Trading Education Thread time 1/8

There are really only two types of trading styles:

1. Mean Reversion Trading
2. Breakout Trading

All other "styles" are merely indicator-based trading systems.

This thread will specifically discuss Breakout Trading

2/8

Breakout Trading requires identification of four elements in order to be successful:

1. Trendlines (pattern based support/resistance)
2. Price Action (overall trending direction)
3. Volume (the amount of participants)
3/8

Trendlines serve as support/resistance like order blocks (areas w/ prior bull/bear struggle) & lead to patterns. Human psychology does not like randomness which is why there tends to be strong reaction at the extremes of historical reference points or anticipated patterns.
4/8

The mkt tends to test two extreme ends of reference areas for a time, leading to a distinct larger pattern or range. A misconception is that certain patterns are always bearish/bullish, but the dominant trend (~4-7x TF above yours) influences the eventual breakout dir more.
5/8

Still, false breaks occur quite frequently. Basic patterns like triangles often trap newer traders that seasoned traders/algos regularly exploit, especially in crypto. Frontrunning or chasing mid-candle breakout is at high risk of being exit liquidity for the counter dump.
6/8

Which brings us to the most critical part: volume. This is the amount of "interest" in this zone, & tends to decline during consolidation as both sides are bracing for impact w/uncertainty. A breakout needs a volume surge; it signals commitment by traders in that direction.
7/8

So how do you properly execute the trade? Identify the dominant trend, & reduce size when betting on the opposite breakout. If breakout, note if candle vol has spiked & closes outside. If so, enter position, & place stops just within the breakout line inside of the pattern.
8/8

Did you find this interesting? Don't forget to check out my thread on Mean Reversion psychology: https://t.co/pS2Dmdbg9c

Or join me at https://t.co/QcbdSfAti4 to share alpha and network with others (no it's not a paid group)

More from Tradingthread

THREAD // How I Invest

1. Successful Investing starts with Education
2. Psychology of Trading & General Rules
3. Essentials of Fundamental Analysis
4. Master Technical Analysis
5. Screening for Stocks
6. Making a Watchlist
7. Money Management
8. Diversification of Accounts

1 // Successful Investing starts with Education

Following 2000-2002, I realized that I needed an education to help me understand many of the topics mentioned in this thread.

So, I started to educated myself using books. Seek mentors as well.

Then


2 // Psychology of Trading & General Rules

Develop a working SYSTEM (for you)
Preservation of capital
Consistent profitability
Cutting losses short
Superior returns

Understanding “You”:
What is your general personality?
What influences your decisions?
What is your lifestyle?

3a // Essentials of Fundamental Analysis

Earnings Per Share:
1. % Change in Latest Qtr EPS vs. Same QTR Prior Year
2. % Increase in Next Year’s EPS Estimate vs Prior Year’s Actual EPS
3. % Change in Latest EPS, trend past several qtrs
4. Annual % EPS Growth Rate of Last 3 Years

3b // Essentials of Fundamental Analysis

Sales / Revenues
1. % Change Latest Qtr’s Sales vs. Same Qtr Prior Year
2. % Change Latest Reported Fiscal Year Sales vs. Prior Year
3. % Change in Latest Sales, trend past several qtrs
4. Annual % Sales Growth Rate of Last 3 Years
Due Diligence Thread 🚨👇

In this thread I will be revealing to you guys my step by step process on how I do my due diligence on any ticker along with the process of how I find good setups and what resources and websites do I use to do it.

Step 1: Finding Good Chart Setups (continued)

Attached below is my personal finviz screener settings which I use to look at charts and how I
change some of the settings to my own preferences.
Site Reference:
https://t.co/liI2ktnHhz

PS: Sometimes I don't even select any pattern


My favorite bullish chart setups that I personally look out for initiating swing positions:
1-) Falling Wedge Pattern
2-) Ascending Triangle Pattern
3-) Fish Hook / Oversold Bounce Pattern
4-) Channel Up Pattern
5-) Descending Triangle Breakout Pattern ( Towards Upside)

Step 2: Checking for Offerings

Once I have found a good chart, with a high risk reward ratio, the immediate first thing that I
do is to look out for any signs of upcoming offering. Since I don’t want to get caught in
offerings , these are the two things that I lookout for.

Step 2: Checking for Offerings (continued)
1-) Firstly, I look for whether the company had made any recent offerings in the last two months, if yes then there are less chances of new offerings.

You May Also Like