Ivor Cummins has been wrong (or lying) almost entirely throughout this pandemic and got paid handsomly for it.

He has been wrong (or lying) so often that it will be nearly impossible for me to track every grift, lie, deceit, manipulation he has pulled. I will use...

... other sources who have been trying to shine on light on this grifter (as I have tried to do, time and again: https://t.co/bHYdxxmwp9)
Example #1: "Still not seeing Sweden signal versus Denmark really"... There it was (Images attached).
19 to 80 is an over 300% difference.

Tweet: https://t.co/36FnYnsRT9
Example #2 - "Yes, I'm comparing the Noridcs / No, you cannot compare the Nordics."

I wonder why...

Tweets: https://t.co/XLfoX4rpck / https://t.co/vjE1ctLU5x
Example #3 - "I'm only looking at what makes the data fit in my favour" a.k.a moving the goalposts.

Tweets: https://t.co/vcDpTu3qyj / https://t.co/CA3N6hC2Lq
Example #4 - "You need to look at all the varibles, but I don't"

Tweet: https://t.co/gQs2G0pFCF
Video: https://t.co/4mpZKXIgKQ
Final graph with all restrictions for Ireland @StuartDNeilson
Examples #5-#18 - https://t.co/G3MrMT7DMT

various goalpost shifting, ignorance of facts, logic, data, science

h/t @jocami_ca
Example #19 - "I'm going to include that study even though I don't know what it says" (see some of previous tweets examples)

https://t.co/JjvZfNAxgp
^ Ivor's theme of Lockdowns don't work, don't match the papers' findings.
https://t.co/CatJd5PV3H
https://t.co/7EcJnkfFXK ---
Example #20 - Spreading misinformation from a right-wing anti-vaccine group spokesperson

Ivor's widespread video debunked: https://t.co/7EcJnkfFXK
source video: https://t.co/Pq4u5RgMS7

Image source: https://t.co/ES3RwshHs5
Example #21 - "You're talking about selective lockdown. It doesn't work! / Let's do that thing that doesn't work! People dying never felt so good!"

Tweets: https://t.co/gNhNLOc5wB / https://t.co/m3o46KTH21

Great Barrington Declaration debunked: https://t.co/gP8fxSAvH2...
... #21 contd - https://t.co/a7HugHEqHN, https://t.co/dniFp8nMaS, https://t.co/ATrsr2ZBd2, https://t.co/EbwujUFmeg, https://t.co/B9joA2xUUz ---
Example #22 - "We are in a casedemic! / Uh oh! I was wrong... That was a creature of the Summer! / Uh oh! That still doesn't make any sense!"

Tweets: https://t.co/gNhNLOc5wB / https://t.co/DXJ3QzRj8G

h/t: @greg_travis: https://t.co/sfCKavwCbG ---
Example #23 - "I have never been debunked! Even when I was! I wasn't! Liar Liar Pants On Bloody Fire You Guys!"

Ivor really says that: https://t.co/SAQIrgD6t3

Tweet: https://t.co/cduViTcs3b

@DrDomPimenta debunking Ivor:
https://t.co/zohU0S4aFz,
https://t.co/Ate8UMOVqG ...
... #23 cont. - https://t.co/RzyyQCmx8Y,
https://t.co/HNlZ2o7VFR
https://t.co/GkDOY5PgX9
& as above.

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THREAD: Who are the rising stars of Chinese elite politics in the central Party-State bureaucracy?

For @MacroPoloChina I analyzed last year's ministerial-level promotions to posts in Beijing

TLDR: Ties to Xi Jinping—or a Xi ally—are very helpful! (1/14)

https://t.co/kO2A0Efyq2


Seven politicians were promoted to ministerial-level positions in central Party agencies last year

All are likely to feature on the next Central Committee selected at the 2022 Party Congress

Some could make the CCP's elite 25-person Politburo (2/14)

https://t.co/kO2A0Efyq2


Likeliest for the Politburo is Meng Xiangfeng, new Executive Deputy Director of the CCP General Office

He would replace Xi ally Ding Xuexiang as CCP chief-of-staff if Ding is promoted further in 2022

Meng worked under Xi allies Cai Qi in Hangzhou and Chen Xi in Liaoning (3/14)


Less likely for the Politburo but still important is Jiang Jinquan, new Director of the CCP Policy Research Office

He replaces 5th-ranked leader Wang Huning who led the Party's brains trust for 18 years

Wang remains prominent and will be <68 in 2022, so he'll stay around (4/14)


Other notable central Party promotions include Li Shulei and Liang Yanshun, who both assisted Xi when he led the Central Party School from 2007-2012

Li is a political conservative who is said to be quite close with Xi, even drafting his 2014 speech on culture and art (5/14)

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This is a pretty valiant attempt to defend the "Feminist Glaciology" article, which says conventional wisdom is wrong, and this is a solid piece of scholarship. I'll beg to differ, because I think Jeffery, here, is confusing scholarship with "saying things that seem right".


The article is, at heart, deeply weird, even essentialist. Here, for example, is the claim that proposing climate engineering is a "man" thing. Also a "man" thing: attempting to get distance from a topic, approaching it in a disinterested fashion.


Also a "man" thing—physical courage. (I guess, not quite: physical courage "co-constitutes" masculinist glaciology along with nationalism and colonialism.)


There's criticism of a New York Times article that talks about glaciology adventures, which makes a similar point.


At the heart of this chunk is the claim that glaciology excludes women because of a narrative of scientific objectivity and physical adventure. This is a strong claim! It's not enough to say, hey, sure, sounds good. Is it true?
I’m torn on how to approach the idea of luck. I’m the first to admit that I am one of the luckiest people on the planet. To be born into a prosperous American family in 1960 with smart parents is to start life on third base. The odds against my very existence are astronomical.


I’ve always felt that the luckiest people I know had a talent for recognizing circumstances, not of their own making, that were conducive to a favorable outcome and their ability to quickly take advantage of them.

In other words, dumb luck was just that, it required no awareness on the person’s part, whereas “smart” luck involved awareness followed by action before the circumstances changed.

So, was I “lucky” to be born when I was—nothing I had any control over—and that I came of age just as huge databases and computers were advancing to the point where I could use those tools to write “What Works on Wall Street?” Absolutely.

Was I lucky to start my stock market investments near the peak of interest rates which allowed me to spend the majority of my adult life in a falling rate environment? Yup.