Categories Brexit
PUBLISHED: 07:05 Dec 24 2020 | UPDATED: 09:33, Thu, Dec 24, 2020
Update was 9:11!
"And now the Prime Minister is set to deliver a statement to the nation around 8am to announce the deal."
But the update was later than 8am! Still no statement from #BorisJohnson
#8 = H #HillaryClinton
BORIS JOHNSON and Ursula Von Der Leyen have allegedly arrived at a Brexit deal, and an announcement on the details will come today. What time is Boris Johnson's Brexit deal announcement?
07:47 Dec 24, 2020 | UPDATED: 09:04, Thu Dec 24, 2020
#47
European Commission spokesman Eric Mamer confirmed talks had also continued overnight via Twitter. #Brexit
Writing at midnight GMT, he said they would start again in the morning. #MidnightRiders #Comms #GMT Ground moving target #Military
#MidnightRiders https://t.co/2mlQEGlZFI
— JR (@pick291) December 21, 2020
"MPs and lords are currently on recess, but can be recalled at 48 hours notice, by December 29 at the earliest."
Why 48 hours notice? They can do it in less time if needed!
#48 #Cue #Gematria #Comms
⬇️
#48 #Cue
— JR (@pick291) December 23, 2020
What is Q Clearance?
The calm before the storm.
The three officers were aged 21, 37 and 45
#37 #Kabbala Pray to God
#45 #PresidentT
#21 Be dead #Gematria #Jewish \U0001f62e#Macron #Rothschilds #Merkel
\u2b07\ufe0fhttps://t.co/Etwv8N2MBs pic.twitter.com/HuR9MZ1GXm
In 2017 the Blairites were working to lose the general election and in effect cause a Tory Landslide and Hard Brexit.
This demonstrates their priority was not stopping Brexit as they said it was in 2019.
They used Brexit to lose to remove
@morty642 @vincent_rowlatt 2/10
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Here is Keir Starmer admitting in March 2018 that reversing the manifesto commitment to (soft) Brexit, would 'Break Apart' the Labour party.
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6 Months later he did just
@morty642 @vincent_rowlatt 3/10
Sept
@morty642 @vincent_rowlatt "An anti-Brexit party would win 150 fewer seats than a Leave party at a general election" Professor Christopher Hanretty, Head of politics, University of London.
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"Labour splits erupt as Keir Starmer defies Jeremy Corbyn to insist Brexit 'can be
@morty642 @vincent_rowlatt 5/10
96% of the seats (52 of 54) that we lost to the Tories in 2019 voted leave.
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https://t.co/NQjeCvcOMV
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https://t.co/osEZzreN8V
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"Labour is the party of remain, says Keir Starmer" Aug 2019
1) no deal
2) the two sides are still talking but run out of time - qu if can find other ways to buy more time
3) a deal is reached which the UK ratifies & EU provisionally applies
In some ways, option one is the most simple
If the two sides walk away then we dont need to see the govt recalling UK parliament & the european parliament also doesn't need to vote
But no deal isnt a sustainable endstate - lots of reasons the UK will need to work with EU in the future
While I dont think UK will be straight back to the negotiating table - esp if PM unwilling to compromise in current circumstances - there will still be unresolved issues
Option two is probably the most challenging - where both sides think there is a deal to be done but the clock just runs out...
They may want to buy more time for talks but as @GeorginaEWright has pointed out, it is really much more complicated than that:
Extending the transition period is a lovely idea - in theory. But in practice, it's a total minefield and not clear it can be done in time. Why? Thread.
— Georgina Wright (@GeorginaEWright) December 21, 2020
Which means that for many, option 3 (a deal) is really the best outcome
Although @aliceolilly has pointed out recall has been complicated by covid rules: https://t.co/kPaA7vXT32
There is still - just about - enough time for the UK parliament to pass implementing legislation
Quick thread on recall, coronavirus, Brexit, and why it\u2019s all a bit more complicated than usual.
— Dr Alice Lilly (@aliceolilly) December 20, 2020
So: recall happens at the request of the government. Parliament cannot recall itself. Explainer here: https://t.co/4myCgbpUqM
(Thread)
2. The single market is the most comprehensive trade area in the world. It includes considerable regulatory alignment on products and services, free movement of people etc.
Yet the EU seems to think that a mere FTA would allow post-Brexit UK to outcompete that single market. 🤔
3. Their current position seems to be that unless an FTA is accompanied by extremely onerous level-playing field provisions (explained by @RaoulRuparel here), then an FTA with the UK isn't worth doing because it would be a threat to the single
Have heard similar. This essentially amounts to trying to force dynamic alignment through the back door. I don't think UK can or will accept this. A thread with some potential solutions & noting some irony... 1/ https://t.co/1mIB1hWyVX
— Raoul Ruparel (@RaoulRuparel) December 9, 2020
4. But if you voted Remain (as I did), the idea that a mere FTA with, say, enforceable non-regression clauses rather than "dynamic alignment by the back door" is going to give post-Brexit Britain a competitive trading advantage over the single market is quite a strange one...
5. I mean, whatever happened to "non-tariff barriers are more important than tariffs"? Even with an FTA, the UK will face:
- Customs and regulatory barriers
- No free movement
- Rules of origin
Hardly a menu for out-competing the SM, you'd think, even with more freedom on LPF.