_puru @BahamaBen9 @richard_chu97 @TMFJMo @7Innovator @investing_city @SagaPartners @adventuresinfi

Individual Investing is a very personal journey where we need to match our strengths and strategies to our goals, while ignoring all the noise but also constantly learning and improving our process.

W/O understanding the other person's situation, interests, competency etc we shouldn't quickly offer unsolicited advice that they should be doing this or that with their portfolio.

Like "Why don't you just own ARK funds instead of holding so many SaaS stocks"? Maybe that's because I like searching for and studying solid companies from different sectors in my own free time, and buy each one after personally understanding them...

...and buy them at my own timeframe slowly over the years. As long as the med-long term Portfolio results are better than the indexes and comparable ETFs, that's a worth-wile endeavor.

Phenomenal article/compilation on "The Biggest Mistakes Investors Make". h/t @manualofideas @JMihaljevic 👏

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid @saxena_puru

My fav pts in the thread below

Lot of great points on the importance of having a strategy, process, discipline, patience, self-reliance, awareness of risk, biases/emotions, learning from mistakes & more.

More ⬇️

Some more ⬇️

The last year has delivered great results to many Portfolios but Market conditions are always changing and it's important to ensure the Process and Portfolio are built to withstand whatever the Market throws at it in the short-term and sustain & succeed for the long-term.

✍️CÓMO LEER EL 10-K✍️

Es el informe más importante y antes de invertir en cualquier empresa debemos leerlo y saber interpretarlo.

Papel, lápiz y café.

El 10-k es un informe completo que detalla las actividades de una empresa durante el año anterior.

Su propósito es brindar a los usuarios, como accionistas o potenciales inversionistas, información sobre las operaciones y desempeño financiero de la empresa.

La estructura de los informes anuales, sin duda, variará según cada empresa, pero la mayoría de los informes anuales generalmente contendrán lo siguiente:

▪️Parte 1: Business and Risk Factors

▪️Parte 2: Financial Data and MD&A

▪️Parte 3: Executive compesation

Vamos a ver cada una de ellas (Subcategorias) y cómo se podría analizar.

1. Business
2. Risk Factors
3. Selected Financial Data
4. The Management Discussions and Analysis (MD&A)
5. Directors, executive officers and corporate governance
6. Executive Compesation

1) BUSINESS

Esta es la primera parte del reporte, y es una de la más importante.

Se habla de la actividad principal de la empresa, de cómo gana dinero, de dónde opera.

También de la visión y misión general de la empresa.

Dollar Cost Averaging 101

Many of the brightest minds in the investing world share one common trait: they recommend dollar cost averaging as an investment strategy.

But what is dollar cost averaging and how does it work?

Here's Dollar Cost Averaging 101!

👇👇👇

1/ Dollar cost averaging, or "DCA" for short, is a simple investment strategy in which an investor splits the total amount to be invested in a given asset across regular periodic purchases.

The regular purchases occur regardless of price, volatility, or economic conditions.

2/ The goal is to remove the complexities of market timing from the process, allowing an investor to build their desired position without concern for external factors.

Its simplicity removes behavioral and psychological biases from the equation.

Let's look at an example.

3/ Imagine you want to build a $10,000 position in bitcoin. You have done your research and believe in the long-term story.

You aren't sure if it will go up or down in the near-term, so you decide to dollar-cost average.

Great decision! How will you do it?

4/ You split the $10,000 up into 20 pieces ($500 each). You could have done any number of pieces, but 20 felt right.

You decide on a weekly DCA, so every Monday, you buy $500 of $BTC, regardless of price. After 20 weeks, you have built your desired $10,000 cost basis position.

THREAD, PM EXIT STRATEGY

I sometimes get the question “At what price do I liquidate my PM portfolio?” The short answer is:

A) I´ll never sell all of it

and

B) I don´t have a PT. I could start selling at $1900 or at $100000, it depends.

For the longer explanation, 👇

Albert Einstein once famously said “Everything is relative”. I find that quote very useful in the world of investing as well.

First off, my preferred style of investing is more influenced by macro than micro (macroeconomics vs company specific).

That means I often buy a commodity, an ETF or a basket of companies operating in the sector of interest.

I frequently look at certain ratios, or said another way, instrument X relative to instrument Y.

By analyzing historical data, I´ve set up different “ratio milestones” for when history tells me to start unwinding the ratio. As these milestones are triggered, I sell 25% of the relatively stronger instrument. For every additional 10% skew in the ratio, I sell another 25% etc.

This means I´ll never pick the absolute top nor the bottom, but I should extract much of the value while keeping my emotions out of it.

An example where this principle is adopted is shown in the Gold/Silver ratio -graph below.