a $250M fund could do a $5-10M deal every month for two years and still be under-allocated
and there arenāt enough companies raising series B / C / D rounds!!!
every deal iāve done lately is under $50M valuation
1/ crypto VC is going through an explosive š§Ø phase
there are big funds (>$500M AUM), a lot of small funds (<$50M AUM), and *tons* of prop firms + angels
iāve done 15 deals in the last 3 months as an angel + small fund @CoinSharesCo VC.
observations + implications... šš¾
a $250M fund could do a $5-10M deal every month for two years and still be under-allocated
and there arenāt enough companies raising series B / C / D rounds!!!
every deal iāve done lately is under $50M valuation
a recent series A financing had two firms competing to take down the ENTIRE ROUND, and it eventually got upsized, a LOT.
if a company is putting up user acquisition / growth and a revenue story, itās highly competitive
so the valuations go up, but available allocations go down, resulting in an even bigger squeeze on allocators who *need* to deploy
add in the wave of SPACs and direct listings taking later stage opportunities out
there just arenāt enough places to put capital in size rn
whatās a fund to do?
but your pedigree and reputation matter - founders can be choosy since thereās so much $$$
perks include code audits, marketing, hiring support, research, etc
expect to see this grow exponentially (it already has in trad VC)
and once @coinbase IPO goes out at $50B+, even more capital is going to come hunting for ROI in crypto
the crunch is going to get intense
for investors, be careful and DYOR - always down to trade deal notes
for founders, be choosy. raise less. demand more value! your investors work for YOU š¤©
we are about to enter a brand new era of crypto VC and i couldnāt be more excited š„š§Øš„
my personal portfolio including companies and protocols can be found at https://t.co/K3fVxXPq0v (overdue for an update tho!)
More from Crypto
Excited to share our 2020 #Bitcoin review.
2020 will be remembered as the year the long fabled institutions finally arrived and #Bitcoin became a bonafide macroeconomic asset.
Below are the top highlights of each month for Bitcoinās historic year.
1/
Bitcoin is now at all-time highs capping off an extremely successful year.
But it was by no means stable ride up.
2020 was a historically volatile year.
@YoungCryptoPM and I provided a detailed overview of every month of 2020 in all its
Jan.
3 days into the new year the US assassinated Iranās top general Soleimani.
BTC surprisingly reacted to the events behaving like a safe haven as the risk of war increased.
The events provided the first hints of BTC potentially having graduated to a legitimate macro asset.
Feb.
COVID-19 reached a tipping point causing markets to crash.
BTCās correlation with the S&P 500 reached an ATH in the following weeks.
This is when everyone learned BTC was not a recession hedge, it was a hedge against inflation and loss of confidence in fiat currencies. https://t.co/JB7dJ3qp6M
Mar.
Financial markets in free fall.
The liquidity crisis was so severe BTC experienced one of itās worst days ever.
Now known as Black Thursday, on March 12, BTC plummeted as much as 50% to below $4,000 at its lowest point on the day.
BTC closed the day down 40%
2020 will be remembered as the year the long fabled institutions finally arrived and #Bitcoin became a bonafide macroeconomic asset.
Below are the top highlights of each month for Bitcoinās historic year.
1/
Bitcoin is now at all-time highs capping off an extremely successful year.
But it was by no means stable ride up.
2020 was a historically volatile year.
@YoungCryptoPM and I provided a detailed overview of every month of 2020 in all its
Jan.
3 days into the new year the US assassinated Iranās top general Soleimani.
BTC surprisingly reacted to the events behaving like a safe haven as the risk of war increased.
The events provided the first hints of BTC potentially having graduated to a legitimate macro asset.
Feb.
COVID-19 reached a tipping point causing markets to crash.
BTCās correlation with the S&P 500 reached an ATH in the following weeks.
This is when everyone learned BTC was not a recession hedge, it was a hedge against inflation and loss of confidence in fiat currencies. https://t.co/JB7dJ3qp6M
1/ Figure I should get out ahead of this issue:
— Dan McArdle (@robustus) June 22, 2018
Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation & loss of confidence in fiat, NOT a hedge against a typical recession.
Mar.
Financial markets in free fall.
The liquidity crisis was so severe BTC experienced one of itās worst days ever.
Now known as Black Thursday, on March 12, BTC plummeted as much as 50% to below $4,000 at its lowest point on the day.
BTC closed the day down 40%
2020 was a game changer for Ethereum.
The vast majority of its success was fueled by #DeFi.
Here's what happened in 5 Tweets š½
1) Governance Tokens šŖ
Projects gave complete ownership of billion dollar protocols to their users, often using retroactive airdrops.
Early adopters earned tokens for past usage, and token-based voting now dictates all technical
2) Liquidity Mining āļø
Power users were the first to earn on-going distribution by providing liquidity.
$COMP sparked the wave, with $BAL coining the term a few weeks
3) Yield Faming š¾
Projects coupled liquidity mining and governance tokens to boost 'yields' by combining lending rates with an incentive layer.
APYs peaked as high as 1M% during 'DeFi summer', leading to a 'food coin' craze like $YAM and
4) Fair Launches ā
Who needs investment when you can launch using yield farming?
@iearnfinance debuted $YFI with no formal funding, seeding a community treasury for self-sustainability.
The notion of a core team and community became one and the
The vast majority of its success was fueled by #DeFi.
Here's what happened in 5 Tweets š½
1) Governance Tokens šŖ
Projects gave complete ownership of billion dollar protocols to their users, often using retroactive airdrops.
Early adopters earned tokens for past usage, and token-based voting now dictates all technical
It pays to be a web3 power user.
— Coopahtroopa \U0001f525_\U0001f525 (@Cooopahtroopa) December 9, 2020
Five networks that issued retroactive airdrops to value added actors \U0001f4dd
2) Liquidity Mining āļø
Power users were the first to earn on-going distribution by providing liquidity.
$COMP sparked the wave, with $BAL coining the term a few weeks
BAL is live!
— Balancer Labs (@BalancerLabs) June 23, 2020
The 435k BAL for liquidity providers of the first three weeks of liquidity mining (145k per week) have just been sent out to the wallets used to provide liquidity on Balancer.https://t.co/pkXFzwzPVC
3) Yield Faming š¾
Projects coupled liquidity mining and governance tokens to boost 'yields' by combining lending rates with an incentive layer.
APYs peaked as high as 1M% during 'DeFi summer', leading to a 'food coin' craze like $YAM and
Check out @Cooopahtroopa's latest post for all the #DeFi farmers out there \U0001f468\u200d\U0001f33e
— Zerion \U0001f3e6 (@zerion_io) June 26, 2020
Turns out @synthetix_io & @CurveFinance were ploughing the fields long before $COMP & $BAL came along.
Learn how to put your #crypto to work with this #yieldfarming 101 \U0001f4b8
\U0001f449 https://t.co/zYUKtqx3BK
4) Fair Launches ā
Who needs investment when you can launch using yield farming?
@iearnfinance debuted $YFI with no formal funding, seeding a community treasury for self-sustainability.
The notion of a core team and community became one and the
2/ What is a Fair Launch?
— fair launch capital (@fairlaunchcap) August 26, 2020
A FL enables founders to bootstrap new crypto networks that are earned, owned, and governed by their community from the outset.
In this dynamic, everyone participates on equal footing\u2014there is no early access, pre-mine, or allocation of tokens.
1/ Welcome to #DeFi Wednesday.
Let's talk about how interest-bearing cash on a blockchain is going to revolutionise boring corporate treasury management that concerns every company is is a larger business than all crypto trading in the world.
Enter the thread
ššš
2/ Blockchain community is often seen as toxic maxis and redditors who shill other their weekly favourite shitcoin in the hope of getting Lambo.
Sometimes we also do things that progress humanity towards the better future and interest-bearing cash is one of those things.
3/ Less chad and more things that actually matter:
My incomplete theory of interest-bearing cash is also available also as a blog post:
https://t.co/uiG0fZiVyu
It is 15 pages. Pick your slow poison or die fast by continue reading here.
4/ First time in the history we have an ability to create interest-bearing cash-like instruments.
Interest-bearing cash ticks up dollar (euro) balance real-time in your wallet.
Here is a demonstration using @aaveaave aDAI, based on @makerdao DAI, and @TrustWalletApp
5/ Interest-bearing cash is not like your bank's saving account. Your money in a bank is not yours, but bank's. There are some flaws in the current banking system causing a headache for Chief Financial Officers (CFOs)
Let's talk about how interest-bearing cash on a blockchain is going to revolutionise boring corporate treasury management that concerns every company is is a larger business than all crypto trading in the world.
Enter the thread
ššš
2/ Blockchain community is often seen as toxic maxis and redditors who shill other their weekly favourite shitcoin in the hope of getting Lambo.
Sometimes we also do things that progress humanity towards the better future and interest-bearing cash is one of those things.
3/ Less chad and more things that actually matter:
My incomplete theory of interest-bearing cash is also available also as a blog post:
https://t.co/uiG0fZiVyu
It is 15 pages. Pick your slow poison or die fast by continue reading here.
4/ First time in the history we have an ability to create interest-bearing cash-like instruments.
Interest-bearing cash ticks up dollar (euro) balance real-time in your wallet.
Here is a demonstration using @aaveaave aDAI, based on @makerdao DAI, and @TrustWalletApp
5/ Interest-bearing cash is not like your bank's saving account. Your money in a bank is not yours, but bank's. There are some flaws in the current banking system causing a headache for Chief Financial Officers (CFOs)
You may be wondering why @bristoliver rather cryptically RTād a chart that I posted last night. The answer is not just that he loves quadratic fits on log axes, but that this chart may āand I stress mayā hint at a vaccine effect amongst the over 80s THREAD
WARNING: this is a long thread, and itās a bit of a roller-coaster. We find some apparently strong patterns in the data, and then start to unpick them a bit. So if you start getting excited half way through you might find youāre less excited at the end. But weāll seeā¦
First we first have to go back a bit. @bristoliver posted a thread a few days ago explaining why, with a constant vaccination rate, a log plot of cases should show a quadratic form. In other words, it should fit an equation like: a + b.x + c.x^2
I meant to link in the model thread there - here it is
the quadratic coefficient ā the ācā in that equation ā gives an estimate of the % of the population who are being newly protected by the vaccine each day. Please note āprotected by the vaccineā, not āvaccinatedā ā as we don't expect 100% protection after the first dose
ok, I lied. but strictly it's not a new graph, just a new trendline (now a quadratic on the log plot). looks um... quite a good fit. so I'd say that was interesting. pic.twitter.com/qkgyMf1ya8
— James Ward (@JamesWard73) January 27, 2021
WARNING: this is a long thread, and itās a bit of a roller-coaster. We find some apparently strong patterns in the data, and then start to unpick them a bit. So if you start getting excited half way through you might find youāre less excited at the end. But weāll seeā¦
First we first have to go back a bit. @bristoliver posted a thread a few days ago explaining why, with a constant vaccination rate, a log plot of cases should show a quadratic form. In other words, it should fit an equation like: a + b.x + c.x^2
I meant to link in the model thread there - here it is
Been thinking about where we are, where we might be going, what effect vaccines might have and how to tell. This thread may not happen all at once, and will get a bit mathematical in a couple of places (sorry!), but I will put in pictures. It's yet another argument for log scales
— Oliver Johnson (@BristOliver) January 24, 2021
the quadratic coefficient ā the ācā in that equation ā gives an estimate of the % of the population who are being newly protected by the vaccine each day. Please note āprotected by the vaccineā, not āvaccinatedā ā as we don't expect 100% protection after the first dose
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fascinated by this man, mario cortellucci, and his outsized influence on ontario and GTA politics. cortellucci, who lives in vaughan and ran as a far-right candidate for the italian senate back in 2018 - is a major ford donor...
his name might sound familiar because the new cortellucci vaughan hospital at mackenzie health, the one doug ford has been touting lately as a covid-centric facility, is named after him and his family
but his name also pops up in a LOT of other ford projects. for instance - he controls the long term lease on big parts of toronto's portlands... where doug ford once proposed building an nfl stadium and monorail... https://t.co/weOMJ51bVF
cortellucci, who is a developer, also owns a large chunk of the greenbelt. doug ford's desire to develop the greenbelt has been
and late last year he rolled back the mandate of conservation authorities there, prompting the resignations of several members of the greenbelt advisory
his name might sound familiar because the new cortellucci vaughan hospital at mackenzie health, the one doug ford has been touting lately as a covid-centric facility, is named after him and his family
but his name also pops up in a LOT of other ford projects. for instance - he controls the long term lease on big parts of toronto's portlands... where doug ford once proposed building an nfl stadium and monorail... https://t.co/weOMJ51bVF
cortellucci, who is a developer, also owns a large chunk of the greenbelt. doug ford's desire to develop the greenbelt has been
and late last year he rolled back the mandate of conservation authorities there, prompting the resignations of several members of the greenbelt advisory
