Option Trading is very difficult to master as there are so many things to understand.

Here is a master thread related that will help a beginner to understand about Options Trading.

A complete course worth Rs 50K for free.

Moving Averages is a common indicator which most of us (novice/professional) use in the stock market for trading and investment.

This learning thread would be on
"𝙐𝙨𝙚𝙨 𝙤𝙛 𝙈𝙤𝙫𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝘼𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙜𝙚"

Like👍 & Retweet🔄 for wider reach and more such learning thread.

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Basics of the moving average:

It takes average of the price for the duration we want.

So 10 days moving average means an average price of 10 days closing price.

Common types of Moving Average:
Simple, Exponential, Weighted.

Use only one type in your trading setup.

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Different uses:

1⃣ Moving Average Crossovers:

Common strategy used by positional traders and investor in finding multibagger or good returns stocks.

Common crossover used is for 50 & 200 Moving Average.

Also, this is called as "𝗚𝗼𝗹𝗱𝗲𝗻 𝗖𝗿𝗼𝘀𝘀𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿"

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In this buy signal is initiated when lower MA (50 EMA) crosses above higher MA (200 EMA).
And exit or sell signal is intiated when lower MA (50 EMA) crosses below higher MA (200 EMA).

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Let's see an example:
Pidilite Industries

Buying Price was 56 in 2009 and CMP is 2462 and still there is no selling signal.

44 times Multibagger or 4300% returns.

In lower time frame, it will give more whipsaw and more number of trades.

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101 guide on how you can start option selling to generate active returns with less capital (Rs 1 Lakh) 🧵:

A course on option selling available for free.

First of all, option selling is a very risky business because you can lose the entire capital if the market goes against you.

So it's important to do technical analysis properly. Read everything about Technical Analysis from Zerodha

Technical Analysis will give you good knowledge on chart reading, which will help you do in doing analysis and sit in the right direction.

Before starting with F&O trading, it's important to understand how it works and what all things happen?

This module of Zerodha Varsity will help you to get a basic understanding of Futures Trading. As of now, this is less important as we are focusing on option

For options, Zerodha Varsity has explained all the basic things in a simple manner. You need not require joining any paid workshop or webinars.

This is module will help you to clear basics of

Screeners helps trader in saving lot of time in filtering best stocks out of 1000+ stocks listed.

Here is the list of top 9 Free Price Action based screeners that I use:

Also, last screener is my favorite to pick early momentum stocks.

1/ Bullish Engulfing:

The bullish engulfing pattern is a two-candle reversal pattern and it is a strong bullish candle that a trader uses to take reversal

2/ Bearish Engulfing:

The bearish pattern is a two-candle reversal pattern and it is a strong bearish candle that a trader uses to take reversal

3/ Bullish Harami:

A bullish harami is a candlestick chart indicator used for spotting reversals in a bear

4/ Bearish Harami:

A bearish harami is a candlestick chart indicator used for spotting reversals in a bull

Investing in stocks is boring, but it can help in creating wealth for many investors.

Sharing 4 Simple Investment Strategies (sold as a ₹ 50,000 course!).

For guidance, shared screeners for all the strategies also.

Shared a bonus trading strategy at the end.

A thread 🧵:

1/ All Time High Breakout:

Stock that breaks the uptrend are the one that can give massive upmove.
These stocks are considered as strong stocks in the market.

Timeframe should be monthly and if price closes above ATH on any day you can enter.

Example 1:

Bajaj Finance gave a breakout above ATH at around 55 and then it moved up till 5000 levels.

Total returns of 9000% in 10 years.

Simple Strategy, isn't it?

Example 2:

Reliance Chart.

It gave breakout above its All Time High level after 10 years and then never looking back.

Price moved up from 700 to 2600.
Returns of 270% in five years.

How to Follow Stoploss?

Initially keep stoploss at swing low on monthly chart and trail your stoploss accordingly to enjoy massive upmove.

Other ways of Trailing Stoploss can be using 200 EMA or any other indicator.

A thread about GameStop:

Big hedge funds made big bets that GameStop’s stock was overvalued. The way these bets work is the hedge fund borrows shares of the stock and sells those borrowed shares.

When it comes time to give the borrowed shares back, they buy them on the market, hopefully at lower prices. For example, they might sell the borrowed share at $50, hoping to be able to buy the share back at $30, to make a $20 profit. This is called shorting.

The hedge funds were so sure that GameStop was going down, that GameStop was the most shorted stock on the market. 140% of the shares in existence were “borrowed.” Imagine Bob borrows from Jane who borrows from Sue who borrows from John.

Shorting is risky, but the hedge funds were so sure that they just didn’t even care. People on Reddit realized this and basically thought “what if we all just bought shares and refused to sell them when the hedge funds need to give their borrowed shares back.”

The price goes up, the hedge funds are forced to buy back the expensive shares and lose money. Except the hedge funds kept doubling down as the price rode up, expecting that it would eventually fall. The Redditors weren't scared off and with "diamond hands" refused to sell.

So what will be the aftermath of this GME event?

These are simply my guesses, I don't actually know.

Wallstreet will likely push for licenses being necessary to trade, or put more limits on how many trades you can make, or some other way to screw the average person trading. 1/

FYI, you can only make 4 trades in a day, but if you have more than $25,000 in your account you can make as many as you want.

The system is rigged against the poor, and weighted heavily in favour of the rich. 2/

Will the government shut down the market?

It's possible, but I doubt it.
It would open up new precedents and the optics would be terrible- i.e. shutting down the market because greedy hedgefunds fucked up, and normal people are taking them to the cleaners. 3/

If the government gives in to Wallstreet, they lose all credibility, because this story is basically David vs Goliath, where the Reddit guys are the good guys, and the hedgefunds are the bad guys.

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Likely they will implement similar rules to Europe, that stops naked short selling.

Anything more than that, I'm not sure.
I think the media will push the threat of the government shutting down trading, in order to scare people into selling, to give short sellers a way out. 5/

Price + Open Interest (OI) + Volume = Deadly Combo

There are many tools for Open Interest. Options Decoder from @TrueData2 is one of the simple yet powerful tools on options and OI.

Below are the 10 Powerful Features of Options Decoder

Thread 🧵🧵

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#1 - PE CE Difference

This feature combines the OI of call options and put options and plots against each other.

At one glance, we can know what big players are doing!

(If they are selling more CE means, they are bearish on the underlying instrument)

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#2 - Advance/Decline

This feature displays all the F&O stocks in one place.

In one click, we can see the stocks in any order (like an increase in price, increase in OI, or decrease in volume, etc).

A highly useful feature for options traders!

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#3 - Open High

This feature displays all the strike prices that have an open high (or open low) for the selected instrument.

If many CE strikes show "Open Low", then the market is bullish!

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#4 - IV Price-OI Chart

This feature plots CE and PE vs. Open Interest (OI) for the ATM strike price.

Always Remember:

CE Long Build Up + PE Short Build Up = BULLISH

PE Long Build Up + CE Short Build Up = BEARISH

CE Short Build Up + PE Short Build Up = SIDEWAYS

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I analyzed 25+ years of #Nifty data to better understand bear markets 🐻

Why?

Given the recent market sell-off and bearish stance of market participants, history and data is your best guide to prepare if we're headed for a bear market.

Thread with findings below 🧵👇
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But first, do you know the definition of a bear market?

When any index falls 20% or more from it's all time high, it is termed to be in a #bearmarket 🐻

How do you calculate length of a bear market? The time duration in days from previous all-time high to market bottom.

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🇮🇳 Nifty last 25 years (1997-2022*)

Number of Bear Markets = 8

Average drawdown % = -38.5%

Average bear market duration = 246 days (8 m)

Key takeaway - Bear markets occur every ~3 years and take on average 8 months to bottom

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1997 and 2006 saw the fastest bear markets with Nifty correcting 20-30% in just ~1 month.

Unbelievably, 1997 had 2 bear markets! Just imagine suffering 20% drawdowns twice in a few months!

Mar 2020 Covid crash was the 3rd fastest and 3rd worst bear market.

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Okay, how should we define Bear Market Recovery?

The no of days from market bottom to a new all-time high.

Sadly, bear markets take time to recover.

Almost double the time to recover to a new ATH compared to the time to form a bottom.

Avg recovery duration – 495 days

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