This year, for the first time, I started sharing my thoughts on various topics in Investing/Economics/Law.

Here’s a ‘Master Thread’ of my main write-ups this year.👇

First, a special thanks to all the brilliant people I’ve met & learned from on Twitter. To name a few:

@profplum99 @hkuppy @Convertbond @contrarian8888 @jam_croissant @pineconemacro @verdadcap @WayneHimelsein @LT3000Lyall @HFI_Research @SahilBloom @coloradotravis @SantiagoAuFund
Why Inflation Will Kill the Ponzi Sector and Catalyze the Growth/Value Rotation,

9/19/2020 https://t.co/1RTLabcJh1
Why Fund Flows and the Shift to Fiscal Stimulus Will Drive the Rotation,

10/8/2020 https://t.co/LQuw7f3mqY
Inflation, Rising Yields, and Risk Parity: The Biggest Danger in Finance,

10/10/2020 https://t.co/TmrFKWd2VW
What Will Bring About Inflation?,

10/10/2020 https://t.co/sYYqVkAMsT
The Consistency of Inflation Through History,

10/12/2020 https://t.co/xH6bTTbxgv
Why We’re on the Precipice of Another #Bitcoin Mania,

10/14/2020 https://t.co/es50d3kTy9
Why NatGas & Related Equities Will Surprise to the Upside,

10/22/2020 https://t.co/NY60UVpa7P
The 3 Stages of Price Inflation,

10/24/2020 https://t.co/GFS0NwzCCT
Getting Wobbly: Bad Week for Risk Parity,

10/30/2020 https://t.co/tKQROIB4CT
‘Descriptive MMT’ vs. ‘Prescriptive MMT’,

11/1/2020 https://t.co/xr1Z826pP8
Colossal & Historic Blowout in the Large Growth/Small Value Spread,

11/09/2020 https://t.co/4XgQjlLeQt
Real Rate Positioning and the Impact of Flows from Tech to Energy,

11/10/2020 https://t.co/OON5foFBXd
Huge Week for the Home Team (Tech vs. Energy & Small Value),

11/13/2020 https://t.co/3wJgEsGt0Z
What’s Up With Bond Yields?,

11/16/2020 https://t.co/PU4V0u9Qox
The Next #Bitcoin Mania is Here,

11/20/2020 https://t.co/HZdHgU3qae
Why $GBTC is the Key Ingredient to the Present #Bitcoin Mania,

11/20/2020 https://t.co/eDhM1NzeZl
Why the Growth/Value Rotation is Still in it’s Early Innings,

11/29/2020 https://t.co/gEg6cxZtRR
A Note on my Proxies for Monitoring Growth and Value,

12/10/2020 https://t.co/21tvf0JjJc
Macro Themes with Kyle Bass,

12/20/2020 https://t.co/GPu8lfZay0

More from Society

This is a piece I've been thinking about for a long time. One of the most dominant policy ideas in Washington is that policy should, always and everywhere, move parents into paid labor. But what if that's wrong?

My reporting here convinced me that there's no large effect in either direction on labor force participation from child allowances. Canada has a bigger one than either Romney or Biden are considering, and more labor force participation among women.

But what if that wasn't true?

Forcing parents into low-wage, often exploitative, jobs by threatening them and their children with poverty may be counted as a success by some policymakers, but it’s a sign of a society that doesn’t value the most essential forms of labor.

The problem is in the very language we use. If I left my job as a New York Times columnist to care for my 2-year-old son, I’d be described as leaving the labor force. But as much as I adore him, there is no doubt I’d be working harder. I wouldn't have stopped working!

I tried to render conservative objections here fairly. I appreciate that @swinshi talked with me, and I'm sorry I couldn't include everything he said. I'll say I believe I used his strongest arguments, not more speculative ones, in the piece.

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Following @BAUDEGS I have experienced hateful and propagandist tweets time after time. I have been shocked that an academic community would be so reckless with their publications. So I did some research.
The question is:
Is this an official account for Bahcesehir Uni (Bau)?


Bahcesehir Uni, BAU has an official website
https://t.co/ztzX6uj34V which links to their social media, leading to their Twitter account @Bahcesehir

BAU’s official Twitter account


BAU has many departments, which all have separate accounts. Nowhere among them did I find @BAUDEGS
@BAUOrganization @ApplyBAU @adayBAU @BAUAlumniCenter @bahcesehirfbe @baufens @CyprusBau @bauiisbf @bauglobal @bahcesehirebe @BAUintBatumi @BAUiletisim @BAUSaglik @bauebf @TIPBAU

Nowhere among them was @BAUDEGS to find
MDZS is laden with buddhist references. As a South Asian person, and history buff, it is so interesting to see how Buddhism, which originated from India, migrated, flourished & changed in the context of China. Here's some research (🙏🏼 @starkjeon for CN insight + citations)

1. LWJ’s sword Bichen ‘is likely an abbreviation for the term 躲避红尘 (duǒ bì hóng chén), which can be translated as such: 躲避: shunning or hiding away from 红尘 (worldly affairs; which is a buddhist teaching.) (
https://t.co/zF65W3roJe) (abbrev. TWX)

2. Sandu (三 毒), Jiang Cheng’s sword, refers to the three poisons (triviṣa) in Buddhism; desire (kāma-taṇhā), delusion (bhava-taṇhā) and hatred (vibhava-taṇhā).

These 3 poisons represent the roots of craving (tanha) and are the cause of Dukkha (suffering, pain) and thus result in rebirth.

Interesting that MXTX used this name for one of the characters who suffers, arguably, the worst of these three emotions.

3. The Qian kun purse “乾坤袋 (qián kūn dài) – can be called “Heaven and Earth” Pouch. In Buddhism, Maitreya (मैत्रेय) owns this to store items. It was believed that there was a mythical space inside the bag that could absorb the world.” (TWX)