Other question:
❓Is revenue growing?
❓Are margins stable/expanding?
❓Profits?
❓Balance sheet?
❓New opportunities?
❓New threats?
1/ How to review quarterly earnings 🧵
A step by step guide using $DXCM as an example
⬇️
Other question:
❓Is revenue growing?
❓Are margins stable/expanding?
❓Profits?
❓Balance sheet?
❓New opportunities?
❓New threats?
Tab 1 - Current company earnings report / shareholder letter
Tab 2 - Previous company earnings report / shareholder letter (check guidance)
Tab 3 - Analyst estimates
Tab 4 - Call Transcript
I search "Dexcom Investor Relations"
I click on "press release"
Open the newest quarterly earnings report and last quarter
It can also be a shareholder letter/presentation
Open up $DXCM in yahoo finance
The "news" section usually has a link to reports on whether the company beat/met estimates
The "analysis" tab is a good source, but sometimes it updates to the next quarter too quickly
@themotleyfool transcripts are best
Sometimes links are on Yahoo Finance news
Search "Fool DXCM Transcript" if not
Seekingalpha / NASDAQ are two other free sources
Revenue growth: 23% to $569 million
Revenue vs. Wall Street expectations (beat by 1.88%)✅
non-gaap EPS growth: -21% to $0.91
EPS vs. Wall Street expectations (meet expectation)✅
Management issued yearly guidance for 2020 in Q3 2020
Revenue +29% to $1.9 billion (actual +31% to $1.93 billion)✅
Non-GAAP Gross margin 66% (actual 66.7%)✅
Non-GAAP Operating margin 16% (actual 16.5%)✅
Margins
Use transcript / press release / or calculate yourself
Gross 70.2% vs. 66.8% (gross profit grew faster than revenue)
Non-gaap Operating: 18.3% vs. 22.5% (investigate!)
non-gaap Net: 15.8% vs. 22.9% (investigate!)
News from press release?
✅Building out salesforce (explains operating margin & net margin drop)
✅Reimbursement in France
Read through transcript:
✅Gross margin ⬆️ from new manufacturing facility
✅Super bowl commerical
✅New service center in Lithuania
✅New manufacturing site in Malaysia
✅New sensor launching in 2nd half 2021
✅Enter VC space
✅50% of sales now coming through pharmacy
✅International sales 35% of revenue
✅International DTC campaign launching
2021 Guidance:
Revenue:
Management expects 15% to 20% growth
Wall Street expects 21%
Margins:
Gross ⬇️ to 65%
Operating ⬇️ 13%
Management has a long history of under-promising & over-delivering, so I view these numbers as the floor, not the ceiling
More from Brian Feroldi
1/ My Mission: To Spread Financial Wellness (thread)
Here’s what "financial wellness" means to me
⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
2/ Mindset
Humans are programmed to think short-term
Evolutionary, thinking short-term makes sense. It helps with survival.
Financial wellness is all about training yourself to develop a long-term mindset
Not easy -- it takes practice
3/ Mindset
If you join the right tribes, you can’t help but improve
My favs:
@AffordAnything
@ChooseFiFI
FinTwit
@MicroCapClub
@themotleyfoolFool
@visualizevalue
Twitter / Podcasts / Blogs / YouTube -- when used correctly -- are amazing
4/ Mindset
Educate yourself - constantly!
Especially about:
1⃣Money
2⃣Relationships
3⃣Health
These 3 categories have an outsized influence on all areas of your life
Books
5/ Career
In the beginning, focus on growing your income
Do more than what is expected
Become a lynchpin
Find a career that you ENJOY (<- important!) that also has high-income potential
Start a side hustle (<- important!)
Build your talent
Here’s what "financial wellness" means to me
⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
2/ Mindset
Humans are programmed to think short-term
Evolutionary, thinking short-term makes sense. It helps with survival.
Financial wellness is all about training yourself to develop a long-term mindset
Not easy -- it takes practice
3/ Mindset
If you join the right tribes, you can’t help but improve
My favs:
@AffordAnything
@ChooseFiFI
FinTwit
@MicroCapClub
@themotleyfoolFool
@visualizevalue
Twitter / Podcasts / Blogs / YouTube -- when used correctly -- are amazing
1/ YouTube is an AMAZING resource when used properly (Thread)
— Brian Feroldi (@BrianFeroldi) November 7, 2020
Here are my favorite YouTube channels:
Top 5:
Mark Rober - @MarkRober
Real Engineering
Smarter Every Day - @smartereveryday
Stuff Made Here - @stuffmadehere
Wintegartan - @wintergatan
More \U0001f447\U0001f447\U0001f447\U0001f447\U0001f447
4/ Mindset
Educate yourself - constantly!
Especially about:
1⃣Money
2⃣Relationships
3⃣Health
These 3 categories have an outsized influence on all areas of your life
Books
1/ Book recommendations (thread)
— Brian Feroldi (@BrianFeroldi) November 20, 2020
Start Here:
Choose FI
Richest Man in Babylon
Millionaire Next Door
Rich Dad, Poor Dad
The Wealthy Barber
\u2b07\ufe0f\u2b07\ufe0f\u2b07\ufe0f\u2b07\ufe0f\u2b07\ufe0f
5/ Career
In the beginning, focus on growing your income
Do more than what is expected
Become a lynchpin
Find a career that you ENJOY (<- important!) that also has high-income potential
Start a side hustle (<- important!)
Build your talent
Boosting your salary is a great way to turbo-charge wealth building
— Brian Feroldi (@BrianFeroldi) November 1, 2020
Here's the good news: Your salary is negotiable!@themotleyfool and @ChooseFi have some AMAZING free resources for scoring a big raise:
Use them!
\U0001f447\U0001f447\U0001f447
Last week, I asked my followers to share their favorite Twitter threads
I receive tons of wonderful replies and read through them all
Here are 31 amazing threads that are well worth your time ⬇️
1/ @10kdiver on
2/ @aaronbush100 on 20 semi-controversial investing
3/ @annieduke on category
4/ @awilkinson on losing
I receive tons of wonderful replies and read through them all
Here are 31 amazing threads that are well worth your time ⬇️
1/ @10kdiver on
1/
— 10-K Diver (@10kdiver) April 10, 2021
Get a cup of coffee.
In this thread, I'll walk you through the basics of leverage -- in our personal lives and in the companies we invest in. pic.twitter.com/9MilmwE9f7
2/ @aaronbush100 on 20 semi-controversial investing
20 semi-controversial investing beliefs [THREAD]:
— Aaron Bush (@aaronbush100) May 24, 2020
3/ @annieduke on category
The most dangerous category of poor decisions are ones that remain easily hidden from view because any instance of that type of decision is so easy to rationalize.
— Annie Duke (@AnnieDuke) October 7, 2020
1/12
4/ @awilkinson on losing
This is a story about how I lost $10,000,000 by doing something stupid.
— Andrew Wilkinson (@awilkinson) March 30, 2021
Ten. Million. Dollars.
Literally up in smoke. Money bonfire.
That\u2019s enough to retire with $250,000+ in annual income.
Here\u2019s what happened\u2026
More from Trading
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1/12
RT-PCR corona (test) scam
Symptomatic people are tested for one and only one respiratory virus. This means that other acute respiratory infections are reclassified as
2/12
It is tested exquisitely with a hypersensitive non-specific RT-PCR test / Ct >35 (>30 is nonsense, >35 is madness), without considering Ct and clinical context. This means that more acute respiratory infections are reclassified as
3/12
The Drosten RT-PCR test is fabricated in a way that each country and laboratory perform it differently at too high Ct and that the high rate of false positives increases massively due to cross-reaction with other (corona) viruses in the "flu
4/12
Even asymptomatic, previously called healthy, people are tested (en masse) in this way, although there is no epidemiologically relevant asymptomatic transmission. This means that even healthy people are declared as COVID
5/12
Deaths within 28 days after a positive RT-PCR test from whatever cause are designated as deaths WITH COVID. This means that other causes of death are reclassified as
RT-PCR corona (test) scam
Symptomatic people are tested for one and only one respiratory virus. This means that other acute respiratory infections are reclassified as
4/10
— Dr. Thomas Binder, MD (@Thomas_Binder) October 22, 2020
...indication, first of all that testing for a (single) respiratory virus is done outside of surveillance systems or need for specific therapy, but even so the lack of consideration of Ct, symptoms and clinical findings when interpreting its result. https://t.co/gHH6kwRdZG
2/12
It is tested exquisitely with a hypersensitive non-specific RT-PCR test / Ct >35 (>30 is nonsense, >35 is madness), without considering Ct and clinical context. This means that more acute respiratory infections are reclassified as
6/10
— Dr. Thomas Binder, MD (@Thomas_Binder) October 22, 2020
The neither validated nor standardised hypersensitive RT-PCR test / Ct 35-45 for SARS-CoV-2 is abused to mislabel (also) other diseases, especially influenza, as COVID-19.https://t.co/AkFIfTCTkS
3/12
The Drosten RT-PCR test is fabricated in a way that each country and laboratory perform it differently at too high Ct and that the high rate of false positives increases massively due to cross-reaction with other (corona) viruses in the "flu
External peer review of the RTPCR test to detect SARS-CoV-2 reveals 10 major scientific flaws at the molecular and methodological level: consequences for false positive results.https://t.co/mbNY8bdw1p pic.twitter.com/OQBD4grMth
— Dr. Thomas Binder, MD (@Thomas_Binder) November 29, 2020
4/12
Even asymptomatic, previously called healthy, people are tested (en masse) in this way, although there is no epidemiologically relevant asymptomatic transmission. This means that even healthy people are declared as COVID
Thread web\u2b06\ufe0f\u2b07\ufe0f
— Dr. Thomas Binder, MD (@Thomas_Binder) December 16, 2020
The fabrication of the "asymptomatic (super) spreader" is the coronation of the total nons(ci)ense in the belief system of #CoronasWitnesses.
Asymptomatic transmission 0.7%; 95% CI 0%-4.9% - could well be 0%!https://t.co/VeZTzxXfvT
5/12
Deaths within 28 days after a positive RT-PCR test from whatever cause are designated as deaths WITH COVID. This means that other causes of death are reclassified as
8/8
— Dr. Thomas Binder, MD (@Thomas_Binder) March 24, 2020
By the way, who the f*** created this obviously (almost) worldwide definition of #CoronaDeath?
This is not only medical malpractice, this is utterly insane!https://t.co/FFsTx4L2mw
