20 January 2021 #MAGAanalysis

The Day After

Here's the link to soon-to-be former President Trump's Farewell Speech. It's not easy watching, I can tell you that. But we boldly do what we must,

More from Pasquale "Pat" Scopelliti

19 December 2020 #MAGAanalysis #OVERTURN

The Signals Are Accelerating And Strengthening

I consider the tweet below the most important yet. We'll immediately discuss why below. After that there are two documents and an interview to work on. Clarity is arising, pointing the way.


2) I was about to laugh about the dispute warning, but then realized that this very act on Twitter's part is that grain of sand inside which you can see the entire world of what we face today. How dare they? How dare you Twitter? Who, WHAT do you think you are?


3) We have to consider the logic. Stave Navarro releases a report. It is published at Bannon's War Room. In these matters, tone is everything. It might have been published anywhere but the President, I mean Navarro, chose to publish with

4) That is a signal. Why Steve? Beyond the clear statement of unity - Steve is a full member of the strategic team working to save our nation - there is a far deeper, more important reason. Steve's main portfolio item is China. Choosing him speaks them as much as us. Maybe more.

5) Bullies are cowards. One of the greatest means of PREVENTING war is the bold, direct, aggressive communication of readiness. You want a piece of this? Come get it...expletives deleted. There's always the other hand. War may be coming.

More from Trump

OK, #Squidigation fans, I think we need to talk about the new Wisconsin suit Donald Trump filed - personally - in Federal Court last night. The suit is (as usual) meritless. But it's meritless in new and disturbing ways. This thread will be


Not, I hope, Seth Abramson long. But will see.

I apologize in advance to my wife, who would very much prefer I be billing time (today's a light day, though) and to my assistant, to whom I owe some administrative stuff this will likely keep me from 😃

First, some background. Trump's suit essentially tries to Federalize the Wisconsin Supreme Court complaint his campaign filed, which we discussed here.


If you haven't already, go read that thread. I'm not going to be re-doing the same analysis, and I'm not going to be cross-linking to that discussion as we go. (Sorry, I like you guys, and I see this as public service, but there are limits)

Also, @5DollarFeminist has a good stand-alone thread analyzing the new Federal complaint - it's worth reading as well, though some of the analysis will overlap.

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The entire discussion around Facebook’s disclosures of what happened in 2016 is very frustrating. No exec stopped any investigations, but there were a lot of heated discussions about what to publish and when.


In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.

In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.

This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.

In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.