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J. Tuominen
@CapcentResearch 5 years, 7 months ago 749 views

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THREAD, PM EXIT STRATEGY

I sometimes get the question “At what price do I liquidate my PM portfolio?” The short answer is:

A) I´ll never sell all of it

and

B) I don´t have a PT. I could start selling at $1900 or at $100000, it depends.

For the longer explanation, 👇

Albert Einstein once famously said “Everything is relative”. I find that quote very useful in the world of investing as well.

First off, my preferred style of investing is more influenced by macro than micro (macroeconomics vs company specific).

That means I often buy a commodity, an ETF or a basket of companies operating in the sector of interest.

I frequently look at certain ratios, or said another way, instrument X relative to instrument Y.

By analyzing historical data, I´ve set up different “ratio milestones” for when history tells me to start unwinding the ratio. As these milestones are triggered, I sell 25% of the relatively stronger instrument. For every additional 10% skew in the ratio, I sell another 25% etc.

This means I´ll never pick the absolute top nor the bottom, but I should extract much of the value while keeping my emotions out of it.

An example where this principle is adopted is shown in the Gold/Silver ratio -graph below.

By shifting the milestones to 70 and 50 you´ll get the reasoning behind it.

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Huib Nederhof
@Nederhof

@TheLastDegree Today, the actual size of the silver market is, according to Bloomberg, of $5 trillion.

$5 trillion divided by 20 billion (physical market) = 250

250 X $20 (silver spot price) = $5,000 an ounce

The Disciplined Invest...
@Disciplined_Inv

How to screen for stocks in the Microcap/Smallcap space?

Look for the following:

1. PE < 15
2. Low debt
3. Low Float
4. No Analyst Coverage
5. High Promoter Holding
6. Recent Promoter Buying
7. High Operating Leverage
8. Conservative Management
9. Blockbuster Earnings Release

What more you should look at?

Read this post, the quote retweets to this and the

Things I look at before Investing:

Profitable \u2013 Free Cash Flow
Healthy \u2013 Interest Coverage
Quality \u2013 ROCE, ROA, Margins
Valuation \u2013 EV/EBITDA, FCF Yield
Governance \u2013 Dividend, Buybacks
Efficiency \u2013 Cash Conversion Cycle
Growth \u2013 Source of Funds for CAPEX

What do you look at?
— The Disciplined Investor (@Disciplined_Inv) August 27, 2021

Puru Saxena
@saxena_puru

1) My investment philosophy + Disclaimer -

I'm a full-time investor and my concentrated portfolio is comprised of (primarily founder-led) high growth companies with large addressable markets. I usually look for dominant businesses with a special sauce (moat) which allows..

2)...them to compound their revenues, cash flows and earnings for an extended period of time (multiple years).

Usually (but not always), such disruptive businesses operate in the technology sector and they are led by visionary founders with skin in the game.

When I invest,...

3)...it is always with the intention of holding indefinitely but the business world is unforgiving and capitalism is brutal; so in reality, my average holding period is a few years.

So, when do I sell?

(i) When a company's rev. growth < 15% pa
(ii) When the mgt. deteriorates

4)...(iii) When the 'moat' has been invaded
(iv) When I spot a new opportunity + need cash

Apart from the above scenarios, I remain invested in the companies and allow them to compound over time.

On macro, market timing, forecasts -

I started investing in the late 90s...

5)...and have yet to come across an individual who has accurately and consistently timed the economy and/or the stock market. Not one!

Over the years, many have tried to predict the future and plenty of well meaning people still try, but I've realised that...

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Then there were the joyriders, those Trump supporters who weren’t directly involved in any plotting but who were more than happy to go along for the ride once the coup was in motion.

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Every tweet and statement of his was treated as marching orders and carefully dissected for meaning.

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@raghav_aanya

#ज्योतिष_विज्ञान #मंत्र_विज्ञान

ज्योतिषाचार्य अक्सर ग्रहों के दुष्प्रभाव के समाधान के लिए मंत्र जप, अनुष्ठान इत्यादि बताते हैं।

व्यक्ति के जन्म के समय ग्रहों की स्थिति ही उसकी कुंडली बन जाती है जैसे कि फ़ोटो खींच लिया हो और एडिट करना सम्भव नही है। इसे ही "लग्न" कुंडली कहते हैं।

लग्न के समय ग्रहों की इस स्थिति से ही जीवन भर आपको किस ग्रह की ऊर्जा कैसे प्रभावित करेगी का निर्धारिण होता है। साथ साथ दशाएँ, गोचर इत्यादि चलते हैं पर लग्न कुंडली का रोल सबसे महत्वपूर्ण है।

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पूर्णिमा में उछाल मारता समुद्र का जल इसकी ऊर्जा के प्रभाव को दिखाता है।

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मंत्र क्या हैं-
मंत्र इन ऊर्जाओं के सटीक प्रयोग करने के पासवर्ड हैं। जिनके जप से संबंधित ग्रह की ऊर्जा को जातक की ऊर्जा से कनेक्ट करके उन ग्रहों के दुष्प्रभाव को कम किया और शुभ प्रभाव को बढ़ाया जाता है।

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Simple and effective way 2 make Money

Idea 1:- Use pivot level like 14800 in case of nifty and sell 14800straddle monthly expiry (365+335) exit if nifty closes on daily basis below S1 or above R1

After closing below S1 if it closes above S1 next day or any day enter the same position again vice versa for R1

Idea2:- Use R1 and S1 corresponding strikes multiple
Incase of R1 15337 take 15300ce
N in case of S1 14221 use 14200pe
Sell both and hold till expiry or exit if nifty closes below S1 or above R1 around closing
If the same bounces above S1 and falls below R1 re-enfer same strikes

Use same criteria for nifty, usdinr and banknifty

(This is must)Use this margin rule for 1lot banknifty pair keep 4Lax margin
For nifty one lot keep 3Lax
For usdinr 100lots keep 4Lax

I bet you if you do this on consistent basis your ROI will be more than 70% on yearly basis.

Couldn't explain easier than this

Criticisms are most welcomed.

itrade(DJ)
@ITRADE191

Here is the detailed information of about strategy,

Entry time : 9.30 - 10
Exit : Upto you

Strategy :
Sell weekly ATM CE & PE at almost equal price
For ex : Sell Nifty 17250 CE at 50 and Nifty 17250 PE at 48 so it will become short straddle

Buy monthly ATM or near ATM CE & PE at matching price (5-10 points diff should be fine) as hedge
For ex : Buy Nifty 17250 CE at 150 and Nifty 17300 PE at 155 so it will become long straddle.

Weekly Short straddle + Monthly Long straddle

Adjustment:

• If you feel slightly bullish/bearish then no adjustment needed
• If Nifty moves 50 up or down and sustain then just simply roll up or down half of qnty and keep rest of the quantity. If market goes up or down further then roll up or down rest.

• If Nifty moves one side or about to breach BEP then add equal amount of lot. This can balance tested side. For ex: If I bought 17300 CE 4 lot as hedge then add 4 lot so you will have only one side risk . Note: Remember to keep SL at cost price (only for additional lot bought)

Capital requirement:
2.2 L for 4 lot
Adjustment requires additional capital upto 1L

Note : High risk high reward strategy, please don’t execute until you fully understand. Kindly do paper trading or backtest.
RR : 1:1
POP : 45-55%

Robin Berjon
@robinberjon

Recently, the @CNIL issued a decision regarding the GDPR compliance of an unknown French adtech company named "Vectaury". It may seem like small fry, but the decision has potential wide-ranging impacts for Google, the IAB framework, and today's adtech. It's thread time! 👇

It's all in French, but if you're up for it you can read:
• Their blog post (lacks the most interesting details): https://t.co/PHkDcOT1hy
• Their high-level legal decision: https://t.co/hwpiEvjodt
• The full notification: https://t.co/QQB7rfynha

I've read it so you needn't!

Vectaury was collecting geolocation data in order to create profiles (eg. people who often go to this or that type of shop) so as to power ad targeting. They operate through embedded SDKs and ad bidding, making them invisible to users.

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