#Eritrea has been a pariah state for its conflict with all its neighbors and went through more than a decade long sanction that have started in #IGAD #AU & by #UNSC for its role of destabilizing the region; direct involvement in arms and contraband trading; &supporting #Al-Shabab

.@AbiyAhmedAli, nominated and subsequently appointed as PM by the “late” ruling coalition EPRDF, on 2 April 2018; following the four years of street protests, that multiple report had been indicating the involvement of foreign forces, including #Eritrea.
Immediately Abiy initiated rapprochement with #Eritrea. To the surprise of everyone, despite Eritrea’s consistent position of handing over the disputed territories before initiating any normalization for almost 2 decades, agreed to the normalization without any pre-condition.
Abiy visited Eritrea and Esayas reciprocated with an official visit after 20 years; and the unholy matrimony was consummated with a Comprehensive peace and cooperation agreement neither ratified by the parliament nor known its content by anyone.
Unprecedented in the history of the #UNSC #Ethiopia replaced its PR to the UN DR. Tekeda with only 6 months left to its term, by @TayeAtske with the singular mission of lifting the sanction imposed on #Eritrea without any change of behavior from the side of the regime in #Asmara.
On the top of extremely secretive nature of the agreement, with many official visits, secret flights & meetings, the regime in Addis & Asmara have been jointly planning to revenge to the #Tigray people & #TPLF that both consider is an obstacle to their individual ambitions.
A Week before the declaration of #WarOnTigray Abiy regime, #PIA had an official visit in Addis & to the displeasure of sensible Ethiopians, allowed to visit highly classified military establishments not allowed to Ethiopians with low security clearance let alone sovereign leader
In an effort of finding a pretext to wage war on Tigray, Abiy regime attributed a claim of ethnic based attack in Welega without any investigation, to the TPLF; and further, the attack on the Northern Command to collaborate his pretext
#WarOnTigray is a result of joint preparation of almost 3 years. The international community should rectify the grave mistake the #UNSC has made in lifting the sanction on #Eritrea without precondition in the absence of any change of behavior by the regime. #EritreaOutOfTigray

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I’m torn on how to approach the idea of luck. I’m the first to admit that I am one of the luckiest people on the planet. To be born into a prosperous American family in 1960 with smart parents is to start life on third base. The odds against my very existence are astronomical.


I’ve always felt that the luckiest people I know had a talent for recognizing circumstances, not of their own making, that were conducive to a favorable outcome and their ability to quickly take advantage of them.

In other words, dumb luck was just that, it required no awareness on the person’s part, whereas “smart” luck involved awareness followed by action before the circumstances changed.

So, was I “lucky” to be born when I was—nothing I had any control over—and that I came of age just as huge databases and computers were advancing to the point where I could use those tools to write “What Works on Wall Street?” Absolutely.

Was I lucky to start my stock market investments near the peak of interest rates which allowed me to spend the majority of my adult life in a falling rate environment? Yup.