The farther we move from the average, chances of occurrence go down. This is what Taleb sahab calls Tail risk, because it lies in the tail of the standard distribution curve.
Bringing Data Science to Nifty Analysis. A small ЁЯз╡
As per Normal Distribution 68% of the time movement is with 1% SD Limits.
For 95% pf the times movement is within 2% SD limits.
And its only 0.3% of the times that movement exceeds 3 SD.
The farther we move from the average, chances of occurrence go down. This is what Taleb sahab calls Tail risk, because it lies in the tail of the standard distribution curve.
https://t.co/HHwUpIXTRG
The Galton Machine shows order from randomness. Each ball bounces left or right at random, 12 times, but together where they fall can be predicted - the normal distribution. This one made by: https://t.co/oI9wOGq7nG pic.twitter.com/VQtVu66OSE
— Tom Stafford (@tomstafford) April 19, 2018
When we say that price is at upper/lower Bollinger band, we are saying that it has reached 2 SD limits and likely to reverse.
First with default setting and in second change settings to 3 standard deviation.
Crossing 3 SD boundary means that Nifty is now in very rare territory where it has been only 0.3%
More from Professor
IRCTC below 640 today !
Have no intention to enjoy the misery of fellow market participants but 'Maine Bola Tha' !
#ProfGyan - If a freak low gets made some day, Stocks/Indices always try to visit it at least once (seekh lo, mere mentorship course ka launch kuch pukka nahi hai) https://t.co/3B6e2nMx0y
Have no intention to enjoy the misery of fellow market participants but 'Maine Bola Tha' !
#ProfGyan - If a freak low gets made some day, Stocks/Indices always try to visit it at least once (seekh lo, mere mentorship course ka launch kuch pukka nahi hai) https://t.co/3B6e2nMx0y
Two prophecies about IRCTC:
— Professor (@DillikiBiili) May 1, 2022
1. It would touch 640 someday
2. It would get expelled from F&O https://t.co/qJ04hG0qFH pic.twitter.com/TPUBSQFW1y
How to select good Breakout Trades:
Breakouts in the direction of the general trend
The longer the market is in a range, the stronger the breakout
Stock making higher lows near resistance zone
(lower highs near support zone is a sign of weakness)
Breakouts in the direction of the general trend
The longer the market is in a range, the stronger the breakout
Stock making higher lows near resistance zone
(lower highs near support zone is a sign of weakness)
Some ofthe biggest breakouts occur after Volatility Contraction, the analogy is that more a spring is pressed, higher it jumps whenever it gets released.
— Professor (@DillikiBiili) October 2, 2021
There is a VCP Scanner on chartink (Not mine). This may also be used to find potential Breakouts. pic.twitter.com/y1lmay7D4e
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Volume spurt in a stock with massive X times
Do Share the above tweet ЁЯСЖ
These are going to be very simple yet effective pure price action based scanners, no fancy indicators nothing - hope you liked it.
https://t.co/JU0MJIbpRV
52 Week High
One of the classic scanners very you will get strong stocks to Bet on.
https://t.co/V69th0jwBr
Hourly Breakout
This scanner will give you short term bet breakouts like hourly or 2Hr breakout
Volume shocker
Volume spurt in a stock with massive X times