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An option buyer made Rs. 58 lacs from Rs. 2 lac capital in a span of just one month (March 2020 COVID crash).

He is none other than Mr. Subasish Pani.

THREAD: 11 things you must know to become an option buyer.

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

 •Don't get carried away with the kind of return that Mr. Pani made in such a short period of time.

•This requires a high level of skill, and discipline in terms of which strike to choose, which time to trade, and which days to trade.

•It also comes with higher drawdown.
1/ Screen Time:

• Indian markets function from 9:15-15:30.

• Dividing this time zone into 3 sub parts:
- 9:15 to 10:30: trending market
- 10:30 to 13:30: for retracement
- 13:30 to 3:30: trending market

https://t.co/cO7FtokXTQ
2/ Focus on momentum:

• Option buyers make money when the momentum is quick.

• However if the market remain sideways for few days then the option starts to lose its value.

• This is because theta decay works against option buyers.
3/ Option buyers need momentum to make money:

• Hence focus on the 1st & 2nd time zone where the markets are trending.

• Avoid taking trades between 10:30am till 13:30.

• Special focus on Wednesday & Thursday as premiums are low and if you can catch momentum then good R/R.
4/ Theta decay is a friend of option seller:

• Let's say the market view is -ve and market stays sideways or goes down, option sellers will still make money due to theta decay.

• Hence, the probability of winning for option sellers is 66.6% whereas for buyers its 33.3%.
5/What's the favorable risk to reward (R/R):

• Since the winning probability of an option buyer is 33.3%, the edge is maintained by keeping losses at a fraction of gains.

Hence, R/R has to be 1:4.
6/ Why deep OTMs doesn't work?

• Most of the option buyers select deep OTMs , but they have a higher probability of losing value as time passes away.

• Hence, deep OTMs are usually favorite of option sellers.

•Option buyers should select strikes near to Rs. 100.
7/ Should option buyers focus on ATM?

• ATM strikes, having prems near to 200-300 is highly volatile. Hence the SL for ATM would be minimum Rs. 40-50.

• R/R is 1:4, then the reward should be atleast Rs. 160-200 which looks slightly challenging.

• So stay away from ATMs.
8/ Find the sweet spot!

• ATMs are too volatile and far OTMs lose value quickly, therefore the golden mean is to select option in the range of Rs. 100

• Rs. 100 option doesn't have that kind of volatility that ATM has and Rs. 20-25 SL works, without getting stopped out.
9/ On expiry days which premium to focus?

• During expiry's one can work with Rs. 40 - 50 especially post 12:30 noon.

• At times the 2pm moves are ferocious and one can even work with Rs. 20-25 premium.

https://t.co/GwqZ5cc2so
10/ Have no regrets:

• We don't know the target, we can only book as per our R/R.

• One can never capture the entire move in option buying.

• Be satisfied with what you book rather than having regrets of exiting the trade early.
11/ Scaling up:

• Choose option buying because it interests you rather than opting for it due to lack of capital.

•Psychological issues would be higher while scaling up due to the MTM swings in option buying.

https://t.co/wviTTCzNz5
If you enjoyed this thread, here's another one which might be helpful to get a set up in option buying.
https://t.co/1Au8unvmum
Hope you discovered something new (because that's the point!)

If you did, share it with a friend

Hop back up to retweet the first tweet

See past threads here:

@AdityaTodmal

&

@niki_poojary

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Over the past month, we have shared 15 powerful threads:

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Do you want to know how to create a Trading Plan using only Price Action?

Here's a breakdown of 11 simple yet powerful steps to create one: 🧵

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ Know your type:

First and foremost, understand whether you are a Scalper or Intraday trader or Swing trader or Positional Trader.

Create an account in @tradingview

2/ Set the Time Frame (TF) of the Charts:

• Scalper: the TF you would use would be in the range of 1- 5min
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• Positional Trader: Weekly


3/ Be aware of the trend at higher TF.

No matter which type of trader you are, its important to know the trend at higher TF.

Crucial to know whether its a buy on dip market or sell on rise market.

In my outlook for the week for #BANKNIFTY & #NIFTY I cover multi TF analysis.

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Sep 1, 2021, fresh month starts with a challenge i.e. introduction of Peak Margin rules by SEBI

Time for a 🧵

Lets demystify the Peak Margin rules and try to find solutions for the option sellers!

Peak Margin by SEBI:
• 100% upfront margin for intraday trades in the derivative segment
• Effectively MIS orders = NRML orders, as both will attract same margin in the derivative segment
• Minimum margin for equity intraday trades will be 20% of trade value i.e. 5X leverage

How things used to operate erstwhile?
• Until last year there were no standardization of leverage
• Brokerage firms used to offer their clients intraday leverage of 5x, 10, 15x, 20x etc. as margin reporting was done on EoD basis

• Brokerage firms were allowing customers to take intraday positions with margins far lesser than required via products like MIS, BO, CO, etc. as the positions used to get squared off before the trading hours

• Eg: If 1 lot of Nifty futures require (SPAN + exposure of) Rs. 1.1L, brokerage houses would allow to trade with just 20-30% of this amount i.e Rs. 33k
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Short Straddle is the highest payoff strategy.

However it comes with undefined risk.

Most traders don't know when & how to adjust the short straddle when it goes wrong.

Here are 16 adjustments to lower risk & increase profitability:🧵

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ Longer-term short straddle:

• Helps in getting a big range: trade in biweekly, monthly, or far months.

• The only drawback with longer term straddles is the slippage.

• Also go for round levels both in NF and BNF as they have better liquidity.

2/ Weekly expiries will have short range:

• Leading to higher risk.

• Would require frequent adjustments.

3/ When to sit tight?

• As long as the underlying is between the breakeven point of the Short straddle, we do nothing.

• Don't adjust till breakeven comes, simply sit tight.

• Adjusting a short straddle typically brings in more credit, which increases the profit potential.

4/ When does a short straddle come into loss:

• The moment the underlying price moves towards one end of the breakeven point, your short straddle will be in loss.

• Adjustments would require additional funds, so don't go all in with your capital for shorting straddles.
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In simple terms, analysis paralysis is a person's tendency to over-analyze or over-think upon a decision to such an extent that he/she fails to make a choice resulting in a paralyzed state of inaction.


How a retail trader trades-

A trader named Rahul, He know all the basics of markets, He also has made a system which gives signals on nifty, he has also encorporated good Risk management and Position sizing into his system.

One day he gets a signal to buy Nifty at 13500 with stop at 13450, he wanted to take the trade, but he wanted to get sure that the trade he has take should be a winner.

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FINDING EDGE IN OPTIONS

24/08/15: Nifty gap down 250 points & another 250 after that. Previous few months return gone, but since I'm quick to take my losses, was saved from ruin. Before that my only edge in option selling was adjustments & my forever edge of following PA. (1/n)

I soon realised that theta decay with sound adjustments is not an edge, which i earlier thought was & which gave me good returns over the years. After that i went deeper in understanding volatility behaviour, how/where it manifests & all the discrepancies in option chain. (2/n)

With finding edge in logistics i mean how to keep the greeks in check, SL in place & optimum ways of adjustments with minimum slippages. So the main aim here is to write theta without following vol behaviour & having any actual knowledge of what's going on in the markets. (3/n)

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Thread: Free Options Trading Course for Beginners with small capital.

Reference: Option trading marathon series, part 1 from Mr. Subasish Pani ft. @PushkarRThakur

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ Trading journey of Mr. Pani

• He has an experience of 7 years.

• He has made a profit of Rs. 20 cr. over these years with a capital of Rs. 2 cr.

• However, it's not easy to make such profits.

• More difficult, is to retain those profits and build more on it.

2/ How he ventured to options selling

• He started with futures and option buying however after a certain point when his capital grew, he faced scalability issues and hence he resorted to options selling.

3/ Investing becomes imp once the capital grows:

• Since his trading profits have grown well, he has started investing (investing is always for LT).

• For folks who dnt have much info regarding investing can simply buy Nifty 50 stocks & keep rebalancing as Nifty 50 does.

4/ Covered calls strategy for the portfolio:

• Pledge the portfolio and receive margin ~80% which he would then use to sell OTM CEs of the stocks which are in his portfolio.

• This helps in generating fixed income from the portfolio.
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How?

@niki_poojary taught me how to form a weekly trading plan.

I'm going to share what I've learned in this thread.

Here's the simple 10 step process: 🧵

1. Check on the daily chart if Bank Nifty is in a higher high or lower low:

A higher-high (HH) is a bullish pattern, it signifies that it is difficult for the market to go down.

If that has formed on the daily chart, the market will give all the surprises on the upside.


If the market is in a higher high mode, look for good opportunities to sell puts.

Usually, at a higher high, traders buy on breakouts and also buy the dips.

If you want a good Risk-Reward, you can sell puts on a dip. (Only if it's showing some reversal)

2. Take High Probability Trades

Simply knowing a higher high or lower low does not make money. It gives you a bias for the week.

Still, you should try to take higher probability trades that align with your view of the market.

This will get you consistency and a good mindset.

3. Support & Resistance

I would say Support Resistance is the most important and favorite thing for @niki_poojary.

She keeps updating these levels with charts on her Twitter handle during live markets daily.

Attaching some examples will do a detailed thread on this later.
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