A Crash course on Wyckoff Methodology - More than 100 year old, time tested and age proven methodology for Buying and Selling Stocks.
This is what Darvas and Jesse Livermore also followed.
https://t.co/XiWmRoWveh
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First two are good enough, if you want to really go in depth then go for 3rd one by Al Brooks later (Its only for serious and committed learners, as its too detailed and would tire out a casual reader). https://t.co/2Vgq5gCVXL
Book name plz
— \ufe0e (@12354368ys_g) March 4, 2022
One Chadarmod on timeline posted that I’m giving gyan without having experience or expertise.
So I’ll begin with paying my portfolio performance tribute to these charlies.
https://t.co/GNM5SsNFNo
Sadda Haqq ! Aithe Rakhh......... pic.twitter.com/IH5q3v2gw9
— Professor (@DillikiBiili) October 5, 2021
Fundamentals based investing can generate serious wealth as the most famous (rather infamous) Warren Buffett has shown.
In India also we have many success stories like @VijayKedia1 @Raamdeo R K Damani Rakesh Jhunjhunwala Late Chandrakant Sampat and many many more....
Though I can't stop mentioning that both Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and R K Damani were traders in their initial days.
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala still trades, he once said Traing is fun, its le fatafat, de fatafat
A lot of people (specially the beginners) buy stocks based on some friend's recommendation : XYZ le le, pukka chalega, maine bhi le rakha hai.
Few might have made money this way, but most do not. Why ?
There has to be a process.
Fundamentals based investing need thorough analysis of the Business & Company.
Here is a preliminary checklist by the legendary investor Peter lynch
One of the best way that I know is ATR based trailing.
Here is an example https://t.co/BTATx5fyW6
An example of ATR based TSL.
— Professor (@DillikiBiili) April 9, 2021
SL for coming candle is Low of the just completed candle - ATR of previous candle. Chart is self explanatory. https://t.co/D95iv4t5j6 pic.twitter.com/e8BkO2j5rn
As per Normal Distribution 68% of the time movement is with 1% SD Limits.
For 95% pf the times movement is within 2% SD limits.
And its only 0.3% of the times that movement exceeds 3 SD.
Since 95% covers a lot of ground that's why 2SD is considered to be a a safe range for most events.
The farther we move from the average, chances of occurrence go down. This is what Taleb sahab calls Tail risk, because it lies in the tail of the standard distribution curve.
Normal distribution occurs everywhere. See this
The Galton Machine shows order from randomness. Each ball bounces left or right at random, 12 times, but together where they fall can be predicted - the normal distribution. This one made by: https://t.co/oI9wOGq7nG pic.twitter.com/VQtVu66OSE
— Tom Stafford (@tomstafford) April 19, 2018
Bollinger Band, which is a very popular indicator has a setting of 2SD. Because its expected that 95% of the time moves will be confined to 2SD limits.
When we say that price is at upper/lower Bollinger band, we are saying that it has reached 2 SD limits and likely to reverse.
Now coming to current scenario, open Nifty daily chart and apply two bollinger Bands on it.
First with default setting and in second change settings to 3 standard deviation.
Crossing 3 SD boundary means that Nifty is now in very rare territory where it has been only 0.3%
Lest some charlie jumps to point out, let me make it clear that I haven't invented anything in stock market, all my knowledge of stock market comes from old farts. Just my observation is my own. https://t.co/uHNw8tV4AO
Plz advice how to identify accumulation and distribution phase...... to me Both looks same
— VIVEK VAID (@bobvaid) February 12, 2022
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Here I will share what I believe are essentials for anybody who is interested in stock markets and the resources to learn them, its from my experience and by no means exhaustive..
First the very basic : The Dow theory, Everybody must have basic understanding of it and must learn to observe High Highs, Higher Lows, Lower Highs and Lowers lows on charts and their
Even those who are more inclined towards fundamental side can also benefit from Dow theory, as it can hint start & end of Bull/Bear runs thereby indication entry and exits.
Next basic is Wyckoff's Theory. It tells how accumulation and distribution happens with regularity and how the market actually
Dow theory is old but
Old is Gold....
— Professor (@DillikiBiili) January 23, 2020
this Bharti Airtel chart is a true copy of the Wyckoff Pattern propounded in 1931....... pic.twitter.com/tQ1PNebq7d
#nifty50 https://t.co/64ZktWHQev
This is the maximum upside for now, post that I am looking for an 8-9% fall in index.#nifty50 pic.twitter.com/BcSOiwWuBs
— Aakash Gangwar (@akashgngwr823) June 24, 2022