Pence just shut the gentleman from Alabama’s request for parliamentary inquiry down— KERSPLAT!

This is probably the first and last time in my life that anyone of these is going to be interesting, so what the hell. I rinsed off some blackberries and made the fancy coffee
The gentleman from Arizona says how dare you count. How dare any of us count! This is not proper! This is incorrect

well, I know someone who would beg to differ
The Senate now has two hours to go back to its chambers and debate for up to two hours.
This process is going to repeat itself in for at least two more times, as I understand it, because Republicans are trying to make it go as long as possible. But they will lose.
The gentleman dentist from Arizona had quite his moment this morning, like Mr. dentist goes to Washington
The only reason the gentleman dentist from Arizona is getting such a prolonged moment in the spotlight: Arizona is the third state alphabetically 🙄
Over in Senate, the calmer body of order, which I much prefer atm, even with Mitchell speaking. Aside from his skewed recollections of recent history, everything he’s saying is true, that they can’t overrule the voters without causing permanent damage to the republic.
McConnell says our nation deserves much better than this, and I agree. Please step down, sir, do not pass, go do not collect $200
Schumer said some boring stuff, now Ted Cruz is up so I’m going to mute my television

More from Government

Oh my Goodness!!!

I might have a panic attack due to excitement!!

Read this thread to the end...I just had an epiphany and my mind is blown. Actually, more than blown. More like OBLITERATED! This is the thing! This is the thing that will blow the entire thing out of the water!


Has this man been concealing his true identity?

Is this man a supposed 'dead' Seal Team Six soldier?

Witness protection to be kept safe until the right moment when all will be revealed?!

Who ELSE is alive that may have faked their death/gone into witness protection?


Were "golden tickets" inside the envelopes??


Are these "golden tickets" going to lead to their ultimate undoing?

Review crumbs on the board re: 'gold'.


#SEALTeam6 Trump re-tweeted this.
Which metric is a better predictor of the severity of the fall surge in US states?

1) Margin of Democrat victory in Nov 2020 election
or
2) % infected through Sep 1, 2020

Can you guess which plot is which?


The left plot is based on the % infected through Sep 1, 2020. You can see that there is very little correlation with the % infected since Sep 1.

However, there is a *strong* correlation when using the margin of Biden's victory (right).

Infections % from
https://t.co/WcXlfxv3Ah.


This is the strongest single variable I've seen in being able to explain the severity of this most recent wave in each state.

Not past infections / existing immunity, population density, racial makeup, latitude / weather / humidity, etc.

But political lean.

One can argue that states that lean Democrat are more likely to implement restrictions/mandates.

This is valid, so we test this by using the Government Stringency Index made by @UniofOxford.

We also see a correlation, but it's weaker (R^2=0.36 vs 0.50).

https://t.co/BxBBKwW6ta


To avoid look-ahead bias/confounding variables, here is the same analysis but using 2016 margin of victory as the predictor. Similar results.

This basically says that 2016 election results is a better predictor of the severity of the fall wave than intervention levels in 2020!

You May Also Like

This is a pretty valiant attempt to defend the "Feminist Glaciology" article, which says conventional wisdom is wrong, and this is a solid piece of scholarship. I'll beg to differ, because I think Jeffery, here, is confusing scholarship with "saying things that seem right".


The article is, at heart, deeply weird, even essentialist. Here, for example, is the claim that proposing climate engineering is a "man" thing. Also a "man" thing: attempting to get distance from a topic, approaching it in a disinterested fashion.


Also a "man" thing—physical courage. (I guess, not quite: physical courage "co-constitutes" masculinist glaciology along with nationalism and colonialism.)


There's criticism of a New York Times article that talks about glaciology adventures, which makes a similar point.


At the heart of this chunk is the claim that glaciology excludes women because of a narrative of scientific objectivity and physical adventure. This is a strong claim! It's not enough to say, hey, sure, sounds good. Is it true?