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$Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f981\U0001f6a2$

Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢
@RichardMoglen 3 years, 2 months ago 331 views

“Sudden rises in price and volume, out of the ordinary relative strength, and movement against the general market trend are all giveaway signals which reveal the presence of a stock about to take off”

Nicolas Darvas

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$Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f981\U0001f6a2$

What is Relative Strength (RS) and how to identify it (Thread)

Focusing on stocks exhibiting strong Relative Strength is one of the keys to achieving superior returns. This is one of the core ideas of #CANSLIM

In one sentence showing RS means outperforming other stocks both during market uptrends and downtrends.

In this thread we will cover examples, how to spot it, and how to use it to make sure you are in the top stocks.

If you want to outperform the indexes, logic says you have to be invested in stocks doing the same.

First Some Basic Terminology:

RS Rating: @IBDinvestors Proprietary measure of RS scored 1-99. Stocks with an RS rating of 80 have outperformed 80% of stocks over the past year.

RS Line: The Line plotted by dividing each day’s stock price/ price of the SPX.

The value of the RS line itself does not mean anything, but the trend of this line is very important.

-Note RSI (Relative strength index) is something completely unrelated to the concept of this thread.

$Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f981\U0001f6a2$

Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢...
@RichardMoglen

What is an Optimal Buy Point? (thread)

Your results as a trader/investor boil down to three statistics

Average Gain - Average % gain on winning Trades
Average Loss -Average % gain on losing Trades
Batting Average - % of trades that are gains

Like in baseball, you can find incredible success in the stock market winning only a handful of times out of ten. In fact a system that is profitable or break even with only a 30-50% BA is more robust and consistent

To establish such as system you need to manage the risk reward relationship (Average gain/Average Loss) so that you can survive winning only 30% of the time.

(I promise this is getting to optimal buy points shortly)

You should shoot for at least a 2:1 gain/loss ratio. 3:1 is even better.

With a 2:1 ratio you can loss 2/3 of the time and break even. With a 3:1 ratio you can lose 75% of the time

$Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f981\U0001f6a2$

Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢...
@RichardMoglen

An Introduction to Price and Volume Action (thread)

An understanding of price and volume action is essential for judging supply and demand characteristics. This allows you to determine whether a stock is under accumulation or distribution and find proper buy and sell points

This thread is not about memorizing candlestick patterns, but instead understanding how supply and demand create patterns over and over again. The Stock Market is an auction, and the large buyers and sellers leave clues for us to find within price and volume.

Let’s start with one price bar. I personally use OHLC charts but feel free to use what makes sense to you, they each present the same information. A single bar can represent a minute, 15 minutes, a day, or a year. The higher the timeframe the more meaningful the price move.

I view each bar as a match of tug of war between the buyers and the sellers. Buying pressure tries to pull the stock price up while selling pressure tries to pull it down. The winner is reflected in the closing range.

$Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f6a2$

Richard Moglen 📽️🚢...
@RichardMoglen

How to time the market (thread)

There is the old saying that “Time in the market beats timing the market” The chart below from Dr. Wish’s @WishingWealth presentation at the @TraderLion_ conference shows that to be false.

Full presentation: https://t.co/o2f21GBXci

The green line is unattainable realistically, however, missing volatile times during corrections yields better performance than buy and hold and we can aim for the green line.

Investors usually only show the gray and red results.

More

There are many strategies for investing/trading in the stock market operating within different timeframes and with different objectives.

That is of course what creates a market and opportunity. Timing the market may not be what works for you or what fits your goals/lifestyle.

However, everyone involved in the market is here to make money over time and corrections can cause huge drawdowns in the high alpha names negating incredible performance during strong market uptrends.

$Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f6a2$

Richard Moglen 📽️🚢...
@RichardMoglen

As Traders, Technical Analysis allows us to Judge Potential, Identify Accumulation, and Manage Risk.

It allows us to see through the noise and interpret price action.

Here is How To Read a Stock Chart For Beginners (Thread)

Let's start with the basics.

When you first pull up a stock chart you will see Price and Volume plotted versus time.

Each price bar represents one period of whatever timeframe you are on

Some people like candlesticks, I personally think Open/High/Low/Close (OHLC) Bars are more intuitive

For each bar/candle, the four important data points of each period are represented:

High
Low
Open
Close.

For each bar, we want to be able to determine whether buyers or sellers are in control and how much conviction they have.

To do this we use our tools: Price and Volume

Thing about turning a price Bar 90 degrees counter clockwise so the high is now on the left and the low is now on the right.

Then picture a game of tug of war with participants representing buying pressure on the left and selling pressure on the right.

More from Screeners

Learning @ Prakash
@Prakashplutus

Last time I shared a basic stock screener for Investors.

Today I will share 1 Basic stock screener for traders .. 👍

Sheetal Rijhwani
@RijhwaniSheetal

I have earlier shared some setups/strategies for Intraday. One of them was ORB (opening range breakout) setup.. but I still get DM about this. So here's a thread about how to find ORB stocks: (1/12)

Stocks that are in consolidation or on the verge of a breakout and has already given a breakout from consolidation - both category stocks should be in your watchlist.

Now the question is.. with so many stocks around, how one must filter and check? (2/12)

I mostly trade in F&O stocks in Intraday - it has 188 stocks after new addition and can be filtered as per sector rotation.
Find the sector or theme with good recent performance and keep its stocks in watchlist. I keep an alert for breakout price when I see a good chart. (3/12)

Another way to filter stocks is to keep an eye on the new additions in the F&O and the stocks that are in news.

Not every stock gives a move of 7-8%. Look for stock that move 7-8% in one go when they give a breakout (Stocks unlike ITC that moves once in a year). (4/12)

There are a few stocks that are tailor made for ORB. And those stocks should be in your watchlist.
IRCTC, Mindtree, Bajaj Twins, IEX, TataElxsi, Naukri, Coforge are some great examples. Rest you can observe and add.
Recent examples 👇(5/12)

$\uff33\uff2f\uff35\uff36\uff29\uff2b \uea00$

ＳＯＵＶＩＫ ...
@price_trader_

Yesterday Subasish Sir from Power of Stocks made his first 1.5cr on Intraday

So let's have a look what we can learn from his today's profit:

• He generally build positions at previous swing break or after seeing a reversal candle after some retracement

• He generally creates his positions at 1st half of market
After that he just do adjustments and other things to his existing positions
• He trail his positions at previous swing high/low level

• He watch 5 min time frame to find reversals (W or M pattern) at Support/Resistance

• He generally short ITM options with hedge at 2000 far strike for margin benefit
• He leaves CE short options alone for overnight only if it decays over 20-30% after his entry

• But he never leaves PE short options alone (except where it become deep OTM) cause market generally gap up by small % but it can gap down by huge % due to any economic fear
• He always keep hedges(CE/Future short)to protect down side risk while he leave PE short for overnight

Mark Minervini
@markminervini

Oil, copper and other commodities came under heavy selling pressure today and that's a good thing because it's mounting evidence that inflation may be peaking.

Positive signs on inflation include fertilizer prices peaking and trending downward. Used Car prices are also down (which led inflation). The recent price break on the $XLE - which emerged almost to the day the market topped, could be an indication that we are close to a low. pic.twitter.com/2MtcKjjmAz
— Mark Minervini (@markminervini) June 23, 2022

Sandeep Kulkarni
@moneyworks4u_fa

Of all the 'macro indicators' out there, if i had to choose one to assess risk-reward for equity markets, it would the this 👇

Update: HY yield spread down more than 125 bps since then...\U0001f914 pic.twitter.com/SVrfqB8dMA
— Harish Krishnan,CFA (@hktg13) August 19, 2022

When trump arrived in the summer of 2017 14/09/2017 he laid out all the documents, all the folders and they had all the photographs, disks, cds, dvds with all footage of them doing horrific things, the NSA has it all!

2 weeks later the richest men begun getting arrested...

They hand picked Obama, alwaleed tala decided to make Obama the linchpin of the us presidency. Barack has connections all over the cabal

Hindu Media Wiki
@HinduMediaWiki

Speech Delay is most common in children nowadays

In ancient times, our grandparents used to follow typical natural way of caring the needs of a child. All they used were more of natural products than chemical based for the growth of child.

One of major step followed was to feed Gurbach Jadd/ Vasa Kommu/ Acorus Calamus for initiating good speech ability in a child. This stem was needed to babies on Tuesdays and Sundays in mother's milk.

Vasa is feed to baby after the 1st bath on 12th day in week. Weekly only thrice it is fed and named as :

Budhwar - Budhi Vasa
Mangalwar - Vaak Vasa
Ravi Vaar - Aayush Vasa

This stem is burnt and rubbed against the grinding stone in mother's milk or warm water to get a paste

The procedure to make it is in the link

https://t.co/uo4sGp7mUm

It should not be given daily to the child. Other main benefits are

1. It clears the phlegm in child's throat caused due to continuous milk intake. It clears the tracts and breathing is effortless.
2. Digestion

For children who haven't got their speech and is delayed than usual should feed this vasa on these days in week atleast for 6months. Don't get carried away with this dialogue
"Some gain speech little late"

$Antonio Garc\xeda Mart\xednez$

Antonio García Martíne...
@antoniogm

Ok, I'll hop on this Elizabeth Warren/Native American testing bandwagon (gently and non-politically).

I've been a @23andMe customer for a while, and have followed their ancestry updates closely.

All is more or less as expected....except for this bit about Native American.

The family is almost completely composed of Spanish peasants (from various regions) who emigrated, along with a massive wave in the late 19th-cent./early 20th-cent., to Cuba back when it was a booming economy (richer than Spain's) and worth emigrating to (Communism killed that).

Also, the native population of Cuba was annihilated early on---was the first place the Spanish colonized after all. Having a native background in Cuba would be like having the same in, say, Massachusetts, particularly if you're (say) mostly Irish. Just really, really unlikely.

(Note: the North African/Arab background is less mysterious. The Iberian peninsula was part of the Muslim world for centuries. It would be odd *not* to have some Arab/Middle Eastern background coming from Spain. Given the family is mostly from Northern Spain, it's small though.)

I have a Spanish passport, have been back to the ancestral villages in Spain, seen the church where my grandmother was baptized, my grandfather told me stories about growing up as the child of Spanish colonists in rural Cuba. The native bit just clashes with all the family lore.

Andrew Chen
@andrewchen

1/ new essay: What's next for marketplace startups? Reinventing the $10 trillion service economy, that's what. Co-authored with @ljin18 https://t.co/fgKbrHTnH5. A short thread 👇

2/ Marketplace startups have done incredibly well over the first few decades of the internet, reinventing the way we shop for goods, but have been less successful services. It's bc services are complex, subjective, fragmented, and often in real life. Makes it hard

3/ There's been 4 major eras at making the service economy work online. The Listings Era, the unbundled Craiglist era, the Uber for X era, and the Managed Marketplace era

4/ Each era has added more value than the last, and utilized technology innovations, from internet to social / "read/write web" to mobile. The "Unbundling Craigslist" era was particularly epic at generating startup ideas

5/ The problem is, all the low-hanging fruit has been picked off. The techniques that got us to here won't get us to the next phase. So we have to do some pretty different things. That's why "Managed Marketplaces" have been a big deal - hire folks as W-2s, certify quality, etc.

Steve Stewart-Williams
@SteveStuWill

THREAD: 12 Things Everyone Should Know About IQ

1. IQ is one of the most heritable psychological traits – that is, individual differences in IQ are strongly associated with individual differences in genes (at least in fairly typical modern environments). https://t.co/3XxzW9bxLE

2. The heritability of IQ *increases* from childhood to adulthood. Meanwhile, the effect of the shared environment largely fades away. In other words, when it comes to IQ, nature becomes more important as we get older, nurture less. https://t.co/UqtS1lpw3n

3. IQ scores have been increasing for the last century or so, a phenomenon known as the Flynn effect. https://t.co/sCZvCst3hw (N ≈ 4 million)

(Note that the Flynn effect shows that IQ isn't 100% genetic; it doesn't show that it's 100% environmental.)

4. IQ predicts many important real world outcomes.

For example, though far from perfect, IQ is the single-best predictor of job performance we have – much better than Emotional Intelligence, the Big Five, Grit, etc. https://t.co/rKUgKDAAVx https://t.co/DWbVI8QSU3

5. Higher IQ is associated with a lower risk of death from most causes, including cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, most forms of cancer, homicide, suicide, and accident. https://t.co/PJjGNyeQRA (N = 728,160)

“Sudden rises in price and volume, out of the ordinary relative strength, and movement against the general market trend are all giveaway signals which reveal the presence of a stock about to take off”Nicolas Darvas

More from Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢

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“Sudden rises in price and volume, out of the ordinary relative strength, and movement against the general market trend are all giveaway signals which reveal the presence of a stock about to take off”

Nicolas Darvas