👉You can do this by experimenting, cultivating serendipity,
🚫not taking bell curves too seriously, and investing in lots of small outlier but high-risk opportunities.
10 Key Lessons From the Book “Black Swan” By: Nassim Taleb
⚡️Book Review⚡️
👉You can do this by experimenting, cultivating serendipity,
🚫not taking bell curves too seriously, and investing in lots of small outlier but high-risk opportunities.
- Extremely impactful
- Are outlier events
- Are retrospectively predictable, not prospectively predictable
🚫Try to avoid situations that can fool you in a huge way, and avoid depending on huge, and potentially harmful predictions.
Surviving until tomorrow could mean that you’re either more likely to be immortal, or closer to death.
👉Both of these conclusions are based on the same exact data.
👉We can master things in one field and fail to transfer the same to another.
Everyone has their own limitations when it comes to learning from experience or observation.
This means that people who tinker a lot to collect as many black swans as possible get the most opportunities.
👉You increase your chances of luck by doing things.
Our tendency to assume that we understand what’s going on in this incredibly complex and largely random world is a result of:
- The narrative fallacy and retrospective
- Illusions of understanding
We tend to categorize and simplify the world to make it easier for us to navigate it meaningfully.
👉However, we do this at the expense of ruling out black swans and becoming blind to them.
👉As an example:
97% of book sales are made by only about 20% of the authors, which conforms to the Wilfredo Pareto’s 80/20 principle.
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First thread of the year because I have time during MCO. As requested, a thread on the gods and spirits of Malay folk religion. Some are indigenous, some are of Indian origin, some have Islamic
Before I begin, it might be worth explaining the Malay conception of the spirit world. At its deepest level, Malay religious belief is animist. All living beings and even certain objects are said to have a soul. Natural phenomena are either controlled by or personified as spirits
Although these beings had to be respected, not all of them were powerful enough to be considered gods. Offerings would be made to the spirits that had greater influence on human life. Spells and incantations would invoke their
Two known examples of such elemental spirits that had god-like status are Raja Angin (king of the wind) and Mambang Tali Arus (spirit of river currents). There were undoubtedly many more which have been lost to time
Contact with ancient India brought the influence of Hinduism and Buddhism to SEA. What we now call Hinduism similarly developed in India out of native animism and the more formal Vedic tradition. This can be seen in the multitude of sacred animals and location-specific Hindu gods
i wonder if you can make a thread bout witchcraft in malaysia.. or list of our own local gods/deites..
— r a y a \U0001f319 (@lcvelylilith) February 20, 2020
Before I begin, it might be worth explaining the Malay conception of the spirit world. At its deepest level, Malay religious belief is animist. All living beings and even certain objects are said to have a soul. Natural phenomena are either controlled by or personified as spirits
Although these beings had to be respected, not all of them were powerful enough to be considered gods. Offerings would be made to the spirits that had greater influence on human life. Spells and incantations would invoke their
Animist ceremonies of a religious or magical nature were normally held for the purpose of divination or making a request. This would either be done at a keramat or at a shrine similar to the Thai spirit houses or Chinese roadside shrines pic.twitter.com/I1hliyi0x3
— \u2745\u1710\u170b\u1713\u170e (@uglyluhan) June 16, 2019
Two known examples of such elemental spirits that had god-like status are Raja Angin (king of the wind) and Mambang Tali Arus (spirit of river currents). There were undoubtedly many more which have been lost to time
Contact with ancient India brought the influence of Hinduism and Buddhism to SEA. What we now call Hinduism similarly developed in India out of native animism and the more formal Vedic tradition. This can be seen in the multitude of sacred animals and location-specific Hindu gods
