https://t.co/vyVlfUN4wO
This thread is for parents of teenagers. I have something for you: the first chapter of @ronlieber’s THE PRICE YOU PAY FOR COLLEGE. Because ye gods, here’s what we and our kids are facing.
https://t.co/vyVlfUN4wO
More from Education
New from me:
I’m launching my Forecasting For SEO course next month.
It’s everything I’ve learned, tried and tested about SEO forecasting.
The course: https://t.co/bovuIns9OZ
Following along 👇
Why forecasting?
Last year I launched https://t.co/I6osuvrGAK to provide reliable forecasts to SEO teams.
It went crazy.
I also noticed an appetite for learning more about forecasting and reached out on Twitter to gauge interest:
The interest encouraged me to make a start...
I’ve also been inspired by what others are doing: @tom_hirst, @dvassallo and @azarchick 👏👏
And their guts to be build so openly in public.
So here goes it...
In the last 2 years I’ve only written 3 blog posts on my site.
- Probabilistic thinking in SEO
- Rethinking technical SEO audits
- How to deliver better SEO strategies.
I only write when I feel like I’ve got something to say.
With forecasting, I’ve got something to say. 💭
There are mixed feelings about forecasting in the SEO industry.
Uncertainty is everywhere. Algorithm updates impacting rankings, economic challenges impacting demand.
It’s difficult. 😩
I’m launching my Forecasting For SEO course next month.
It’s everything I’ve learned, tried and tested about SEO forecasting.
The course: https://t.co/bovuIns9OZ
Following along 👇
Why forecasting?
Last year I launched https://t.co/I6osuvrGAK to provide reliable forecasts to SEO teams.
It went crazy.
I also noticed an appetite for learning more about forecasting and reached out on Twitter to gauge interest:
The interest encouraged me to make a start...
I’ve also been inspired by what others are doing: @tom_hirst, @dvassallo and @azarchick 👏👏
And their guts to be build so openly in public.
So here goes it...
In the last 2 years I’ve only written 3 blog posts on my site.
- Probabilistic thinking in SEO
- Rethinking technical SEO audits
- How to deliver better SEO strategies.
I only write when I feel like I’ve got something to say.
With forecasting, I’ve got something to say. 💭
There are mixed feelings about forecasting in the SEO industry.
Uncertainty is everywhere. Algorithm updates impacting rankings, economic challenges impacting demand.
It’s difficult. 😩
Admission and Scholarship in Germany (Part A)
As promised, let's start the year by discussing Germany.
Tag your friends, take fruit juice and unwind this thread🧵:
In Part A, I will discuss what you need to know about Admission and Scholarship in Germany, In Part B, I will show you how to practically apply and get funding.
Read the following general facts about Germany:
1. About 80-90% of the Universities are tuition-free.
However, in some states, you may be asked to pay about 1000-3000 Euros/semester, which covers student union fees and travel tickets around the state for a semester.
2. Most Msc students don't search for scholarships. Instead, they look for a block account of about 10, 000
Euros.
Read: https://t.co/sg9sZomuxA.
3. From the block account, the Govt pays you about 850 Euros monthly for Living expenses.
Check:
4. If you can find a way to get the block account, you have the chance of recouping your money back and much more because student job is around 1000 Euros/month, and it's about 20-40hrs /week.
Read:
As promised, let's start the year by discussing Germany.
Tag your friends, take fruit juice and unwind this thread🧵:
In Part A, I will discuss what you need to know about Admission and Scholarship in Germany, In Part B, I will show you how to practically apply and get funding.
Read the following general facts about Germany:
1. About 80-90% of the Universities are tuition-free.
However, in some states, you may be asked to pay about 1000-3000 Euros/semester, which covers student union fees and travel tickets around the state for a semester.
2. Most Msc students don't search for scholarships. Instead, they look for a block account of about 10, 000
Euros.
Read: https://t.co/sg9sZomuxA.
3. From the block account, the Govt pays you about 850 Euros monthly for Living expenses.
Check:
4. If you can find a way to get the block account, you have the chance of recouping your money back and much more because student job is around 1000 Euros/month, and it's about 20-40hrs /week.
Read:
Our preprint on the impact of reopening schools on reproduction number in England is now available online: https://t.co/CpfUGzAJ2S. With @Jarvis_Stats @amyg225 @kerrylmwong @KevinvZandvoort @sbfnk + John Edmunds. NOT YET PEER REVIEWED. 1/
We used contact survey data collected by CoMix (https://t.co/ezbCIOgRa1) to quantify differences in contact patterns during November (Schools open) and January (Schools closed) 'Lockdown periods'. NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 2/
We combined this analysis with estimates of susceptibility and infectiousness of children relative to adults from literature. We also inferred relative susceptibility by fitting R estimates from CoMix to EpiForecasts estimates(https://t.co/6lUM2wK0bn). NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 3/
We estimated that reopening all schools would increase R by between 20% to 90% whereas reopening primary or secondary schools alone would increase R by 10% to 40%, depending on the infectiousness/susceptibility profile we used. NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 4/
Assuming a current R of 0.8 (in line with Govt. estimates: https://t.co/ZZhCe79zC4). Reopening all schools would increase R to between 1.0 and 1.5 and reopening either primary or secondary schools would increase R to between 0.9 and 1.2. NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 5/

We used contact survey data collected by CoMix (https://t.co/ezbCIOgRa1) to quantify differences in contact patterns during November (Schools open) and January (Schools closed) 'Lockdown periods'. NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 2/
We combined this analysis with estimates of susceptibility and infectiousness of children relative to adults from literature. We also inferred relative susceptibility by fitting R estimates from CoMix to EpiForecasts estimates(https://t.co/6lUM2wK0bn). NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 3/

We estimated that reopening all schools would increase R by between 20% to 90% whereas reopening primary or secondary schools alone would increase R by 10% to 40%, depending on the infectiousness/susceptibility profile we used. NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 4/

Assuming a current R of 0.8 (in line with Govt. estimates: https://t.co/ZZhCe79zC4). Reopening all schools would increase R to between 1.0 and 1.5 and reopening either primary or secondary schools would increase R to between 0.9 and 1.2. NOT YET PEER REVIEWED 5/

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1/OK, data mystery time.
This New York Times feature shows China with a Gini Index of less than 30, which would make it more equal than Canada, France, or the Netherlands. https://t.co/g3Sv6DZTDE
That's weird. Income inequality in China is legendary.
Let's check this number.
2/The New York Times cites the World Bank's recent report, "Fair Progress? Economic Mobility across Generations Around the World".
The report is available here:
3/The World Bank report has a graph in which it appears to show the same value for China's Gini - under 0.3.
The graph cites the World Development Indicators as its source for the income inequality data.
4/The World Development Indicators are available at the World Bank's website.
Here's the Gini index: https://t.co/MvylQzpX6A
It looks as if the latest estimate for China's Gini is 42.2.
That estimate is from 2012.
5/A Gini of 42.2 would put China in the same neighborhood as the U.S., whose Gini was estimated at 41 in 2013.
I can't find the <30 number anywhere. The only other estimate in the tables for China is from 2008, when it was estimated at 42.8.
This New York Times feature shows China with a Gini Index of less than 30, which would make it more equal than Canada, France, or the Netherlands. https://t.co/g3Sv6DZTDE
That's weird. Income inequality in China is legendary.
Let's check this number.
2/The New York Times cites the World Bank's recent report, "Fair Progress? Economic Mobility across Generations Around the World".
The report is available here:
3/The World Bank report has a graph in which it appears to show the same value for China's Gini - under 0.3.
The graph cites the World Development Indicators as its source for the income inequality data.

4/The World Development Indicators are available at the World Bank's website.
Here's the Gini index: https://t.co/MvylQzpX6A
It looks as if the latest estimate for China's Gini is 42.2.
That estimate is from 2012.
5/A Gini of 42.2 would put China in the same neighborhood as the U.S., whose Gini was estimated at 41 in 2013.
I can't find the <30 number anywhere. The only other estimate in the tables for China is from 2008, when it was estimated at 42.8.