BC BREXIT
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#SLE_IanDunt 30 minutes to the start of our "Evening with Ian Dunt". Information here: https://t.co/9bLxOtCr56
Log-in tickets from https://t.co/iKcwmQh7gZ. See you soon!

 We will be live tweeting on this thread ...
Blimey; 19 pages of Zoom logins, 25 on each!
A crucial moment in the first page of the story of how to get back into the EU
Borders for goods: the Single Market removes checks on goods; relies a lot of people putting in the right information at the right time
If one piece of information, the whole thing is wrong.
Export using groupage; each shipment is on a lorry containing many shipments. Wrong documentation on one of them stops the whole thing.
CHIEF: UK customs system; old, dated, creaky
Safety regulation: complex and laborious
Documentation by custom brokers: not enough to go round
SBS: Health checks; documentation is hardest - export health certificate - relies on having enough vets - which we don't have
Westminster today: fishermen's protests; they are currently unable to sell their product.
Fish rot very quickly. Form filling is very difficult.
E.g. one lorry stopped because one lorry was 1.5kg out in weight.
Also, can't get the health certificates done.
Businesses are going to go bust.
Importers in Europe are looking for other sources of goods; they may never go back to UK supply.
Also IT systems, e.g. "monkfish tails" have no software code … so if that's what you sell, it's the end of your business
Many other problems in other businesses.
Covid reducing freight to about 10% of normal; when it gets back to normal rates, it's going to be chaos.
Fishing industry was firmly behind Brexit, so ironic that they are the first to suffer from it.
We shouldn't say "I told you so"; these are potential converts; convince them that they have been conned and betrayed.
Realistic option to persuade Labour to put another referendum into the 2023 manifesto
Tories want a culture war; Starmer needs to avoid that. So he needs to suppress talk of rejoin right now. For now, build better relations step by step.
Aim to get back in by 2030.
Heart: show what's going wrong; get the narrative, the storyline of Britain as an open place
Make the case that business is being strangled
Spirit: encourage people to feel European
Questions "... what the hell do we …"; brilliant book - how does it feel to be so right!
A: Plenty of stuff that was missed out; it was the result of talking to experts!
Q: does Brexit mean that the breakup of the UK is inevitable?
A: nothing is inevitable. But we are now a separate territory to NI. Problem for Scottish independence: problems with Brexit shows what could happen of Scotland separates.
Q: what was the biggest lie that was told!
A: So many to choose from! How about: "reduction of red tape"? "No border in the Irish Sea?"; had signed a document that said the opposite!
Q: Europeans in the UK: leave or stay?
A: I love the UK, one of the most diverse populations in the World. Would not say to give the anti-immigration people the satisfaction of succeeding.
Q: Will London stay as the number-1 financial centre?
A: Yes, London's resources mean it will stay as world number 1
Q: future relationship with America?
A: Biden will continue to consider the UK as very important. Have lost some of the special relationship; done for insane reasons. Fawned over Trump; went down v badly with the Democrats.
Q: any benefits of Brexit?
A: Not many. Has quelled Euroscepticism in the rest of Europe. There are some EU policies that aren't good, e.g. CAP. But these are miniscule.
Britain was part of a movement to reduce the chance of war by working together.
Q: Polexit: what should Polish Remainers do, which we should have done here?
A: 2016 campaign had no heart. Failed to see that the electoral dynamics were different. Must fight with heart!
Q: Root causes; what can we do to fix? Pick one;
A: Electoral reform; 2019; more votes for parties that wanted another referendum; FPTP causes grotesque, arbitrary outcomes. Need electoral reform more than anything else, particularly if Scotland leaves.
Q: How would an "anti-UKIP" fare?
A: Not bad; wouldn't win though. Lib Dem position strange.
Needs an outcome of progressive internationalism.
Q: Can we start breaking into our Brexit stockpiles now?
A: Tinned foods etc. are OK. Fresh produce is the problem. But you can't stockpile them! Some drugs (medicines) could be problematic.
Q: How would you vote if in Scotland to independence?
A: Can't answer that; hard to connect to his own national sense. Completely understands why Scots would want to leave.
Q: Seeing effects with fish; what next?
A: Lorry park in Kent; biggest danger is that hauliers simply won't come here. Most are from eastern Europe; they won't have enough financial incentive.
UK not doing checks for 6 months. But Dover-Calais will clog up and go terribly wrong.

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European Unity #FBPE 🇪...
@EuropeanUnity1
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31 liars & hypocrites who facilitated brexit

Some are mad, some are bad

All are millionaires, some are billionaires

They’ll profit from UK companies failing, keep their money abroad to avoid UK tax and travel freely with their EU passports

#RejoinEU


https://t.co/mZRr9u1RPb


https://t.co/BY6hKloR9d


https://t.co/NdC0ltLeSM


https://t.co/BLnRLotso7
BREXIT
Matt Carr
Matt Carr
@MattCarr55
I really can’t see how, after the last four and half years, the breakup of the UK can be avoided. What a historical irony that a Brexit intended to make Britain ‘great again’ actually brings about the demise of ‘Great’ Britain.

I actually don’t see this as a bad thing. After all, the aggressive chauvinistic nationalism, hubris, and exceptionalism that made Brexit possible is predominantly an English phenomenon. Part of the historical paradox whereby Englishness expresses itself through Britishness,

without explicitly recognising that this nationalism is primarily embedded in England rather than the Celtic periphery. A United Ireland is long overdue. Scotland - regardless of the debates about the economic viability of independence- has reached the point when a decisive

breach now seems inevitable. If this happens, Wales may well follow. Then, finally, England will have to decide what it wants to be, and look at the flaws and failings - political, economic, and constitutional - that it has put off dealing with, or blamed on others

Not arguing that Brexit was therefore a progressive development btw - far from it - but a country that was willing to do something so fundamentally harmful, and so stupid, and which allowed itself to be taken over by political forces of the kind we’ve seen, is an ill country
BREXIT
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ScottishPanda
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@PandaScottish
[thread] on the tub thumping jingoism of "best in the world"

Whether it be Gavin Williamson

or Jeremy Hunt

Why they need this amidst the shitshow of brexit and the disaster of covid?

Is a fascinating question


A reminder
BREXIT
David Henig
David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Small business in particular struggling with new Brexit red tape. Entirely predictable, and a function of a world trade system distorted against smaller traders. Stay with me a short while as Brexit threadmeister and story author @pmdfoster may say... 1/

The nub of the issue is the extra costs for most exports, whether this is paperwork or meeting different regulatory requirements. A fixed cost per exported load inevitably adds a higher percentage cost to small than larger business... and they may lack expertise. 2/


You'll note that in the EU, with virtually no paperwork or differing regulations, the costs of exports are similar for smaller and large companies - though even there there is a big company bias, because who can afford to lobby for friendly regulations? 3/

The same unfortunately typically applies to trade deals. If you are Nissan and threaten to leave the country without the right deal you have more clout than a small cheesemaker. As we see. But is it just the EU that is over-bureaucratic? Sadly not... 4/


One of the best UK business groups on trade policy @BritAmBusiness (and yes you can quote me @EmanueAdam) has a new report out on a UK-US trade deal and SMEs. It shows opportunities. But unfortunately problems unlikely to be solved. 5/
BREXIT
Michael M. \U0001f1e8\U0001f1ed\U0001f1f3\U0001f1f4\U0001f1ee\U0001f1f8\U0001f1f1\U0001f1ee\U0001f1ec\U0001f1e7
Michael M. 🇨🇭🇳🇴🇮🇸🇱🇮🇬🇧...
@vivamjm
FELIXSTOWE, England (Reuters) -

In just one month of post-Brexit trading, British logistics expert Jon Swallow has seen exports dive, prices rise and customers so desperate that he is practically offering a counselling service.

Swallow is one of thousands of freight forwarders and customs brokers based around Britain’s biggest ports who have described the overnight introduction of a full customs border as akin to the country placing economic sanctions on itself.

Britain’s New Year’s Eve departure from the European Union’s orbit after 47 years of membership means exporters must now provide customs and safety declarations, health checks and rules of origin details to trade with its biggest partner.

We are now at a disadvantage to people trading within the EU,” Swallow, a co-director of Jordon Freight, told Reuters in his office next to the vast cranes that tower over Felixstowe docks, Britain’s biggest container port, on the south east coast of England.

“We’re a very fast-paced business, but now we’re just like walking through mud. There’s just paperwork everywhere.”
Those companies that trade goods between Britain and the bloc are paying a price, particularly small firms.
BREXIT

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1. Choosing the right market
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"Sales increase when you honestly evaluate what someone needs and then teach them the value of what you're selling."


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