1/THREAD: WHEN WAS IT CLEAR?

Oct. 8, 2020: The purpose of this thread is to document and timestamp when it first became clear that #Bitcoin was likely to become a major reserve asset for public corporations, and eventually states, with Square's purchase of $50M in BTC.

The purpose is to give something to cite when ppl later claim "But there was NO WAY OF KNOWING..."

h/t @ErikSTownsend who used the same format to call out the impact of Covid on Feb 8 and made me personally aware of the looming shutdown of the country https://t.co/opuiNgSeqC !
Bitcoiners smarter than me have been predicting the takeover of the dollar by Bitcoin for many years.

In 2014 with Bitcoin barely at $1B, @pierre_rochard wrote https://t.co/EGHa58KqHq, covering all the incorrect narratives of Bitcoin and stating it will overtake the dollar.
"[skeptics] misunderstand how strong currencies like bitcoin overtake weak currencies like the dollar: it is through speculative attacks and currency crises caused by investors, not through the careful evaluation of tech journalists and 'mainstream consumers'" - @pierre_rochard
I first became bullish on Bitcoin in the summer of 2016, around a $3B market cap, but it was still a toy project at that time in the eyes of most in the financial world, while many technologists thought of it as a v1 technology to be improved on.
My first writings on Bitcoin in the fall of 2016 after 4 months of study correctly identified the monetary importance, but incorrectly understood blockchain as an application platform and predicted the rise of Ethereum, which I no longer believe can work.
https://t.co/aKGjgSQMps
Today, at $200B, it is exceeding our wildest dreams, while skeptics look on bewildered, shouting "bubble", for ten years straight, being forced to shift goal posts from "it will go to zero" to "two public companies buying an aggregate $500M of Bitcoin is not a pattern".
But to my thinking it was the week of Oct 8, 2020 when it first became crystal clear, and that traditional financial media reporting on Bitcoin was out of touch with reality, with the announcement of Square's purchase of $50M in Bitcoin.
Media earlier in the year continued to talk criminals and bubbles despite the entry into Bitcoin space by financial giants such as NYSE, CME, and Fidelity, investments into Bitcoin mining by Peter Thiel, and entry of macro players like Paul Tudor Jones and Raoul Pal.
Bitcoin now receives daily coverage in the financial press, while the opinion arms of the same publications write FUD pieces, and mislabel Bitcoin news as "crypto", "cryptocurrency", or "coin", as if driven by some insane force to avoid stating the painfully obvious.
It was back in August that MicroStrategy, a billion dollar Nasdaq listed company, announced the purchase of 21,454 bitcoin, almost five times the amount Square did. Media mostly slept on the initial purchase by $MSTR, unlike the coverage of Square, which was widely publicized.
I immediately recognized that this was the first of many to follow, retweeting Saylor's Sep 15 announcement of the aggregate purchase of of $425M worth of Bitcoin for his company's corporate treasury.
Some in traditional finance analyzed this move as a hail mary by a wacky CEO who had voting control and didn't have to answer to anyone. But Mr. Saylor had been using his Covid quarantine time to study the hardest money ever to be invented.
A "perfect storm" for Bitcoin has formed in 2020, which will ultimately lead to the replacement of the dollar with Bitcoin on the balance sheets of many major corporations, and likely states, within the next decade.
The perfect storm is 1) Bitcoin is the scarcest and hardest money ever to be invented, with a fixed supply that is changeable by no one 2) More than 7000 clones and competitors have been created with near zero market uptake 3) Dollars are being debased on an unprecedented scale
4) The world is tired of US hegemony and censorship over its currency 5) Countries that are sanctioned by America need a neutral currency to trade 6) Corporations need a reserve asset that cannot be debased 7) Leading companies such as Square and MicroStrategy demonstrating...
…not only the safety of, but a necessity to hold Bitcoin on corporate balance sheets to avoid dollar debasement 8) Bitcoin has become incredibly deep and liquid, able to sustain a $500M purchase over a few days without major slippage.
To summarize, by Oct 8, 2020 - it was crystal clear that Bitcoin was going to eat all weaker currencies alive. That includes the dollar. Be long dollars at your own risk.
A major thank you to @michael_saylor and @jack for your leadership in showing the world that this is the way.

More from Bitcoin

Agree mate. Well done @ttmygh @profplum99 and @nic__carter on a ripping show. Im obviously in the "gold is superior" camp, though I am long #BTC (tiny position). I thought the best/most interesting point of whole debate was raised by @profplum99 regarding the fact that a 1/n


#Bitcoin transaction is never really final, given the energy required to keep the network running, and obviously its scale issues will only grow over time. That said, I actually though @nic__carter "won" the debate as it were, and I was unconvinced by the threat to national 2/n

security or undermining Fed policy angles Mike put forward. Two areas that are super interesting to me. One is the issue of #Bitcoin ownership, and how concentrated it is in terms of a small % of addresses that own most of it (2% addresses > 95% of holdings I think). 3/n

made great point a lot of this is omnibus/exchange related - so exchange or fund - ie @Grayscale holds #bitcoin for multiple investors. That may well be true - but it brings up 2 other issues. One - it proves that #bitcoin doesn't really "work" without 4/n

centralisation - as this implies most people need exchanges or funds (or @Paypal) to buy it. If so, that kills off a major "bitcoin is better than gold argument" - as in reality, gold is way more decentralised (from mine supply to ownership distribution). It also brings up a 5/n
The #Bitcoin fundamentals of four generations of inflation, entitlements, and regulations are separate and apart from #Bitcoin the technological innovation. If we had sound money there would be little demand for Bitcoin. (1/13)


The notion that gold futures hold down the physical gold price or subjects the gold price to long-term manipulation is a canard. CME gold futures deliveries are settled with warrants meeting exact specifications met by approved refineries, carriers, and warehouses which (2/13)

ensures the integrity of delivery apart from the exchange. https://t.co/CpV1OBSsAT One need look no further than the 1980 Hunt Silver fiasco which illustrates how deliverable futures contracts provide for the discovery of an untapped silver supply resting in people's homes.(3/13)

Not so for Bitcoin. The CME Bakkt Bitcoin contract is for Bakkt Bitcoin. It is not Bitcoin. Bakkt Bitcoin is a cash-settled monthly futures contract. While the Bakkt Bitcoin has geographically storage of private keys, they are not your private keys. (4/13)


Not your keys, not your bitcoin. The Bitcoin Warehouse is an internal ledger The internal ledger operates separate and apart from the Bitcoin blockchain. The only interaction with the public blockchain is during the deposit of bitcoin into the Bakkt Warehouse and the (5/13)

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Now Suniti was the daughter of a tribal chief while Suruchi was the daughter of a rich king. Hence Suruchi was always favored the most by Raja while Suniti was ignored. But while Suniti was gentle & kind hearted by nature Suruchi was venomous inside.
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The story is of a time when ideally the eldest son of the king becomes the heir to the throne. Hence the sinhasan of the Raja belonged to Dhruva.This is why Suruchi who was the 2nd wife nourished poison in her heart for Dhruva as she knew her son will never get the throne.


One day when Dhruva was just 5 years old he went on to sit on his father's lap. Suruchi, the jealous queen, got enraged and shoved him away from Raja as she never wanted Raja to shower Dhruva with his fatherly affection.


Dhruva protested questioning his step mother "why can't i sit on my own father's lap?" A furious Suruchi berated him saying "only God can allow him that privilege. Go ask him"
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The first likely historical reference to Ethiopia is ancient Egyptian records of trade expeditions to the "Land of Punt" in search of gold, ebony, ivory, incense, and wild animals, starting in c 2500 BC πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ή


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