Well please be careful because now we've left the EU we are all due waves of super gonorrehoea.
Wrapping yourself in the #EU flag and putting #FBPE in your bio is the only known cure
https://t.co/WGQVjTg0mc
š¬š§ Happy Independence Day patriots š¬š§
Its Day 1 outside the #EU so we wanted to remind you of all the things Remainers told you would happen on #Brexit day.
Never in the history of political movements has one side fibbed so spectacularly and (at times) hilariously.
[THREAD]
Well please be careful because now we've left the EU we are all due waves of super gonorrehoea.
Wrapping yourself in the #EU flag and putting #FBPE in your bio is the only known cure
https://t.co/WGQVjTg0mc
We were fed (excuse the pun) stories as late as November 2020 that #Brexit would lead to 60% reduction in haulage meaning 'months' of food shortages.
https://t.co/Nt8z84GwGy
As late as October 2020 we were told that all flights would be grounded.
Both sides quietly agreed to contingencies in December. Quelle surprise!
https://t.co/X4YUQRNclW
The EU scheme obtained...zero...ventilators.
https://t.co/9mDtERNESp
We were told the only way to get vaccines fast and efficiently was through the #EU. #Brexit 'would delay things'. Instead the UK fast tracked approval and is a month ahead of Brussels, saving thousands of lives.
https://t.co/QO0XQrdgNe
In reality, the New York Times reports that "a new era began Friday morning without much fuss"
āIt does seem pretty calmā Elizabeth De Jong, policy director of trade group Logistics UK
https://t.co/fOc1VEVJDc
Yet on Day 1, the UK government have banned the environmentally catastrophic practice of pulse fishing putting our fishing standards above those of the EU.
Super trawlers next!
https://t.co/uvXnBPsbY8
Brexit baby boom anyone?
https://t.co/I0e9UsLuyH
So much so that Donald Tusk said #Brexit would lead to the 'destruction of western civilisation'.
Tins hats on!!
https://t.co/4r5VLMjr22
Sperm.
We were told our vote would lead to a national sperm shortage.
WON'T SOMEONE THINK OF THE CHILDREN!! š
https://t.co/PP8CWP83Qc
Like Siemens who threatened to depart...
...then invested Ā£310m into a wind turbine blade manufacturing facility in Hull creating 1,000 jobs, with a further Ā£200m investment in Goole (700 jobs)
https://t.co/NLU3ssE48P
Instead they got just hundreds. And the financial services sector went from strength to strength.
Humble pie š„§
https://t.co/DZLPsBxZcL
Well they went on to spend Ā£1 billion on a huge new European HQ...in London.
They have just said the UK is 'strong buy' in the medium/long term.
https://t.co/tpzwsge5iC
They now say the UK will strengthen its position as 5th biggest economy globally, roaring ahead of France - the EU's great hope - as our tech sector 'booms'.
Je ne regrette rien
https://t.co/kTp48FTndd
Errrrrrm. Wrong again.
Weāve rolled over or improved every single meaningful trade deal.
https://t.co/3VkiaoP3h1
Paging āDaveā and George Osbourne! We just agreed exactly that.
Instead, post 2016, the sector grew even faster and widened the cap between the U.K. and itās European competitors.
Whoops!
https://t.co/qZBdDCPIU2
Might have missed it due to the NYE hangover š„³
https://t.co/cRp9g7kWIP
Tell that to Aldi who are removing EU producers and making a Ā£3.5 billion investment in over 1000 local UK food and drink companies.
Yum! š„
https://t.co/o8Z2H9ISya
RIP to the BLT after #Brexit
I mean sure, it has been a staple of the British table since the 1700s, but apparently we now need to be part of the EU to enjoy a ham sarnie.
https://t.co/RR1q1wMvpX
The number of European doctors working in the UK has been declining since 2010, long before #Brexit, but actually went UP in the last 12 months.
Nurse! Remainers are telling fibs again!
https://t.co/77lpvBAt3q
More from Brexit
Two excellent questions at the end of a very sensible thread summarising the post-Brexit UK FP debate. My own take at attempting to offer an answer - ahead of the IR is as follow:
1. The two versions have a converging point: a tilt to the Indo-pacific doesnāt preclude a role as a convening power on global issues;
2. On the contrary, it underwrites the credibility for leadership on global issues, by seeking to strike two points:
A. Engaging with a part of the world in which world order and global issues are central to security, prosperity, and - not least - values;
B. Propelling the UK towards a more diversified set of economic, political, and security ties;
3. The tilt towards the Indo-Pacific whilst structurally based on a realist perception of the world, it is also deeply multilateral. Central to it is the notion of a Britain that is a convening power.
4. It is as a result a notion that stands on the ability to renew diplomacy;
5. It puts in relation to this a premium on under-utilised formats such as FPDA, 5Eyes, and indeed the Commonwealth - especially South Pacific islands;
6. It equally puts a premium on exploring new bilateral and multilateral formats. On former, Japan, Australia. On latter, Quad;
Both the @ChathamHouse and @Policy_Exchange reports are excellent and leave a healthy tension to the UK foreign policy debate. I\u2019m left with two questions that won\u2019t go away. Is the first underestimating how the world has changed. Is the second overestimating Britain\u2019s capacity?
— Ben Judah (@b_judah) January 11, 2021
1. The two versions have a converging point: a tilt to the Indo-pacific doesnāt preclude a role as a convening power on global issues;
2. On the contrary, it underwrites the credibility for leadership on global issues, by seeking to strike two points:
A. Engaging with a part of the world in which world order and global issues are central to security, prosperity, and - not least - values;
B. Propelling the UK towards a more diversified set of economic, political, and security ties;
3. The tilt towards the Indo-Pacific whilst structurally based on a realist perception of the world, it is also deeply multilateral. Central to it is the notion of a Britain that is a convening power.
4. It is as a result a notion that stands on the ability to renew diplomacy;
5. It puts in relation to this a premium on under-utilised formats such as FPDA, 5Eyes, and indeed the Commonwealth - especially South Pacific islands;
6. It equally puts a premium on exploring new bilateral and multilateral formats. On former, Japan, Australia. On latter, Quad;
On this, I think itās highly unlikely to occur in the timeframe given. For several reasons, I donāt think itās realistic for Scotland to secede, and then join the EU, in 9 years.
For that, thanks goes to Brexit.
A thread because why not...
Two important dates: March 2016 and January 1st 2021.
Firstly, prior to the 2014 referendum, the Nationalists proposed a date of March 2016 to secede.
Secondly, today - the end completion of Brexit five-and-a-half years after Cameronās majority in 2015.
Brexit has demonstrated many things, primarily that splitting unions is not easy. The UKs membership of the EU was 47 years and by the end it was not at the heart of the EU. The Union has existed for over 300 as a unitary state.
Dividing a unitary state, like the UK, will not be easy. Frankly, it will make Brexit look simple. Questions of debt, currency, defence, and more will need to be resolved ... something not addressed with Brexit.
Starting with debt. Scotland will end up with its proportionate share of the UKs national debt. Itās not credible to suggest otherwise. Negotiating what is proportionate wonāt be easy when both sides disagree.
Itās importance will be seen shortly.
For that, thanks goes to Brexit.
A thread because why not...
On the current trajectory, I think this is likely to be the map of Europe of 2030. pic.twitter.com/65i1A8CiP8
— Ben Judah (@b_judah) January 1, 2021
Two important dates: March 2016 and January 1st 2021.
Firstly, prior to the 2014 referendum, the Nationalists proposed a date of March 2016 to secede.
Secondly, today - the end completion of Brexit five-and-a-half years after Cameronās majority in 2015.
Brexit has demonstrated many things, primarily that splitting unions is not easy. The UKs membership of the EU was 47 years and by the end it was not at the heart of the EU. The Union has existed for over 300 as a unitary state.
Dividing a unitary state, like the UK, will not be easy. Frankly, it will make Brexit look simple. Questions of debt, currency, defence, and more will need to be resolved ... something not addressed with Brexit.
Starting with debt. Scotland will end up with its proportionate share of the UKs national debt. Itās not credible to suggest otherwise. Negotiating what is proportionate wonāt be easy when both sides disagree.
Itās importance will be seen shortly.
End of week 2 thread on post Brexit food trade
There is continued growing unease. The main picture remains one of depressed/tentative trade (c50% down y-o-y) and some high profile logistics business have taken the rational step to stop and regroup.
The big worry here is that ānot-tradingābecomes a habit. We canāt/wonāt carry on at half the volumes of before, but as volumes claw back we may only reach something like 80% of previous volumes and that is a disaster for a food industry already battered by a recession.
Lots of focus has been on the idea of EU businesses stopping serving the UK. Worries about how we feed ourselves has trumped worry about our exporters at every stage. Even though it is the collapse of our export businesses that is (and has always been) the greater threat.
To reassure the mainland British shopper that feels like less of a risk. UK is a large market of wealthy consumers, and UK gov has shown it will do anything (however unfair) to ensure stuff gets in - even letting supermarkets have access to the fast track lane to Dover.
I am not as close to this but it feels like shortage on the shelves is more of a genuine immediate threat for the island of Ireland. The types of innovative solutions we have discussed this week can help but will they come in quick enough?
There is continued growing unease. The main picture remains one of depressed/tentative trade (c50% down y-o-y) and some high profile logistics business have taken the rational step to stop and regroup.
The big worry here is that ānot-tradingābecomes a habit. We canāt/wonāt carry on at half the volumes of before, but as volumes claw back we may only reach something like 80% of previous volumes and that is a disaster for a food industry already battered by a recession.
Lots of focus has been on the idea of EU businesses stopping serving the UK. Worries about how we feed ourselves has trumped worry about our exporters at every stage. Even though it is the collapse of our export businesses that is (and has always been) the greater threat.
To reassure the mainland British shopper that feels like less of a risk. UK is a large market of wealthy consumers, and UK gov has shown it will do anything (however unfair) to ensure stuff gets in - even letting supermarkets have access to the fast track lane to Dover.
NEW. \U0001f6a8\U0001f6a8\U0001f69b\U0001f1ec\U0001f1e7\U0001f644\U0001f69b\U0001f69a\U0001f6a8\U0001f6a8 clear signs govt is preparing for coming #brexit turbulence - consulting on new fast-track scheme for food lorries returning to Europe /1
— Peter Foster (@pmdfoster) January 13, 2021
https://t.co/QqDKxBUu3f
I am not as close to this but it feels like shortage on the shelves is more of a genuine immediate threat for the island of Ireland. The types of innovative solutions we have discussed this week can help but will they come in quick enough?
