1/3

No one has called the entire crypto market cap hitting an all-time high, I think it is time to call it.

Total crypto market cap is now over $750B. In 2018 market cap briefly eclipsed $800B, but BTC dominance was below 35%, the market was illiquid garbage.

2/4

On January 7th 20118 - the proclaimed market cap ATH, Bitconnect had a market cap of $2.3B and Dentacoin $1.8B (and was up 930% on the week, lol). Coins like Ardor had market caps of $1.8B with $5M in daily volume. Bitcoin Gold was at $5B mcap

These assets were not liquid
3/4

I mean look at this garbage, New York Coin at $125M market cap on $4M volume and Electra $176M market cap on $45K volume.
4/4

Today Bitcoin's market cap dominance is sitting around 70% on tens of billions in daily trading volume, and total crypto market cap is at $750B. While garbage remains, much has been wiped out and the market is starting to mature.

This is the new all-time high for crypto.

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I’m torn on how to approach the idea of luck. I’m the first to admit that I am one of the luckiest people on the planet. To be born into a prosperous American family in 1960 with smart parents is to start life on third base. The odds against my very existence are astronomical.


I’ve always felt that the luckiest people I know had a talent for recognizing circumstances, not of their own making, that were conducive to a favorable outcome and their ability to quickly take advantage of them.

In other words, dumb luck was just that, it required no awareness on the person’s part, whereas “smart” luck involved awareness followed by action before the circumstances changed.

So, was I “lucky” to be born when I was—nothing I had any control over—and that I came of age just as huge databases and computers were advancing to the point where I could use those tools to write “What Works on Wall Street?” Absolutely.

Was I lucky to start my stock market investments near the peak of interest rates which allowed me to spend the majority of my adult life in a falling rate environment? Yup.