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I tend to agree with this - of course many things can still go wrong...but (certainly on the UK side) as the list of outstanding issues decreases and as the cost of no deal becomes more apparent deal momentum will increase.


I find it most amusing that people invest so much value in public statements, briefings, tabloid headlines, the tweets of obscure backbenchers etc. Cherchez les fundamentals!

There is a deep vein of analytical pessimism in one particular direction, which, whether correct or not, is noteworthy. On the one hand, a firm belief in the fundamentals - gravity exists - but on the other hand those fundamentals are not meaningful to the final decision.

But gravity does exist! Whether one likes it or not. We do not have wings. Or feathers. And the realisation of the fundamentals will impact the political calculation (though timing differences may apply).

You don’t have to invest any particular optimism or see any virtue in the principal players to make this point.
I do not “grasp at straws”, @LarrySchweikart and you are not the only person with an education.👨‍🎓

-First, re the Electoral Slates for Trump: they are currently *uncertified*. We hope to get them retroactively certified.


-I sincerely hope you are helping us do this by organizing your followers to make phone calls to their Legislators, instead of complaining about the process. No time for that.

-Secondly, I will address, once again, the historic role of the @VP vis-à-vis 12A & ECA of 1887.

-Because of the ambiguity of 12A, its passive voice phrasing, I posit the “President of the Senate” has the exclusive constitutional authority to determine which “certificates” to “open” and thus which electoral votes “to be counted” in the event competing slates arrive.

-Now, you are coming from the Electoral Count Act of 1887, which is a convoluted mess.

-You inferred the Trump electors are "illegitimate”.

-Well, the Act says only the votes “appointed in accordance with the laws of the State” may be "counted".

OBJECTION! LOL!😝

-Trump loyal Rs shall argue the “executive certified” slates are illegitimate because of election irregularities from the contested states.

-But what if the Trump slates are not certified by 1/6? Then both will be thrown out.
Texas is disputing US election results in 4 swing states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin & Georgia

Under Article III, US Supreme Court settles disputes between 2 or more states

Due to safe harbour, Trump’s remaining legal routes are narrow after

Brief analysis:
The Texas case is about the contested swing states’ executive & judicial branches VS their legislatures, on mail-in ballot rules

On Tuesday before safe harbour, SCOTUS rejected a similar lawsuit brought by Republican Rep. Mike Kelly

But a 3rd & eerily similar case has been with Justice Alito (as circuit judge for PA) & the Supreme Court since before the election. It’s about this very same executive & judiciary VS legislature dispute. That case, PA Republican Party vs Boockvar, may be decided in time, or not


The below is also worth noting:


There is also the issue of ‘safe harbour’ being said to only be “procedural”. This view rests on a reading of the Bush v Gore Supreme Court ruling.
So here's my second thread of the week, this time on what I call the origins of the Mad Minute.

This is going to draw together the technology, the user & the engineer & reveal the politics behind the

If you wanted mince pie reviews then you've come to the wrong place. I do those here:

I have Aldi and Asda to review before Chrimbo. I can't even try to fit in Sainsburys...


The focus over the next few days will be on guns, but as I said in my LEME thread I want to break out from guns & think about innovation in the context of the 4th industrial revolution.

So expect more threads on guns, engineers, lethality, and innovation more broadly.

4/

Also I get away from the idea that the history of weapons is about optimising lethality.

Instead I want to foreground society, systems & the socio-technical aspects of innovation.

So don't expect a whiggish interpretation but something that shows how tech is contested.

5/


So to the iconic Short Magazine Lee-Enfield.

This weapon is shorter than a long Lee-Enfield used by the infantry in the 1890s but longer than a Carbine, a weapon typically used by the cavalry, mounted infantry or the artillery.

wikicommons photos

6/
Irish foreign min Simon Coveney says he is "more optimistic" about progress in the EU UK Joint Committee over implementing the Northern Ireland Protocol.

2/ Last night @rtenews reported that if a free trade deal were to be concluded, a sequence would be put in place at the end of which the UK would drop the clauses in the Internal Market Bill which breach the Protocol.

3/ This morning, the EU’s representative on the Joint Committee, which implements the Protocol, said he would be meeting his counterpart Michael Gove in Brussels today.


4/ Mr Coveney said: “There is more cause to be optimistic and positive in the context of the Joint Committee and its work in terms of implementing the Withdrawal Agreement and the Protocol on Ireland and Northern Ireland.

5/ “Maros Sefcovic and Michael Gove have made really practical progress on many of the outstanding issues that were not resolved up until a few weeks ago.
🔴🔵🔥👀🔥Thred up = ثريد
What does Dominion mean !!
Dominion = Global Domination = Election rigging war instead of the traditional war with guns and fire,

100 years ago
The Balfour Declaration of 1926 recognized dominions
Founded by Rothschild and offered to Balfour in exchange for Palestine
Dominion = Global Domination

Note the symbolism of the 👑


In 1917 Rothschild offered Balfour
The Domainbon regime, the World Bank, and plans to manufacture military weapons as part of a set of promotional offers to allow them to seize the land of Palestine,
In 1926, he publicly admitted Balfour
"Dominions System in Elections rigging"


In 1926, he publicly admitted Balfour
"Dominions system for rigging elections"
The most important of them is ..
(Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Newfoundland, South Africa, the Ireland Free State, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nigeria, and Kenya)

as independent communities within the British Empire
Dominion = Global Domination = COVID-19 Vaccine
I have been telling you for some time, there is an indelible relationship between the presidencies of John F. Kennedy and Donald Trump. Maybe think of it this way. JFK was the beginning of the sentence and DJT will be the end of the sentence, with many paragraphs to follow...


...written however by the American people rather than a criminal, nameless, faceless cabal.

We are fortunate to be witnessing the beginning of the ending of the control of earth by a relatively small set of families, crowned heads and others, who have been determining the world's path for literally centuries.

These are the families who ran and controlled the British, French, Spanish, Dutch, and more recent, German empires. Their wealth is all stolen and is practically incomprehensible.

They have been controlling the nations, using their wealth, but also, most importantly, their ability to create the currencies of the nations and use it for their own private purposes, which do not include the welfare of the peoples of the world, who they despise.
I just want to remind everyone that back in 2011 Donald Trump and Michael Cohen set up a Russian cryptocurrency scam site https://t.co/H4spzP5aO8 to see if there was any money in running for President. But wait...there's more.

Trump and Cohen were sued for election fraud.

Sorry folks I can't make this up.
https://t.co/jNJl6LXZKX


Back in 2011 Donald Trump and Michael Cohen set up a website: https://t.co/H4spzP5aO8 to see if there was any money in running for President. The site was owne by a Russian cyrptocurrency dude. Again you can't make this up.

the bleached bones of this failed effort still exist. Fake Donald seems awfully polite and respectiful. https://t.co/5d2pm5kYf7


Trump was still a bullshit artist pretending that a grassroots campaign was urging him to run when it was his