1/20

Sharing some takeaways from the book : India's Money Monarchs* , ONLY of the conversation with Sanjoy Bhattacharya.

* Available on Kindle Unlimited now.

@Vivek_Investor and @dmuthuk
I think you & your followers might like this . 🙂

#BookTwitter
#BookRecommendations

2/20
🔸On How to Minimise Risk ?

* Look at long term volatility of Cash Flows ( assuming Financial Statements paint a fair picture )

* Check if business generates Free Cash Flow ( FCF). This ensures company is unlikely to be wiped out at the bottom of the cycle.
3/20
🔸Management Integrity matters.

You notice good governance only when it is gone !
Hence unless one has demonstrable proof on a long term basis that people are honest , consider them to be crooks .
Cynical approach but helps save us from losses !
4/20
🔸 Level of competitive intensity in the business matters. Risk is lower when there are fewer players.

More cut throat the industry , more finesse shall be required and growth shall depend on the ability to adapt and successfully execute.
5/20
🔸Try to anticipate what can change in a business .

Scanning the historical precedent or envisaging the future helps .

Inherent risks of business matter !

Sometimes these are completely overlooked & can prove to be extremely expensive.
6/20

Growth At A Reasonable Price ( GARP ) approach seems better suited for India.

Try to find growth and make sure you aren't over paying. ( what is reasonable price in relation to how much growth there is )

P.S : Most Indian investors are momentum based as per the book.
7/20

🔸Survive to Thrive .

If you don't lose all that you've managed to put together , then you live to fight another day.

All sorts of investors can succeed in markets provided, one has clarity in their approach & realises that NO approach works ALL the time.
8/20

🔸Cap the Risk always & think probabilistically.

Even a 12-15% returns over long term is a good performance.

Don't buy what you don't understand . Keep investing journey simple.
9/20

🔸On Selling

Selling is much tougher because the human mind is not hardwired to do that.

Out of 100books on investing , 99 are on How & When to BUY .

The rationale of How & When to SELL was found in just one book named : When to sell by Justin Mamis.
10/20

People think success in investing comes ONLY from BUYING businesses smartly.

No.

More than half of successful Investing comes from SELLING smart.

It is the dark continent of investing and touches human psychology , an aspect infrequently talked about.
11/20

To be successful one needs to try and understand the Behavioural Elements of financial markets .

What drives the markets ?
What is the underlying psychology ?

A brilliant book named Judgement Under Uncertainty is recommended to understand more on Behavioural Finance.
12/20

🔸On Time Horizon for Investments

Getting shorter, although one mustn't write off one's bet quickly.

Continuous monitoring is needed as it gives an early warning & allows you to relate what you see & hear from companies to other opportunities of similar nature.
13/20

The BEST committee in investing is a committee of ONE .

One needs to think for oneself.
Independent minded thinking is vital for success.

One needs to learn from past mistakes ,both self & others'.
We often tend to repeat mistakes as we don't pay attention to history.
14/20

At the end of the day , stock selection is the most trivial part of investment process.

It is defining your investment objectives & creating a structure or asset allocation framework that is efficient is of paramount importance.

Tip : Read Book - Winning The Loser's Game
15/20

1)Figure out YOUR investment objectives

2)How do they fit into the opportunities you have & how you exploit those in terms of committing to them

3)How those opportunities translate into individual investments
16/20

🔸On Valuations

Personally think it's the most overworked thing & people spend too much time on it.

One primarily needs to relate earning power of a business & it's sustainability to the amount of money one is paying today.

Instead folks tinker in excel sheet !
👇
17/20

Investing is mostly about character.
Whatever you do Stick to it ! Don't much around trying a lil' bit of everything !!!

The key to good investing is cutting down the mistakes you make.

Recognise risk - Accept mistake - Trim with discipline.
Everyone makes mistakes !
👇
18/20

What to do ?

* Arrive at a well articulated set of investment objectives

* Have an understanding of the different opportunities available from various investment instruments

* Have a sense of purpose. Choose a method to implement this purpose

* Stick to it ALWAYS.
19/20

It shall get difficult with each passing on year to beat markets by a wide margin .

Everyone seems to be using the same tools ,looking at facts the same way.

"There is no single way to skin the cat.Different strokes for different folks - That's the beauty of markets."
20/20

One can read Sanjoy sir's articles on the website of @FLAMEUniversity ( a brilliant content repository of the thoughts of some great minds of the investing community )

Go to
https://t.co/Ranqe1IvgP
Then go to Home ->Academics -> FIL -> Resources.

* THE END *

More from Vidya

@Kay_Kay_Bhava Here you go

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**Thread on Bravery of Sikhs**
(I am forced to do this due to continuous hounding of Sikh Extremists since yesterday)

Rani Jindan Kaur, wife of Maharaja Ranjit Singh had illegitimate relations with Lal Singh (PM of Ranjit Singh). Along with Lal Singh, she attacked Jammu, burnt - https://t.co/EfjAq59AyI


Hindu villages of Jasrota, caused rebellion in Jammu, attacked Kishtwar.

Ancestors of Raja Ranjit Singh, The Sansi Tribe used to give daughters as concubines to Jahangir.


The Ludhiana Political Agency (Later NW Fronties Prov) was formed by less than 4000 British soldiers who advanced from Delhi and reached Ludhiana, receiving submissions of all sikh chiefs along the way. The submission of the troops of Raja of Lahore (Ranjit Singh) at Ambala.

Dabistan a contemporary book on Sikh History tells us that Guru Hargobind broke Naina devi Idol Same source describes Guru Hargobind serving a eunuch
YarKhan. (ref was proudly shared by a sikh on twitter)
Gobind Singh followed Bahadur Shah to Deccan to fight for him.


In Zafarnama, Guru Gobind Singh states that the reason he was in conflict with the Hill Rajas was that while they were worshiping idols, while he was an idol-breaker.

And idiot Hindus place him along Maharana, Prithviraj and Shivaji as saviours of Dharma.
Great article from @AsheSchow. I lived thru the 'Satanic Panic' of the 1980's/early 1990's asking myself "Has eveyrbody lost their GODDAMN MINDS?!"


The 3 big things that made the 1980's/early 1990's surreal for me.

1) Satanic Panic - satanism in the day cares ahhhh!

2) "Repressed memory" syndrome

3) Facilitated Communication [FC]

All 3 led to massive abuse.

"Therapists" -and I use the term to describe these quacks loosely - would hypnotize people & convince they they were 'reliving' past memories of Mom & Dad killing babies in Satanic rituals in the basement while they were growing up.

Other 'therapists' would badger kids until they invented stories about watching alligators eat babies dropped into a lake from a hot air balloon. Kids would deny anything happened for hours until the therapist 'broke through' and 'found' the 'truth'.

FC was a movement that started with the claim severely handicapped individuals were able to 'type' legible sentences & communicate if a 'helper' guided their hands over a keyboard.
1. Project 1742 (EcoHealth/DTRA)
Risks of bat-borne zoonotic diseases in Western Asia

Duration: 24/10/2018-23 /10/2019

Funding: $71,500
@dgaytandzhieva
https://t.co/680CdD8uug


2. Bat Virus Database
Access to the database is limited only to those scientists participating in our ‘Bats and Coronaviruses’ project
Our intention is to eventually open up this database to the larger scientific community
https://t.co/mPn7b9HM48


3. EcoHealth Alliance & DTRA Asking for Trouble
One Health research project focused on characterizing bat diversity, bat coronavirus diversity and the risk of bat-borne zoonotic disease emergence in the region.
https://t.co/u6aUeWBGEN


4. Phelps, Olival, Epstein, Karesh - EcoHealth/DTRA


5, Methods and Expected Outcomes
(Unexpected Outcome = New Coronavirus Pandemic)
https://t.co/6cRR2B3jBE
Viruses and other pathogens are often studied as stand-alone entities, despite that, in nature, they mostly live in multispecies associations called biofilms—both externally and within the host.

https://t.co/FBfXhUrH5d


Microorganisms in biofilms are enclosed by an extracellular matrix that confers protection and improves survival. Previous studies have shown that viruses can secondarily colonize preexisting biofilms, and viral biofilms have also been described.


...we raise the perspective that CoVs can persistently infect bats due to their association with biofilm structures. This phenomenon potentially provides an optimal environment for nonpathogenic & well-adapted viruses to interact with the host, as well as for viral recombination.


Biofilms can also enhance virion viability in extracellular environments, such as on fomites and in aquatic sediments, allowing viral persistence and dissemination.