Obviously, like all of crypto, it is extremely risky and can go to 0. That said, given the magnitude of potential outcomes, it just doesn't have to succeed that often to make it a massively +EV bet
While my time investing in crypto and previously playing poker has gotten me used to experiencing large daily personal net worth volatility, it's never a pleasant experience
Short thread (by my standards...) with some ramblings that help me get through it 👇
Obviously, like all of crypto, it is extremely risky and can go to 0. That said, given the magnitude of potential outcomes, it just doesn't have to succeed that often to make it a massively +EV bet
Unlike early stage tech, crypto investors will have liquidity, i.e. the possibility, and thus the temptation, to sell
This is both a blessing and a curse
Crypto, as early stage tech, is much riskier than established public companies and thus even higher vol too
However, one should not let the liquidity take advantage of us
However, the fundamentals themselves rarely change that much in such short periods of time and so neither should one's investments
Occasionally they may prompt a reevaluation of the thesis, but if one is investing based on fundamentals this should imo be rare
Beware of the rationalisations for selling that spring up during downturns
If anything, it should happen more during upturns as the investment becomes more expensive and therefore riskier
For most of us working + investing in the space, our net worths are already extremely correlated to crypto prices
More from Crypto
You are running out of time to get ahead in cryptocurrency.
You know what's coming:
🔺️ Regulation
🔺️ More shutdowns
🔺️ Banks deciding who gets to do business
It's time you got your own crypto wallet.
Don't know how? I'll show you.
/////THREAD\\\\\
METAMASK
What's metamask? It's a wallet. That you -- I mean YOU -- own.
You see, when you buy crypto through an exchange like CoinBase, you own it but only kind of.
If they get
🔺 Hacked
🔺 Shutdown
🔺 Servers crash
-- your money is STUCK.
We are gonna avoid that 👇
First thing,
Go to
https://t.co/JXAp9o5RzJ
You can download it on your computer. It's a browser extension.
Alternatively, go to the app store on your Android or iPhone. It's there too.
As part of the setup process, you will choose a password.
More importantly though...
SEED PHRASE
As you follow the setup process, you will be given a 12-word seed phrase.
WRITE. THIS. DOWN.
Take it down and guard it like the map to Davey Jones' Locker.
THESE ARE THE ONLY WAY TO RECOVER YOUR ACCOUNT.
DO NOT LOSE.
We good? Great.
Let's continue.
Once you're all setup, your MetaMask wallet is going to look something like the picture below.
See where it says Crypto Address? That's where your actual address will be.
It'll be a random arrangement of letters, numbers, etc.
Click on it to copy to your clipboard
NEXT STEP
You know what's coming:
🔺️ Regulation
🔺️ More shutdowns
🔺️ Banks deciding who gets to do business
It's time you got your own crypto wallet.
Don't know how? I'll show you.
/////THREAD\\\\\
METAMASK
What's metamask? It's a wallet. That you -- I mean YOU -- own.
You see, when you buy crypto through an exchange like CoinBase, you own it but only kind of.
If they get
🔺 Hacked
🔺 Shutdown
🔺 Servers crash
-- your money is STUCK.
We are gonna avoid that 👇
First thing,
Go to
https://t.co/JXAp9o5RzJ
You can download it on your computer. It's a browser extension.
Alternatively, go to the app store on your Android or iPhone. It's there too.
As part of the setup process, you will choose a password.
More importantly though...
SEED PHRASE
As you follow the setup process, you will be given a 12-word seed phrase.
WRITE. THIS. DOWN.
Take it down and guard it like the map to Davey Jones' Locker.
THESE ARE THE ONLY WAY TO RECOVER YOUR ACCOUNT.
DO NOT LOSE.
We good? Great.
Let's continue.
Once you're all setup, your MetaMask wallet is going to look something like the picture below.
See where it says Crypto Address? That's where your actual address will be.
It'll be a random arrangement of letters, numbers, etc.
Click on it to copy to your clipboard
NEXT STEP
1/ A thread on Nexgen’s Arrow & the #uranium cycle ($NXE)
2/ Given the scale and cost structure of Arrow, it makes sense that investors are intensely focused on its delivery timeline. This thread will discuss possible timelines, current market expectations (i.e., what’s “priced in”) & how different Arrow scenarios will impact the mkt.
3/ As you can see from the litany of responses to Michael’s tweet, there is great skepticism in the market regarding Arrow’s timeline. This is largely due to a bearish narrative conveyed by competing CEO’s whose assets only hold value if Arrow is substantially delayed.
4/ Those who played “King of the Hill” as a child would remember that it is the person at the top who is constantly attacked, not the kid sitting at the bottom of the hill in the mud. No one cares enough about that kid to attack them. This is a good parable for $NXE & Uranium.
5/ First a quick note on “this cycle” – Segra generally defines this cycle as the deficits forecasted from the mid-2020s to late-2030s. When people imply an asset producing in the mid-to-late 2020s will “miss the cycle”, they clearly have not done any real S/D modelling.
Can anyone tell me an estimated time frame that Nexgen could be permitted, start building their mine and be producing #uranium ??? @quakes99 @JekyllCapital @travmcph @NexGenEnergy $nxe
— Michael Pierce (@Big_U_Dawg) January 22, 2021
2/ Given the scale and cost structure of Arrow, it makes sense that investors are intensely focused on its delivery timeline. This thread will discuss possible timelines, current market expectations (i.e., what’s “priced in”) & how different Arrow scenarios will impact the mkt.
3/ As you can see from the litany of responses to Michael’s tweet, there is great skepticism in the market regarding Arrow’s timeline. This is largely due to a bearish narrative conveyed by competing CEO’s whose assets only hold value if Arrow is substantially delayed.
4/ Those who played “King of the Hill” as a child would remember that it is the person at the top who is constantly attacked, not the kid sitting at the bottom of the hill in the mud. No one cares enough about that kid to attack them. This is a good parable for $NXE & Uranium.
5/ First a quick note on “this cycle” – Segra generally defines this cycle as the deficits forecasted from the mid-2020s to late-2030s. When people imply an asset producing in the mid-to-late 2020s will “miss the cycle”, they clearly have not done any real S/D modelling.
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The first area to focus on is diversity. This has become a dogma in the tech world, and despite the fact that tech is one of the most meritocratic industries in the world, there are constant efforts to promote diversity at the expense of fairness, merit and competency. Examples:
USC's Interactive Media & Games Division cancels all-star panel that included top-tier game developers who were invited to share their experiences with students. Why? Because there were no women on the
ElectronConf is a conf which chooses presenters based on blind auditions; the identity, gender, and race of the speaker is not known to the selection team. The results of that merit-based approach was an all-male panel. So they cancelled the conference.
Apple's head of diversity (a black woman) got in trouble for promoting a vision of diversity that is at odds with contemporary progressive dogma. (She left the company shortly after this
Also in the name of diversity, there is unabashed discrimination against men (especially white men) in tech, in both hiring policies and in other arenas. One such example is this, a developer workshop that specifically excluded men: https://t.co/N0SkH4hR35
USC's Interactive Media & Games Division cancels all-star panel that included top-tier game developers who were invited to share their experiences with students. Why? Because there were no women on the
ElectronConf is a conf which chooses presenters based on blind auditions; the identity, gender, and race of the speaker is not known to the selection team. The results of that merit-based approach was an all-male panel. So they cancelled the conference.
Apple's head of diversity (a black woman) got in trouble for promoting a vision of diversity that is at odds with contemporary progressive dogma. (She left the company shortly after this
Also in the name of diversity, there is unabashed discrimination against men (especially white men) in tech, in both hiring policies and in other arenas. One such example is this, a developer workshop that specifically excluded men: https://t.co/N0SkH4hR35
