BC ITSTHLEARNINGS

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH 5 years, 1 month ago 719 views

This is pretty much all there is to valuations 👇🏼 I personally follow this same process.

(Excuse the handwriting, rough notes from CFA L2 Equity Valuations)

More from Tar ⚡

And just to clarify before people start posting
"Rocket Emojis with to the moon tags"

this business wouldn't hit 3lk cr market cap in next 3 yrs but it can steadily compound at 25-30% YoY for next 10 yrs

At 25% CAGR over 10 yrs, you get a 10 bagger

Keep expectations in check.

Lets talk results #lauruslabs

Always zoom out and view the results, never take a QoQ approach.

Here is how Sales, Op.Profit and PAT looks like when you zoom out.

The upwards trends continues.

No business will move linearly up or linearly down. pic.twitter.com/O9UUt1rEE5
— Tar \u26a1 (@itsTarH) July 29, 2021

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

Axis Capital on #BorosilRenewables

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

Open Question to fellow investors tracking Music Industry.

A business like Universal which controls more than 1/3rd of all published music globally is selling for less than 6x FY20 Sales.

Why are Indian businesses like Saregama / Tips selling for 11x, 20x their sales?

If I include all of the revenue generated by entire firm, its selling for ~4.5x FY20 Sales

Universal Listing Market Cap ~ 40 Billion USD
FY 20 Revenues ~ 8.87 B USD or 7.4B EUR

Catalogue of Music includes every international artist you can possibly name

Either Universal is grossly undervalued or Saregama/Tips are grossly overvalued.

https://t.co/aHzWSYtcUt

Homework for all the interested participants here:

Q1.Why 20% and not 50%+ Margins for UMG

Q2. Differences in dynamics between Western&Indian cos?

Q3. Trends in West vs Trends in India in the industry.

Research and find the answers. My job is done \U0001f601\U0001f64f
— Intrinsic Compounding (@soicfinance) June 27, 2021

https://t.co/v0EMoCuYKX

If you see the ebitda of universal music its low 20% compared to our saregama 30% or tips 50%. So when you compare earnings saregama is 40x and tips is 30x and universal music is 30x. Also these type of companies are less( low or no capex with excellent and growinh cashflows)
— Srikanth V (@mynameisnani75) June 27, 2021

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. What is a Yield Curve?
2. Why is it an important indicator of Recession?
3. Is an Economic Recession around the corner?

Lets dive right in!

Before we understand a Yield Curve, lets get some of the basic terminology out of the way

1. What is a Bond?

A bond is a fixed income financial instrument which represents a loan made by an investor to a borrower

The investor typically receives payment in the form of interest and a lumpsum (principal) on maturity

The interest rate on a bond is known as coupon rate.

There are many types of bonds like

1. Zero Coupon : Pays both interest and principal at maturity
2. Sovereign Bonds : Issued by a Government or a Quasi Government Institution
3. Corporate Bonds : Issued by corporate like banks, established companies etc.

Coupon (Interest Rates) on a bond are decided based on the issuer's credit rating

The higher the credit worthiness of the issuer, the lower the coupon rate

Credit Rating on a Bond is usually assigned by credit rating agencies like Moody's or Standard & Poor's (S&P)

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

#IEX finally getting close to my average price, will start adding it below 150 (15% further correction from here)

Please do your due diligence and do not copy me blindly here

My investments in IEX are part of an experiment to hold a good stock for 10 yrs + buying sporadically

IEX has also started ground work for trading carbon credits

Still believe this is one stock where dividend every year in 10 years can be equal to my entire investment amount considering it throws up so much cash

Still maintain
NSE + Zerodha =

#IEX in my PF is a giant growing dividend paying Gorilla

Main reason I don't mess around with my holdings is cause I expect it to.

Pay Dividend = to my investment within the next decade

Glad they are considering Bonus Issue (tax favorable) instead of Cash Dividend. pic.twitter.com/2cLt6yK0Xw
— Tar \u26a1 (@itsTarH) October 18, 2021

More from Itsthlearnings

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread we will explore

1. What is risk management?
2. What is position sizing?
3. How to apply both these concepts to reduce volatility and drawdowns in your portfolio?

Lets dive right in.

What does losing $20 Billion in 24 hours and A Bank being sold for less than $1, have in common?

The answer is Risk Management.

Through this thread we will explore 2 stories - Stories that will teach us the importance of risk management and position sizing in a portfolio.

These stories will show you that no matter

How Rich You Are
How Respected You Are
How Educated You Are

Improper risk management will blow up your portfolio and most likely bankrupt you.

Our first story is the story of Bill Hwang and the saga of Archegos Capital Management.

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

All my Threads so far 🧵 👇🏼

The One with the Cash Flow Explained

It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. What a cash flow statement is?
2. What does it tell you about a business?
3. How to analyze one?

Examples included various Indian companies.

Let's dive right in. pic.twitter.com/c8tNP26Z8K
— Tar \u26a1 (@itsTarH) May 15, 2021

The One with Free Cash Flow Explained

Its the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. What is Capex?\U0001f4b0
2. What is Free Cash Flow? \U0001f4b8
3. What does Cash Flow from Investing and Cash Flow from Financing tells us? \U0001f4a1

Examples includes some famous companies.

Lets dive right in. pic.twitter.com/HDJgUvE8f8
— Tar \u26a1 (@itsTarH) May 22, 2021

The One with Mutual Funds

Its the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. How to select a Mutual Fund?
2. Common and costly mistakes people make while choosing a Mutual Fund
3. Some tools and tips to help you while selecting a fund

Lets dive right in. pic.twitter.com/teelsojtn9
— Tar \u26a1 (@itsTarH) May 29, 2021

The One on Laurus Labs

Laurus Labs : A Visual Story

I am a Data Science / Machine Learning developer by profession and data along with finance are my two areas of competence.

I realize how powerful combining both of them can be, so here is a visual analysis for Laurus Labs.
— Tar \u26a1 (@itsTarH) May 30, 2021

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

Lot of DMs on when to sell. Read the below thread and bookmark it.

It will answer all your questions on when, why and how to sell 👇🏼

When to sell a stock?

A detailed thread.@contrarianEPS

(1/27)
— SWARNASHISH CHATTERJEE (@SwarnashishC) August 8, 2021

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread I will explain

1. How to do Industry Research?
2. How to research a Company from scratch?
3. How to determine Margin of Safety and build an Investment Case?

Lets dive right in.

The most frequent question I get asked is - How should I research an industry or a trend?

A good question indeed and my answer to this is simple.

Read, Read and then Read some more.

The more knowledge you consume, the better you will be able to identify and link trends across industries.

But reading doesn't mean you need to pick a newspaper or start reading random articles over the internet.

Your reading and research needs to be structured.

This is where technology comes in to help and make our lives easier.

Today, algorithms run our world and decide what data you consume.

Be it Instagram posts, TikTok reels or YouTube videos.

So learn to trick these algorithms and use them to your advantage.

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

Corrected my mistake today, bought #Mastek

First identified it at 1100, by the time I finished researching it went to 1800 Thought will wait and invest at pull back. Soon it was at 2800+

Bought today at 2375
15% of PF

Хајде да направимо мали осврт на случај Мика Алексић .

Алексић је жртва енглеске освете преко Оливере Иванчић .
Мика је одбио да снима филм о блаћењу Срба и мењању историје Срба , иза целокупног пројекта стоји дипломатски кор Британаца у Београду и Оливера Иванчић

Оливера Илинчић је иначе мајка једне од његових ученица .
Која је претила да ће се осветити .

Мика се налази у притвору због наводних оптужби глумице Милене Радуловић да ју је наводно силовао човек од 70 година , са три бајпаса и извађеном простатом пре пет година

Иста персона је и обезбедила финансије за филм преко Беча а филм је требао да се бави животом Десанке Максимовић .
А сетите се и ко је иницирао да се Десанка Максимовић избаци из уџбеника и школства у Србији .

И тако уместо романсиране верзије Десанке Максимовић утицај Британаца

У Србији стави на пиједестал и да се Британци у Србији позитивно афирмишу како би се на тај начин усмерила будућност али и мењао ток историје .
Зато Мика са гнушањем и поносно одбија да снима такав филм тада и почиње хајка и претње која потиче из британских дипломатских кругова

Најгоре од свега што је то Мика Алексић изговорио у присуству високих дипломатских представника , а одговор је био да се све неће на томе завршити и да ће га то скупо коштати .
Нашта им је Мика рекао да је он свој живот проживео и да могу да му раде шта хоће и силно их извређао

Vibhu Vashisth
@VIBHU_Tweet

IT WAS RISHI KANADA WHO GAVE THE ATOMIC THEORY & TALKED ABOUT THE GRAVITY OF EARTH, 2600 YEARS BEFORE AN APPLE FELL IN FRONT OF NEWTON'S EYES:

Scientists of the modern world credit an English scientist John Dalton (1766 CE -1844 CE) for the Atomic Theory.

And this is because, most of us are not even aware of an ancient Indian Sage named Kanada, who was the first to formulate the theory of atoms, almost 2600 yrs before Dalton and talk about earth's gravity.

Rishi Kanada was born around 600 BCE in Dwarka, Gujarat and he was the son of a philosopher named Ulka. He was fascinated with the minute detailing of the things right from his childhood. Once, when he was very young, he accompanied his father on a journey to Prayaga.

He saw plentiful grains scattered along the path leading to the shore of river Ganga. It's a tradition in Hindu families to scatter the grains for the ants and birds to feed on them. Suddenly, an ant caught his attention, who was feeding on a rice grain.

He was mesmerised by this very fact that how a small grain of rice becomes food for the ant but to satisfy the hunger of a person so many grains are needed together. This incidence made him realize the importance of a single grain of rice.

Patrick Chovanec
@prchovanec

I'm going to do two history threads on Ethiopia, one on its ancient history, one on its modern story (1800 to today). 🇪🇹

I'll begin with the ancient history ... and it goes way back. Because modern humans - and before that, the ancestors of humans - almost certainly originated in Ethiopia. 🇪🇹 (sub-thread):

The famous \u201cLucy\u201d, an early ancestor of modern humans (Australopithecus) that lived 3.2 million years ago, and was discovered in 1974 in Ethiopia, displayed in the national museum in Addis Ababa \U0001f1ea\U0001f1f9 pic.twitter.com/N3oWqk1SW2
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) November 9, 2018

The first likely historical reference to Ethiopia is ancient Egyptian records of trade expeditions to the "Land of Punt" in search of gold, ebony, ivory, incense, and wild animals, starting in c 2500 BC 🇪🇹

Ethiopians themselves believe that the Queen of Sheba, who visited Israel's King Solomon in the Bible (c 950 BC), came from Ethiopia (not Yemen, as others believe). Here she is meeting Solomon in a stain-glassed window in Addis Ababa's Holy Trinity Church. 🇪🇹