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How Stage Analysis can improve your Trading & Investing 📈📉

Thread🧵

👇

 Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis offers traders a powerful methodology to identify trends in the markets while following strict risk management principles.

1/
First, let's review who Stan Weinstein is and his contributions to the market.

Weinstein is a veteran technical trader who has over 50 years of experience and now works as an advisor for institutional investors.

2/
Stan is well known for authoring "Secrets for Profiting in Bull & Bear Markets" which you can find at the link below.

This book is incredibly well written and gets into the nitty-gritty of his processes in the markets.

https://t.co/VQB2EbDUOU

3/
So, what is Stage Analysis?

Stage Analysis is used to identify the longer-term trend of a stock or index. There are 4 different stages 👇

The Basing Area, Advancing Phase, The Top Area, and Declining Phase.

4/
Stage 1: The Basing Area

This stage occurs at the bottom of a longer term base or during the first primary base a stock forms after it’s IPO.

During this stage the stock is oscillating under a declining 30 week moving average.

5/
🔑 Traits in Stage 1 👇

✅ Buyers and sellers start to balance each other out
✅ There is a volume dry up, signaling major selling has subsided
✅ Volume will start to increase towards the end of the period without significant price concession

6/
Below is an example of $TSLA going from Stage 1 to Stage 2. Note how price was unable to break above the declining 30 week MA, and then did so in a big way on volume. Price would then progress into a sustained Stage 2: Advancing Phase.

7/
Stage 2: Advancing Phase

This is the stage where we should be looking to take long positions in a stock or index. Buyers are now in control and the balance of power is now in line with demand.

8a/
Stage 2: The Ideal Buy Point for Investors

Investors should watch for the first breakout on volume just as the stock begins a new Stage 2 uptrend.

Investors can buy the breakout or the retest of the pivot point.

8b/
Stage 2: The Ideal Buy Point for Traders

Traders should look for bases within an existing Stage 2 uptrend and focus on breakouts on volume.

Intermediate term traders can also use investor buy points.

8c/
🔑 Traits in Stage 2 👇

✅ Breakout above the resistance zone & 30 week MA on big volume
✅ Post initial breakout, there is usually a retest of the breakout point
✅ 30 week MA starts turning up shortly after the breakout

9/
Here is an example of $PTON below 👇

Note how $PTON exhibited all of the key traits we are looking for to start a Stage 2: Advancing Phase.

10/
Here is another example of Stage 2 using $NVDA.

Note how massive volume came into the stock and solidified itself above the 30 week moving average, followed by a retest of the 30 week moving average and subsequent move higher.

11/
While we want to be focused on stocks moving into Srage 2 uptrends, we want to make sure we are still managing risk along the way. This means we have to ensure we are buying right. and using stop losses.

12/
Stage 3: The Top Area

This stage occurs during longer-term bases in a stock’s lifecycle after a Stage 2 Uptrend. The stock is oscillating up and down around the 30-week moving average, showing there is no clear uptrend but also no clear downtrend.

13/
🔑 Traits in Stage 3 👇

✅ 30 week MA starts flattening out w/ price chopping above & below this line
✅ Balance has returned between buyers & sellers, leading to sideways action
✅ News/earnings are exciting, but we have to wait for a trend

14/
$AMZN is a good example of a chart that had a clear Stage 2 Advance, followed by a Stage 3: The Top Area.

Clearly, buyers were met with equal force from sellers and price oscillated above and below the 30 week moving average.

15/
It is important to understand that not all stocks that go into a Stage 3 rollover and go into a Stage 4: Declining phase.

It is very normal to see many Stage 2's and Stage 3's in a row in a winning stock.

$SHOP is a great example of this ⬇️

16/
Stage 4: The Declining Phase

This stage occurs when sellers take control and outlast the buyers. Price will begin to trend below a declining 30 week moving average.

The big money is lost going/staying long in a Stage 4 decline.

17/
🔑 Traits in Stage 4 👇

✅ Price breaks below the bottom of the support zone
✅ Don't need overwhelming volume to the downside to enter a Stage 4
✅ No matter how the fundamentals appear, the price trend is all that matters

18/
Here is an example of $SPX from 2008.

19/
Here is another example of $CSCO making a Stage 4 decline as well.

20/
Major 🔑

The active trader/investor must take note of the slope of the 30 week moving average. Every time the 30 week moving average flattens itself out, the stock is set to make a trend decision.

Be ready to act if it enters either a Stage 2 or Stage 4.

21/
The trend of the weekly chart and the Stage a stock is in reveal the net accumulation/distribution by institutions. This price trend is looking at the future expectations of earnings and regardless of the current fundamentals must be respected.

22/
For more information on Stage Analysis learn from our interview with Stan himself!

👇

https://t.co/9BvJpXJ52m
Also be sure to check out our video featuring @richardmoglen covered the concept and going through examples.

👇

https://t.co/itFdReYCRE
@RichardMoglen If you enjoyed this thread make sure to retweet and check out our FREE weekly newsletter.

⬇️⬇️⬇️

https://t.co/Q9MjxVAAgL

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After a basing/corrective period in the market, new merchandise will start to emerge and show itself as the market is setting up for another uptrend.

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So keep an open mind and search for the stocks that are standing out from the crowd with the strongest combination of superior price + volume action and fundamentals.

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@TraderLion_
3 Simple Steps to Quickly Grow a Small Trading Account

--- Thread 🧵 ---

1️⃣ Define a Repeatable Edge

A basis of any successful trading system is having an edge over a series of trades.

Without a well studied edge, you cannot succeed in the market.

Example of edges:

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Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f6a2
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The best traders take advantage of alternate entries to build positions before a stock becomes obvious to the crowd.

Here are 7 lesser known Chart Patterns that are a MUST in any trader's tool box 🧵👇


#1: Alternate Pivots

Alternate pivots offer earlier entries when compared to regular pivots.

These pivots are important because:

▪️ They offer the same if not better R/R then regular pivots
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The market’s best investors have made millions from the simple saying:

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Buy Rule #1: The General market must be in an uptrend.

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8 Chart Patterns by William O'Neil

Let's break them down one by one🧵


Perhaps the most famous basing pattern found in the market is the Cup with Handle pattern.

✅ Chart resembles a cup with a handle
✅ Base length: Minimum 7 weeks
✅ Base depth: 20-30%
✅ Buy point: high of the handle
✅ Handle length: 1 week
✅ Handle depth: no more than 15%


There is also a Cup without Handle pattern.

✅ Chart is just a cup, no handle
✅ Base length: Minimum 7 weeks
✅ Base depth: 20-30%
✅ Buy point: High of left side of cup


The Double Bottom chart pattern is also very common & is one of the most powerful patterns to learn.

✅ Base resembles a "W"
✅ Base length: Min. 7 weeks
✅ Base depth: < 40%
✅ Buy point: middle of "W"
✅ Second low must undercut first low


The Flat Base pattern is another well known structure coined by William O'Neil.

✅ Base resembles a shallow consolidation
✅ Prior uptrend must be greater than 30%
✅ Base length: Minimum of 5 weeks
✅ Base depth: < 15%
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In 1937, a trucker got frustrated waiting for his cargo to be unloaded. He later sold his company for $1.1 billion.

Here’s the story of how Malcom McLean made a billion dollars and which startup could be following in his footsteps. (Inspired by our episode with @laurabehrenswu)


In the early 1950s, the shipping industry was a dying business.

New York’s docks were handling half as much domestic cargo in the early 1950s as they had been in the depressed 1930s.

In thirty years, no one had invested significant money in coastal shipping.

Why?

As McLean found out, loading ships was difficult and slow.

A truck or train would deliver items to the port. Each item was unloaded separately, recorded, and carried to storage.

When a ship was ready, each item was taken from storage, counted again, and hauled on-board.


The cost of this labor was significant. As one expert at the time explained:

“A four-thousand-mile voyage for a shipment might consume 50 percent of its costs in covering just the two ten-mile movements through two ports.”


Yet, despite the industry’s issues, it felt little pressure to change.

Foreigners were barred from operating domestically. Cartels ran international routes. And gov. subsidies eased the pain of labor costs.

Reshaping the industry needed an outsider.

Enter Malcolm McLean.
HISTORY
\u0b85\u0bb8\u0bcd\u0ba4\u0bbf\u0ba9\u0bbe\u0baa\u0bc1\u0bb0\u0ba4\u0bcd\u0ba4\u0bc1 \u0b85\u0bb0\u0b9a\u0bbf\U0001f478
அஸ்தினாபுரத்து அரசி👸...
@SivaRoobini555
#தினம்_ஒரு_திருவாசகம்
தொல்லை இரும்பிறவிச் சூழும் தளை நீக்கி
அல்லல் அறுத்து ஆனந்தம் ஆக்கியதே – எல்லை
மருவா நெறியளிக்கும் வாதவூர் எங்கோன்
திருவாசகம் என்னும் தேன்

பொருள்:
1.எப்போது ஆரம்பித்தது என அறியப்படமுடியாத தொலை காலமாக (தொல்லை)

2. இருந்து வரும் (இரும்)


3.பிறவிப் பயணத்திலே ஆழ்த்துகின்ற (பிறவி சூழும்)

4.அறியாமையாகிய இடரை (தளை)

5.அகற்றி (நீக்கி),

6.அதன் விளைவால் சுகதுக்கமெனும் துயரங்கள் விலக (அல்லல் அறுத்து),

7.முழுநிறைவாய்த் தன்னுளே இறைவனை உணர்த்துவதே (ஆனந்த மாக்கியதே),

8.பிறந்து இறக்கும் காலவெளிகளில் (எல்லை)

9.பிணைக்காமல் (மருவா)

10.காக்கும் மெய்யறிவினைத் தருகின்ற (நெறியளிக்கும்),

11.என் தலைவனான மாணிக்க வாசகரின் (வாதவூரெங்கோன்)

12.திருவாசகம் எனும் தேன் (திருவா சகமென்னுந் தேன்)

முதல்வரி: பிறவி என்பது முன்வினை விதையால் முளைப்பதோர் பெருமரம். அந்த ‘முன்வினை’ எங்கு ஆரம்பித்தது எனச் சொல்ல இயலாது. ஆனால் ‘அறியாமை’ ஒன்றே ஆசைக்கும்,, அச்சத்துக்கும் காரணம் என்பதால், அவையே வினைகளை விளைவிப்பன என்பதால், தொடர்ந்து வரும் பிறவிகளுக்கு, ‘அறியாமையே’ காரணம்

அறியாமைக்கு ஆரம்பம் கிடையாது. நமக்கு ஒரு பொருளைப் பற்றிய அறிவு எப்போதிருந்து இல்லை? அதைச் சொல்ல முடியாது. அதனாலேதான் முதலடியில், ஆரம்பமில்லாத அஞ்ஞானத்தை பிறவிகளுக்குக் காரணமாகச் சொல்லியது. ஆனால் அறியாமை, அறிவின் எழுச்சியால், அப்போதே முடிந்து விடும்.
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Unfortunately the "This work includes the identification of viral sequences in bat samples, and has resulted in the isolation of three bat SARS-related coronaviruses that are now used as reagents to test therapeutics and vaccines." were BEFORE the


chimeric infectious clone grants were there.https://t.co/DAArwFkz6v is in 2017, Rs4231.
https://t.co/UgXygDjYbW is in 2016, RsSHC014 and RsWIV16.
https://t.co/krO69CsJ94 is in 2013, RsWIV1. notice that this is before the beginning of the project

starting in 2016. Also remember that they told about only 3 isolates/live viruses. RsSHC014 is a live infectious clone that is just as alive as those other "Isolates".

P.D. somehow is able to use funds that he have yet recieved yet, and send results and sequences from late 2019 back in time into 2015,2013 and 2016!

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|. "Om Vashatkaaraaya Namaha" : For Success in Business.
||. "Om Aksharaaya Namaha" : For Success in Studies.


|||. "Om Bhuthabhavanaya Namaha" : For Good Health.
|V. "Om Paramaathmane Namaha" : For Self Confidence.

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#SanatanaDharma #SanatanaSanskriti #Sattology

One needs to chant the following slokas 28 times to get rid of certain problems in life.
Om Hrushikesaya Namah - For Overcoming Bad habits
Om Vashatkaaraya Namah - For Success in Business, Interviews, visa interviews, building relationships


Om Srimate Namah - For Handsome appearance & wealth
Om Aksharaya Namah - For Education & better financial strength
Om Paramatmane Namah - For self employed people, for promotions and success in games.
Om Putatmane Namah - To remove mental stress & for mental peace


Om Sarmane Namah - For Job Satisfaction
Om Bhutadaye Namah -To amend soured friendship or any personal relationship
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Chant the following 108 times :
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Anu Satheesh \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3
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Chennimalai Murugan Kovil
#Erode
#TamilNaduTemples 🚩

Chennimalai Murugan Temple is located  near Perunthurai in Erode District. Murugan is worshipped here as Dandayudapani. Temple is situated on the banks of Noyyal river also called Kanchima Nadhi. Temple is situated in a hill


Sthala Puranam says that, there lived a Landlord who had many cows in his farm. One among them was a Black Cow, which didn't give milk. Land lord observed that evening time, when all the cows came back after grazing, this cow used to go to a particular spot and gave all  the milk


by itself. He decided to dig the spot where the cow gave its milk

On digging a beautiful Vigraham of Murugan was found, but lower portion was very rough. So he called a great sculptor to soften it. Everyone was shocked to see that on the first chisel the vigraham bleeded.


Land lord realized that Murugan wanted the Vigraham the way it was.

Thus Prathishta was done on Chennimalai hill. It is believed that Sivalaya Chola got relieved from his Brahmahatti Dosha here. Kanda Shasti Kavacham was first offered here.

Muruganukku Haro Hara
🙏🕉🙏
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