Good Morning! You asked what is happening to #Gold and #Silver. This is my take - a summary of the governing Thesis on https://t.co/1Cy03QuMgb for a long time! Hope you can use the input! 🙋‍♂️🙂

Since ~2000 we have been in Kondratiev's Winter. A period where GLOBAL DEBT causes low and falling growth rates. Central banks try to counter this by printing money (Monetary Stimulus). However, Deflationary forces from debt causes deflations to unfold - despite extreme measures
To the frustration of Central Banks, they cannot create inflation despite extreme money printing. They stimulate by infusing money into the system but cannot make the money circulate. Velocity drops dramatically. What they miss...You cannot solve a solvency problem with Liquidity
Despite Central banks efforts (especially since 2008), the above creates a DEFLATIONARY ENVIRONMENT! This can be observed across #COMMODITIES. Declining despite Money Printing...?! Now - nothing lasts forever.... and suddenly we will see the KETHCUP effect of their rogue actions
#Commodities give the major picture of where we are in the INFLATION-DEFLATION cycle! We are close to bottom (of Ending Diagonal) but not there yet! ONE MORE DEFLATIONARY BUST before MAJOR SECULAR BOTTOM! Why BUST....? Because of #Covid19 2nd wave!
The "Inflation" which QE has caused has been in #Equities. Asset Inflation! Here we are so close to a major top - which is exactly what we would expect if we are to see DEFLATION unfold. DEFLATION - where we have had INFLATION
Another indication of coming Deflation, is the #USD #DXY. Major picture gives us the BULL market since 2008. Bull Market since Money Printing started! The decline we have seen since March 2020 has been final wave C in wave 4. Major BULL RUN ahead of us.
And it seems like #DXY has just broken up - on short term charts!
Despite what we hear, #Gold does not like #Deflation - it is an INFLATION hedge. It does not like strong #USD. If we are to see strong USD and Deflation - our expectations must be, that Gold (and Silver) will perform badly!
How bad will #Gold and #Silver perform? This is where EW helps us. First we must understand, that break higher than 2011-level (for Gold) does not mean new major Bull. It is an EXPANDED FLAT correction for Gold. The CORRECTION of the CORRECTION moves higher than TOP
Applying this to Monthly chart for #Gold. Wave top B is likely in at ~2070 in August. We are now in the first phase of major decline - due to STRENGTHENING #USD and #DEFLATION ahead! EW gives us 1.27% to 1.61% of A which takes final wave C to 650-965 area during Deflationary Bust
Do we see other indications, that #Gold has been wrong - and that we have only been in BEAR MARKET RALLY? Yes - look to #Silver, #Platinum, #Miners etc. None have been supporting. In fact, they have been telling us, that it has only been bounce since 2015 -a wave B as EW tells us
So - back to your question... What is happening to #Gold? It has entered the "Bull Capitulation Phase" in final Wave C lower during #Deflationary Bust in final part of #Kondratiev Winter - while #USD is about to soar. Take care! All the best! Stay tuned on https://t.co/1Cy03QuMgb

More from Trading

TradingView isn't just charts

It's much more powerful than you think

9 things TradingView can do, you'll wish you knew yesterday: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

1/ Free Multi Timeframe Analysis

Step 1. Download Vivaldi Browser

Step 2. Login to trading view

Step 3. Open bank nifty chart in 4 separate windows

Step 4. Click on the first tab and shift + click by mouse on the last tab.

Step 5. Select "Tile all 4 tabs"


What happens is you get 4 charts joint on one screen.

Refer to the attached picture.

The best part about this is this is absolutely free to do.

Also, do note:

I do not have the paid version of trading view.


2/ Free Multiple Watchlists

Go through this informative thread where @sarosijghosh teaches you how to create multiple free watchlists in the free


3/ Free Segregation into different headers/sectors

You can create multiple sections sector-wise for free.

1. Long tap on any index/stock and click on "Add section above."
2. Secgregate the stocks/indices based on where they belong.

Kinda like how I did in the picture below.

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1/“What would need to be true for you to….X”

Why is this the most powerful question you can ask when attempting to reach an agreement with another human being or organization?

A thread, co-written by @deanmbrody:


2/ First, “X” could be lots of things. Examples: What would need to be true for you to

- “Feel it's in our best interest for me to be CMO"
- “Feel that we’re in a good place as a company”
- “Feel that we’re on the same page”
- “Feel that we both got what we wanted from this deal

3/ Normally, we aren’t that direct. Example from startup/VC land:

Founders leave VC meetings thinking that every VC will invest, but they rarely do.

Worse over, the founders don’t know what they need to do in order to be fundable.

4/ So why should you ask the magic Q?

To get clarity.

You want to know where you stand, and what it takes to get what you want in a way that also gets them what they want.

It also holds them (mentally) accountable once the thing they need becomes true.

5/ Staying in the context of soliciting investors, the question is “what would need to be true for you to want to invest (or partner with us on this journey, etc)?”

Multiple responses to this question are likely to deliver a positive result.