Are chips in warehouses the prime cause of the shortage? No. Demand is higher.
1/ A orders chips. Supplier says "supply is getting tight." A triples order to store them in a warehouse. Supplier tells other customers supply is even tighter. They order extra chips. Quickly there are more chips in warehouses than toilet paper in garages during the pandemic.
Are chips in warehouses the prime cause of the shortage? No. Demand is higher.
I'm skeptical that this increase in chip demand is "transitory."
Fabs and backhoes don't increase with Moore's law. https://t.co/m7ZreQTzow
Software can't expand faster than the chips and memory that enables its magic.
Broadcom's CEO believes chip production is a mature industry that will return to lower growth. I disagree in the medium term at least. https://t.co/RXlaj4Vk6u
More from Ideas
This thread is for investors or those who are interested in CDSL as an investment. Often the central reason quoted for an investment here is the gush of FCF the business produces and some float money also to boot. But this argument ignores a central problem as well. (1/11)
I completely agree that CDSL is a business that produces ample amount of Free Cash. So, it begs the question: "What are they doing with all that cash?" Generally, firms can utilize the cash on their books in 4 ways: Dividends, Acquisitions, Capex/Investments and Buybacks. (2/11)
CDSL does have a Dividend Payout Ratio of ~35-40%. But Dividends are the least efficient way of utilizing cash, due to the Triple Taxation on Dividends. More
Handled well, Inorganic Growth is so lucrative that some companies build their business models around acquisitions (Say, MSSL or Cyient). However, CDSL literally CAN'T be one such company. Read 7 (c) of the below regulatory document to know more:
https://t.co/071lwnnwJ4
(4/11)
CDSL can also reinvest cash into their own business, like most companies do. But CDSL (And most Exchanges) have little need for Capex/Reinvestment. CDSL's IPO came in at Rs. 523.99 Crores. Two years in, the Cash and Investments on their books stands at Rs. 650 Crores. (5/11)
I completely agree that CDSL is a business that produces ample amount of Free Cash. So, it begs the question: "What are they doing with all that cash?" Generally, firms can utilize the cash on their books in 4 ways: Dividends, Acquisitions, Capex/Investments and Buybacks. (2/11)
CDSL does have a Dividend Payout Ratio of ~35-40%. But Dividends are the least efficient way of utilizing cash, due to the Triple Taxation on Dividends. More
Handled well, Inorganic Growth is so lucrative that some companies build their business models around acquisitions (Say, MSSL or Cyient). However, CDSL literally CAN'T be one such company. Read 7 (c) of the below regulatory document to know more:
https://t.co/071lwnnwJ4
(4/11)
CDSL can also reinvest cash into their own business, like most companies do. But CDSL (And most Exchanges) have little need for Capex/Reinvestment. CDSL's IPO came in at Rs. 523.99 Crores. Two years in, the Cash and Investments on their books stands at Rs. 650 Crores. (5/11)
22 Powerful Ideas from Startup Founders
Startups succeed when they solve
Choose your customers
Resist the lure of new ideas when the real work begins:
Consider all paths and points of
Startups succeed when they solve
\u201cA genuine intention to solve a problem\u201d is the best startup strategy you can have.
— Al Caan (@caan_al) January 15, 2022
Do not lose sight of the intention behind your service, as you scale up.
Choose your customers
$600 Client \u2014 Complain, complain, complain
— Will Cannon (@iamwillcannon) September 12, 2021
$60,000 Client \u2014 \u201cMoney sent, thanks\u201d
Resist the lure of new ideas when the real work begins:
Beginner\u2019s Dilemma:
— Barrett O'Neill (@barrettjoneill) February 6, 2022
New endeavors are so challenging that other options appear an easier route to success.
If you choose to switch, rather than iterate and optimize, you\u2019ll always be a beginner.
And things will always seem hard.
Consider all paths and points of
90% of new startups fail.
— Chris Munn (@chrisxmunn) February 4, 2022
Consider buying a business instead.
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Trump is gonna let the Mueller investigation end all on it's own. It's obvious. All the hysteria of the past 2 weeks about his supposed impending firing of Mueller was a distraction. He was never going to fire Mueller and he's not going to
Mueller's officially end his investigation all on his own and he's gonna say he found no evidence of Trump campaign/Russian collusion during the 2016 election.
Democrats & DNC Media are going to LITERALLY have nothing coherent to say in response to that.
Mueller's team was 100% partisan.
That's why it's brilliant. NOBODY will be able to claim this team of partisan Democrats didn't go the EXTRA 20 MILES looking for ANY evidence they could find of Trump campaign/Russian collusion during the 2016 election
They looked high.
They looked low.
They looked underneath every rock, behind every tree, into every bush.
And they found...NOTHING.
Those saying Mueller will file obstruction charges against Trump: laughable.
What documents did Trump tell the Mueller team it couldn't have? What witnesses were withheld and never interviewed?
THERE WEREN'T ANY.
Mueller got full 100% cooperation as the record will show.
BREAKING: President Donald Trump has submitted his answers to questions from special counsel Robert Mueller
— Ryan Saavedra (@RealSaavedra) November 20, 2018
Mueller's officially end his investigation all on his own and he's gonna say he found no evidence of Trump campaign/Russian collusion during the 2016 election.
Democrats & DNC Media are going to LITERALLY have nothing coherent to say in response to that.
Mueller's team was 100% partisan.
That's why it's brilliant. NOBODY will be able to claim this team of partisan Democrats didn't go the EXTRA 20 MILES looking for ANY evidence they could find of Trump campaign/Russian collusion during the 2016 election
They looked high.
They looked low.
They looked underneath every rock, behind every tree, into every bush.
And they found...NOTHING.
Those saying Mueller will file obstruction charges against Trump: laughable.
What documents did Trump tell the Mueller team it couldn't have? What witnesses were withheld and never interviewed?
THERE WEREN'T ANY.
Mueller got full 100% cooperation as the record will show.