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How might the Left overcome self-defeating infighting & endless strategy disputes and instead start building the type of solidarity necessary to win a radically better world?

Left Solidarity in a Hostile World 1/30

 There is little disagreement on both the importance & urgency of the systemic changes we desperately need.

We are facing grim challenges on multiple fronts:

Capitalism’s systemic ecological destruction, injustices & alienation 2/30
https://t.co/Ju8w1McMnE
Pervasive institutional racism systematically under-develops & under-nurtures communities of color. From systemic underfunding of schools to environmental racism, from economic injustice to the racist criminal “justice” system. 3/30
https://t.co/zLEQlr3qZG
Sexism, patriarchy, rape culture, toxic masculinity, homophobia, transphobia & gendered divisions of labor permeate every aspect of society. We are forced to contort our authentic selves into gendered boxes of what it means to be a ‘man’ or ‘woman.’ 4/30
https://t.co/mleVMcYEhi
Imperialist wars of aggression, international economic warfare, “free-trade” agreements that have little to do with trade & everything to do with subverting democratic oversight over environmental & labor laws and undermining civil & indigenous rights. 5/30
Here in the US, the belly of the beast of an empire in decline, the political sphere is dominated by a corporate duopoly: Democrats & Republicans both beholden to corporations & the 1%, leaving little room for actual democracy. 6/30
When the solutions we desperately need to overcome society’s systemic injustices conflict with the interests of corporations & the 1% the Duopoly set the parameters of what is on & off the table, in-effect working together to subvert democracy. 7/30
https://t.co/Y3rQEG18XJ
Millions are food & housing insecure. Millions are on the brink of eviction & foreclosure. A 50-year one-sided class war against labor has left wages stagnant for the vast majority while the cost of living has steadily crept up every year. 8/30
The corporate media gives a tiny handful of CEOs & executives complete control over which ideas/perspectives/frameworks get the biggest megaphones and which ones get drowned out: not through ‘censorship’, but through biased access to the megaphones? 9/30
https://t.co/iQ42goMtK1
Billionaire funded conspiracy theories speak to people’s pain but rather than place blame where it belongs: capitalism, authoritarianism, racism, sexism etc they deflect blame towards anything but the truth: immigrants, POC, deep state, lizard people 10/30
https://t.co/HokIXLfBto
Mental health is beyond crisis levels with every metric off-the-charts. Suicides & ‘deaths of despair’ are at historic levels. Capitalism’s soul-crushing alienation & injustice, racism & sexism's systemic violence & oppression take their toll. 11/30
https://t.co/gpZH1SxiXz
According to APA’s Stress in America, the primary drivers of our breakdown are systemic: economic anxiety, systemic oppression, rampant alienation from our political, economic & societal institutions, capitalism's atomization & commodification of meaningful connections, etc 12/30
It’s not that Americans are inherently more broken. It’s that our societal institutions are breaking us, alienating us & oppressing us. Capitalism, racism, sexism & authoritarianism are literally killing us from the inside. 13/30
Traditional buffers & safety nets such as cultural, community & kinship bonds have been tattered away. Our societal institutions rob us of meaningful connection and then sell them back to us through unfulfilling commodified social media. 14/30
And with the Corporate Media taking off-the-table any meaningful systemic analysis of the root causes of our pain, most people lack a liberatory framework that rightfully looks at our society’s institutions as the primary source of their oppression & alienation. 15/30
Furthermore, the Corporate Media & even much of the ‘Self-help’ Industry facilitate the lie that our pain, alienation, stress, anxiety & oppression are our own self-doing, further exacerbating the mental health crisis. 16/30
Every mental health metric paints a picture of people crying out for radical change. The diagnosis is systemic and thus, the solution must also be systemic.

True liberation & fulfillment means overthrowing our oppressive & alienating societal institutions. 17/30
Our problems are not about any one specific bad person doing bad acts. It’s about a backward system that incentivizes & rewards bad acts, that rewards the worst in humanity & causes the worst among us to systematically rise to the top. 18/30
https://t.co/QYPCTS8NWv
Fighting for the next Band-Aid is important because it helps alleviate some of the bleeding & pain.

But we must do so along a trajectory towards a new society that inherently inflicts fewer wounds in the first place & thus requires fewer Band-Aids. 19/30
https://t.co/q3Ivu1Js9M
And to win a better society & a better world the Left needs to build solidarity and continuously grow.

Power only concedes X when something even greater than X is threatened. And we can’t build powerful, threatening movements without solidarity. 20/30
https://t.co/1rdOcacj6B
One of the biggest pitfalls to building Left solidarity is contentious strategy disputes: Electoral politics vs. grassroots movements, peaceful vigils vs. militant civil disobedience, etc. 21/30
Most of these disputes are rendered moot by one truism: Almost all strategy choices don’t preclude other strategy choices & we can take different paths to get to the same place. 22/30
I have over 100 threads/tweets on the importance of movement building (and only a small handful on electoral politics) because my understanding of the history of social change tells me that movements are the primary driver of left social change. 23/30
https://t.co/D9YhwFAIG8
But I have friends & people who I respect who focus primarily on electoral politics. Nothing they do precludes me from doing what I do. And more importantly, if we worked together, we’d probably both be better off. 24/30
If we look at the history of some of the most successful left movements, like the civil rights movement, we will see a large diversity of strategies & tactics used in parallel.

We need to look at our diversity of strategies as an asset – not a liability. 25/30
A second pitfall to building Left solidarity is the myopic perspective that one oppression is above all other oppressions.

Sure, we can’t all do everything & we tend to work around oppressions close to our hearts. But we need a holistic perspective of other people’s work. 26/30
Leftists must connect the dots of oppression & injustice, demonstrating how racism, sexism, capitalism, authoritarianism, etc. are ALL connected, reinforce one another & are used by those in power to maintain their power. 27/30
And we must build movements that connect ALL our oppressions to one another (because they ARE connected), thus binding our liberation to the liberation of others.

That’s how we build solidarity. And that’s how we win. 28/30
And finally, a third pitfall to building Left solidarity is the lack of shared vision. Of course, we should replace our undemocratic, alienating & oppressive institutions, but what would a good society look like? 29/30
https://t.co/gjnHl9ORhG
To win a radically better world, we need powerful & diverse movements working together with solidarity & respect for diverse tactics. We need an intersectional framework & a comprehensive left vision.

Will we choose solidarity? Or will we choose self-defeat? It’s on us. 30/30

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1. The death of Silicon Valley, a thread

How did Silicon Valley die? It was killed by the internet. I will explain.

Yesterday, my friend IRL asked me "Where are good old days when techies were


2. In the "good old days" Silicon Valley was about understanding technology. Silicon, to be precise. These were people who had to understand quantum mechanics, who had to build the near-miraculous devices that we now take for granted, and they had to work

3. Now, I love libertarians, and I share much of their political philosophy. But you have to be socially naive to believe that it has a chance in a real society. In those days, Silicon Valley was not a real society. It was populated by people who understood quantum mechanics

4. Then came the microcomputer revolution. It was created by people who understood how to build computers. One borderline case was Steve Jobs. People claimed that Jobs was surrounded by a "reality distortion field" - that's how good he was at understanding people, not things

5. Still, the heroes of Silicon Valley were the engineers. The people who knew how to build things. Steve Jobs, for all his understanding of people, also had quite a good understanding of technology. He had a libertarian vibe, and so did Silicon Valley
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Abir Ballan \U0001f60a
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Humans inherently like the act of solidarity. We are social beings. We like to huddle up and be together.
They used this against us.
They convinced us that it was an act of solidarity to flatten the curve, to wear a mask for others, to take the vaccines for others,


and to reach #covidzero for others. They convinced us that this was for the greater good of society.
In reality, this couldn't be further away from the truth. They have divided us and broken the core structure of our society. They have dehumanized us with their masks.

They set us against each other into clans on opposite sides of a spectrum. They have turned us into aggressive beings fighting for our survival. Some of us fear harm from the virus, others fear harm from the vaccine, and yet others fear harm from the attack on our civilization.

We are all on a flight or fight mode. We are all operating under the influence of fear. We must collect ourselves and reflect on what has happened over the last year.
How is this for the greater good of society?

They used a tactical warfare strategy against us.
'Divide and conquer'.
We fell for it.
Now we must become aware of it and fight back.
We must reunite. We must find true solidarity to save our world. To free ourselves. To regain our autonomy.
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Sahil Bloom
Sahil Bloom
@SahilBloom
Survivorship Bias 101

History is written by the victors. But if we exclusively focus on these successes, we allow survivorship bias to distort our understanding of the world.

But what is "survivorship bias" and how does it work?

Here's Survivorship Bias 101!

👇👇👇


1/ First, a few definitions.

Survivorship bias is the logical error of concentrating on survivors (successes) and ignoring casualties (failures).

When we do so, we miss the true "base rates" of survival (the actual probability of success) and arrive at flawed conclusions.

2/ When we completely ignore failures, we lose our ability to correctly identify the differences between successes and failures.

Put simply, exclusively focusing on successes may actually inhibit our ability to identify (and replicate) the actions that led to such success.


3/ Cicero wrote on the topic over 2,000 years ago.

An atheist named Diagoras is shown portraits of people who prayed and were saved from death at sea as proof of God's existence.

Diagoras replies, "I see those who were saved, but where are those painted who were shipwrecked?"


4/ Cicero cuts right to the point - we cannot conclude that prayer led to being saved from the sea if we ignore those who prayed and then drowned.

Survivorship bias can lead to a deeply-flawed understanding of cause-and-effect relationships.

Let's look at some examples.
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GAVNet
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@GAValueNetwork
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 02/16/2021
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Ingo Rohlfing
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@ingorohlfing
There is a highly instructive symposium on "Veil of Ignorance" #ProcessTracing in the new @APSAtweets QMMR publication https://t.co/nxqEQ9HaRz There is lots to say ab it. For now, I want to focus on whether (causal) qualitative research has a problem w/ confirmation bias that 1/

needs to be addressed.
In short, Veil of Ignorance process tracing aims to blindfold the data collectors and analysts to the hypotheses to reduce risk of confirmation bias.
Proposal receives a lot of criticism by all respondents, partly for valid reasons, partly not, IMO 2/

If there was no bigger issue with confirmation bias, there would not be much benefit in talking about blinding in qualitative research.
As Beach notes, the intro to the symposium does not present evidence that bias is a problem. This is correct, but there is also no evidence 3/

that confirmation bias is not a problem. It's an absence of evidence situation with regard to comprehensive, direct evidence, i.e. from verification studies of qualitative research (for studies that are built on an epistemology for which the idea of verification makes sense). 4/

However, I'd say there is circumstantial evidence that confirmation bias is a problem.
1) Evidence for confirmation bias in quantitative research: The developments around #OpenScience and transparency in quantitative research in different disciplines present diverse evidence 5/
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Don't be too excited about the Khel Ratna award being renamed. There is a lot more to do. If have patience, go through this list.
1. Rajiv Gandhi Gold Cup Kabaddi Tournament
2. Rajiv Gandhi Sadbhavana Run
3. Rajiv Gandhi Federation Cup boxing championship

4. Rajiv Gandhi International tournament (football)
5. NSCI – Rajiv Gandhi road races, New Delhi
6. Rajiv Gandhi Boat Race, Kerala
7. Rajiv Gandhi International Artistic Gymnastic Tournament
8. Rajiv Gandhi Kabbadi Meet

9. Rajiv Gandhi Memorial Roller Skating Championship
10. Rajiv Gandhi memorial marathon race, New Delhi
11. Rajiv Gandhi International Judo Championship, Chandigarh
12. Rajiv Gandhi Memorial Trophy for the Best College, Calicut

13. Rajiv Gandhi Rural Cricket Tournament, Initiated by Rahul Gandhi in Amethi
14. Rajiv Gandhi Gold Cup (U-21), football
15. Rajiv Gandhi Trophy (football)
16. Rajiv Gandhi Award for Outstanding Sportspersons

17. All India Rajiv Gandhi Basketball (Girls) Tournament, organized by Delhi State
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19. Rajiv Gandhi Memorial Jhopadpatti Football Tournament, Rajura
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Low-risk, High-return stocks are what we look for relentlessly

But many of them we know but ignore
some of them don't grab financial headlines

Here are 10 low-risk, high return stocks (that we ignore):

What I mean by “high-return”?

These stocks have OUTPERFORMED the market:

💹Chart with upwards trend Since IPO
💹Chart with upwards trend Over the last 5 Years or since IPO

These are all long-term winners that will keep on winning

What do We Mean by “low-risk”?

A combination of:

❣️Great management
❣️Broad moat
❣️Financially strong
❣️High ROCE
❣️Low Disruption/Dilution/Volatility
❣️Consistent Organic Growth
❣️Assorted Customers/Suppliers
❣️Low debt

1-#CDSL

A depository is a big business and will grow continuously, Its a sustainable business
cause "Market hai toh CDSL bhi hai or rahega"


2- #Dixon

High Management Efficiency with a high ROE of 19.30%
Healthy long-term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of more than 30%
High Institutional Holdings
LOW RISK HIGH RETURN STOCKS , LOW RISK HIGH RETURN STOCKS FOR LONG TERM , LOW RISK STOCK IDEAS
Mitesh Patel
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How to sell option?
Here let me explain through simple math.
Say BN at 30000
30000 straddle trading at combine premium 800 ( based on current volatility)
Put at 400
Call at 400
You don’t know direction. Sold both.

If move will not come than both will decrease gradually.

At day end it will come down to 720-740 if move will not come. Difference is your profit.

Now case 2:
Move started.
At one points combine premium will start increasing.
Say 810.
Exit immediately. No need to do adjustment.
Let market settle.

Sell again straddle once market settle.
Now repeat same thing.

Straddle selling webinar over.
Good luck.

One can keep SL 550 for both strike to escape from sudden movement.
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