This will cause issues going forward as their bond will have to be a continuous guidance and inspiration from their leader who couldn't spare that energy or time due to his health
My Notes on Tamil Nadu Battle Field – Part 3
POST RAJINIKANTH POLITICS
My short thread on RK was focusing on the challenges RK will face. Key points.
1. I said that if Rajini couldn’t enter the “Rajini” style, hen he won’t enter at all. His announcement yesterday reflects it.
This will cause issues going forward as their bond will have to be a continuous guidance and inspiration from their leader who couldn't spare that energy or time due to his health
So, when RK announced his political entry, I was surprised for two reasons:
1. when he announced his entry in 2017 there was a political vacuum in Tamil Nadu.
I have covered his strengths in detail previously, which included his organisational framework and blueprint and cast-less vote bank.
It is my firm view that his vote share didn't have the critical mass to get seats let alone win him a majority because
I am quoting below things I had identified as ‘challenges to Rajini’ in an unpublished thread. These are the real reasons I speculate behind Rajini’s current decision:
2.The forces that often make him say anti-Hindu things in his movies wouldn’t have let him operate with a free will. Examples –
his reaction to BJP’s condescension,
his quick reaction to Gangai Amaran’s plea,
his U-turn on his trip to Sri Lanka,
his reluctance to openly support Modi Ji whom he thinks can bring all the changes he envisions.
+
In fact, the day he announced it, I told a few people in close circle that he doesn’t carry this decision in his air – he looks diffident, if not upset.
4.Self-goals which would have given him some setbacks. By saying ‘aatchi matram’,
While he is such an untested leader and this is no MGR times, excluding potential allies was poor political acumen.
Closer to the election, there is no way he could win if he projected another face as CM candidate.
Going without one would also put his chances down in front of two clear leaders – Stalin and EPS.
Rajini probably didn’t feel the same urge as he felt before
Now, let's look at the post Rajini political scenario.
Endorsement phase. Rajini has more political power outside of the battlefield than being in as one of the politicians.
So, the first impact of this decision will be various political outfits competing with each other for an endorsement from Rajini.
Even DMK will try to strike a good note with RK.
Leaders like OPS will try to garner Rajini’s support. But in my view, the most serious and deserving party that will seek Rajini’s endorsement will be BJP.
BJP will use its heavy weights. That lunch/ dinner Modi ji was to have with Rajini has some reason/ justification now.
BUT, RK will not endorse anyone at least till the elections.
THE IMPACT OF RAJINI’S DECISION ON VARIOUS PARTIES
On DMK
DMK will be less anxious now. What it feared was transfer of DMK votes to Rajini. Everyone believed a post poll stitch up between Rajini and NDA.
However, DMK has more reasons to fear BJP than Rajini.
DMK’s eternal fear of BJP is about how BJP will continue to expose their corruption. Annamalai has done a neat mapping of their money trails and can bring every card down if need be.
DMK also stands to lose PMK due to Dayanidhi Maran. Marans seem to destroy Stalin from within. Kanimozhi is also keen to play Stalin-US down.
Mrs. Vijayakanth has categorically eliminated DMK.
As I foretold, BJP will continue to break DMK allies bit by bit and their vote base.
With 32 channels and a proven ability to lie, PKP and Stalin will try and rely on propaganda more than anything else.
If people like me could be sceptical about RK’s success, how come all politicians including PK think they need to attack RK to silence him?
Anyway, the impact on DMK is that they will not receive RK’s endorsement and not a single vote will come to DMK from Rajini Makkal Mandram. However, people will continue to leave DMK to join BJP.
AIADMK will not have much of an impact. They will stand to gain in two ways.
~ A certain drain from their side is stopped
~ Some or many of Rajini followers will now vote AIADMK
~ AIADMK now has an upper hand with BJP and other allies for seat sharing.
BJP
BJP will stand to gain especially because of Modi Ji and Annamalai. Will do a detailed tweet on this later.
More people from DMK and some other parties (MNM, NTK) will flow into BJP now
It's my firm belief that BJP will persuade Rajnikant to endorse them in some way.
Rajinikanth may oblige and do this directly closer to the election or may do it discretely through his Mandram.
He will not support any party or leader now.
BJP’s position is weakened with respect to RK’s exit, so their seats in the alliance will take a beating.
NDA
BJP’s alliance as NDA with AIADMK will need to redefine its purpose and pitch. I had said earlier that BJP will certainly go with AIADMK, and not Rajini
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Always. No, your company is not an exception.
A tactic I don’t appreciate at all because of how unfairly it penalizes low-leverage, junior employees, and those loyal enough not to question it, but that’s negotiation for you after all. Weaponized information asymmetry.
Listen to Aditya
And by the way, you should never be worried that an offer would be withdrawn if you politely negotiate.
I have seen this happen *extremely* rarely, mostly to women, and anyway is a giant red flag. It suggests you probably didn’t want to work there.
You wish there was no negotiating so it would all be more fair? I feel you, but it’s not happening.
Instead, negotiate hard, use your privilege, and then go and share numbers with your underrepresented and underpaid colleagues. […]
Always. No, your company is not an exception.
A tactic I don’t appreciate at all because of how unfairly it penalizes low-leverage, junior employees, and those loyal enough not to question it, but that’s negotiation for you after all. Weaponized information asymmetry.
Listen to Aditya
"we don't negotiate salaries" really means "we'd prefer to negotiate massive signing bonuses and equity grants, but we'll negotiate salary if you REALLY insist" https://t.co/80k7nWAMoK
— Aditya Mukerjee, the Otterrific \U0001f3f3\ufe0f\u200d\U0001f308 (@chimeracoder) December 4, 2018
And by the way, you should never be worried that an offer would be withdrawn if you politely negotiate.
I have seen this happen *extremely* rarely, mostly to women, and anyway is a giant red flag. It suggests you probably didn’t want to work there.
You wish there was no negotiating so it would all be more fair? I feel you, but it’s not happening.
Instead, negotiate hard, use your privilege, and then go and share numbers with your underrepresented and underpaid colleagues. […]
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As nouns alias means “another name; an assumed name,” while pseudonym means “a fictitious name (more literally, a false name), as those used by writers and movie
Here is a very basic #comparison: "Name versus Stage Name"
As #nouns, the difference is that name means “any nounal word or phrase which indicates a particular person, place, class, or thing,” but stage name means “the pseudonym of an
Here's the most useful #Factualist comparison pages #Thread 🧵
What is the difference between “pseudonym” and “stage name?”
Pseudonym means “a fictitious name (more literally, a false name), as those used by writers and movie stars,” while stage name is “the pseudonym of an entertainer.”
https://t.co/hT5XPkTepy #english #wiki #wikidiff
People also found this comparison helpful:
Alias #versus Stage Name: What’s the difference?
Alias means “another name; an assumed name,” while stage name means “the pseudonym of an entertainer.”
https://t.co/Kf7uVKekMd #Etymology #words
Another common #question:
What is the difference between “alias” and “pseudonym?”
As nouns alias means “another name; an assumed name,” while pseudonym means “a fictitious name (more literally, a false name), as those used by writers and movie
Here is a very basic #comparison: "Name versus Stage Name"
As #nouns, the difference is that name means “any nounal word or phrase which indicates a particular person, place, class, or thing,” but stage name means “the pseudonym of an
