Can you anticipate a breakout? Yes, I shared this before in ICICI Bank case. When the price reverses without going lower till the support. This shows the strength of the buyers. Can you see the same structure in Intellect Design?

PS - conservative traders always wait for the BO https://t.co/o79tNRd9Fo

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#RSI is a common indicator which most of us use in the stock market.

This learning thread would be on
"๐™๐™จ๐™š๐™จ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™๐™Ž๐™„"

Like๐Ÿ‘ & Retweet๐Ÿ”„ for wider reach and for more such learning thread in the future.

Also, an investment strategy is shared using RSI in the end.

1/16

Setup 1:

RSI- commonly used to show whether price is overbought or oversold.

General rule:
๐‘๐’๐ˆ > ๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ -- ๐Ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐›๐จ๐ฎ๐ ๐ก๐ญ
๐‘๐’๐ˆ < ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ -- ๐Ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฅ๐

One becomes cautious once price becomes overbought and optimistic when price becomes oversold.

2/16

Let's understand this with an example of Laurus Labs:

1. It was in overbought zone and after a few days when a small dip was seen from 693 to 588 (15% downside)

2. It was in oversold zone and after a few days when a small rally was seen from 59 to 107 (82% upside)

3/16


Well, this looks very easy, but it is not.

When a price is in overbought zone and is in momentum, then it can move up without taking a dip and exiting or shorting stock would prove wrong.

When IRCTC was in overbought zone, price went up from 2718 to 6396 (135% rally).

4/16


Similarly, for oversold stock.

When a price is in oversold zone and is crashing, then it can move down without taking an upmove and buying stock would prove wrong.

When DHFL was in oversold zone, price went down from 126 to 11 (91% crash).

5/16
Time for a new thread on the possibilities I am looking for.
Do read it completely to understand the stance and the plan.


1. The moving average structure - Many traders just look at the 200 ma test or closing above/below it regardless of its slope. Let's look at all the interactions with 200 ma where price met it for the first time after the trend change but with 200 ma slope against it


One can clearly sense that currently it is one of those scenarios only. I understand that I might get trolled for this, but an unbiased mind suggests that odds are highly against the bulls for making fresh investments.

But markets are good at giving surprises. What should be our stance if price kept on rising? Let's understand that through charts. The concept is still the same. Divergent 200 ma and price move results in 200 ma test atleast once which gives good investment opportunities.


2. Zig-Zag bear market- There are two types of fall in a bear market, the first one is vertical fall which usually ends with ending diagonals (falling wedges) and the second one is zig zag one which usually ends with parabolic down moves.

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